UR Agreements from Developing Country Perspective:
Developing Countries were left very unhappy with the trade liberalisation results of the UR agreements as they felt that though they had made sacrifices in accepting services, TRIPS and TRIMS, their gains from liberalisation of agriculture and textiles had been limited. They did derive benefits from other aspects of the agreement. But, on the whole, benefits have been limited and they were therefore reluctant to accept Mher multilateral trade negotiations, particularly on an agenda determined by the developed countries. Ultimately they accepted a new Round at Doha but as the recent meeting at Cancun and Hong Kong illustrates there are serious differences regarding the agenda and the modalities of negotiations.
The UR agreement was a single unified undertaking. All members had to accept the final UR agreements as one package deal, whereas in earlier Rounds countries were allowed to opt out of certain agreements. For instance, developing countries in general did not accede to the government procurement agreement or the subsidies agreement negotiated in the Tokyo Round.
The developing countries had to accept all the discipline incorporated in the UR agreements. The least developed countries were given same leeway in implementation but there were considerable weakening of the Special and Differential Treatment accorded to them in earlier agreements. It is undoubtedly true that developing countries negotiated badly because they lacked the capacity to negotiate. But the cards have been stacked against them. Developing countries wanted limited negotiations as they did not have the capacity to research the implications of different negotiating options. They
have also lacked the manpower to participate in all the different negotiations.
The UR negotiations were split into about 14 groups, and developing countries had insufficient people to participate in all the groups. The operation of the agreement has upset the fine balance of costs and benefits to developing countries to their detriment. For instance, developed countries were to cut their tariffs on agricultural goods by an average of 36% and on each
tariff item by at least 15%. So, if on one good the tariff was 100 per cent and on another 5%, it would achieve an average 36% out by cutting the high tariff to 85% and the lower tariff to 2%. Obviously, the cut from 5% to 2% is not very significant, and the country continues to protect at very high rates the commodity it was really interested in protecting. Similarly, in textiles
developed countries were to cut QRs by 51% in three stages by December 2004, and the last 49% on the last day of 2004. But again the wording of the agreement was such that in reality without violating the letter of the agreement, they cut QRs by only about 15-20%. So, while the developed countries did not violate the letter of the agreement, the developing countries
did not receive the benefits they expected.
So developing countries did not receive the benefits they expected from the UR agreements. They also wished for postponement of the new Round till that they had the time to digest the results of the previous Round. It is a bit disingenuous to force them to engage in extensive negotiations for which they are not ready and then blame them when they do badly in such negotiations.
After all, the EU and the US are able to stall negotiations when it is in their interest to do so. The mandated negotiations on agriculture were stalled by the EU - many claim that the large negotiating agenda for the current MTN arises from the need for the EU to balance the expected concessions in a ulture with gains elsewhere. Similarly, though many NGOs and some developing countries claimed victory for the result at Seattle, it is clear that negotiations then did not suit the US and they bear a major share of the responsibility for the collapse of the Seattle talks.
The agreements on the rules were more satisfactory from the viewpoint of developing countries. The new dispute settlement procedures have encouraged developing countries to bring their disputes before the WTO whereas they were earlier reluctant to do so, and they win many disputes. The new safeguards regime has also worked satisfactorily. It was feared that the sudden abandonment of the MFA regime would create problems for the textile industry in the developed countries and lead these cowtries to institute new measures to protect their textile industry. But despite a surge of textile exports from China, the new liberalised regime has broadly survived though growth of exports from China has been restricted. Similarly, fears about increasing contingent protection have not been borne out. Developing countries were major users of these measures immediately after the UR agreement. But anti-dumping and anti-subsidy investigations and impositions of countervailing and anti-dumping duties has declined in recent years.