Petersburg Paradox Assignment Help

Assignment Help: >> Choice in uncertain situations - Petersburg Paradox

St. Petersburg Paradox:

A coin is flipped until  a head  appears on the nth flip, at which  the player  is paid Rs. 2".  If X represents the prize awarded when the first head turns up on the ith  trial, then  

1834_Petersburg Paradox.png

The probability of getting a head  for the first time on the i th trial,  is  (1/2)'.  see that it is the probability of getting (i  - 1) tails and  then a head. Hence,  the probabilities of prizes, Πi are

1832_Petersburg Paradox1.png

the expected value of the game is

1247_Petersburg Paradox2.png

Since the expected value of the game is m, how much would you be willing to pay to play this game? Perhaps, not more than a few rupees. Thus, the game in this sense not worth its large expected value (no taker to enter  it). As a solution to this paradox, it was argued that individuals attached negative 'utility value' to  expected 'monetary value'. Because utility may  rise less rapidly than the monetary value of the prizes, the utility value of the game will  fall short of its monetary value. Thus, uncertain prospects are worth less in utility terms than certain ones, even when expected tangible payoffs are the same.

Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd