Growing importance of services:
Structure of Production:
Chenery and his colleagues have analysed how the structure of production changes as per capita income rises (1975). They observed that at the initial stages of development the share of manufactures in GDP rises. At a still higher level of per capita income the share of services rises. Developed countries show this pattern. The share of manufactures has decreased particularly rapidly in recent years, and this has generated considerable controversy. Economists in the developed countries have analysed this phenomenon, which they have called de-industrialisation. Some economists have charged that increasing competition from producers in developing countries has resulted in the shrinking of the manufacturing sector, particularly the labour intensive sectors, which have faced fierce competition, fostered in part by the reduction in tariffs on manufactures in previous Rounds of multilateral trade negotiations (MTNs). For instance, the average import duty levied by developed countries on manufactures was about 6% in the eighties, though this masks the fact that duties on goods imported from developing countries were much higher. Other economists have, however, argued that the shrinking of employment in the manufacturing sector has been because of technological change, which has been labour saving.
However, there is little dispute that technological change has changed the nature of services. As Bhagwati (1984) notes, in earlier times a musical performance was usually a non-tradeable service, and only people from the area around where the performance was staged could attend it. Subsequently, when music could be captured on records and tapes, a musical performance became tradable through the medium of a good. Still later with the advent of radio and TV the service could be traded without necessarily trading the medium products such as radios and TVs. The service itself had become tradable and did not have to be embodied in a good. Technical change has made many services tradable without these being embodied. Furthermore, as noted earlier, the service component attached to a good that is sold has increased to make the good more accessible and convenient to consumers. Services comprise 60%) of world GDP and provide 50% of the employment. The share of services hap been rising in the 90s in all regions of the world.