St. Petersburg Paradox:
A coin is flipped until a head appears on the nth flip, at which the player is paid Rs. 2". If Xi represents the prize awarded when the first head turns up on the ith trial, then
The probability of getting a head for the first time on the i th trial, is (1/2)'. see that it is the probability of getting (i - 1) tails and then a head. Hence, the probabilities of prizes, Πi are
the expected value of the game is
Since the expected value of the game is m, how much would you be willing to pay to play this game? Perhaps, not more than a few rupees. Thus, the game in this sense not worth its large expected value (no taker to enter it). As a solution to this paradox, it was argued that individuals attached negative 'utility value' to expected 'monetary value'. Because utility may rise less rapidly than the monetary value of the prizes, the utility value of the game will fall short of its monetary value. Thus, uncertain prospects are worth less in utility terms than certain ones, even when expected tangible payoffs are the same.