Expected utility theory:
When the preference relations and continuity assumptions are satisfied, we can conclude that there exists a utility function
For making this formulation workable, we need to take expectation of utilities. Before doing that, it will be useful to examine lotteries without uncertainty (or, sure winning lotteries). Let lotteries
give 'no uncertainty7 representation. Then it is not unreasonable to view utility of such a lottery as simply utility of having the corresponding state for sure. So we can write u(xk) = U(Lk). But it is generally not true that utility of a lottery is equal to the expected utility of the states given the probability distribution of the lottery.
Independence Axiom:
The preference relation on the space of simple lotteries statistics the independence axiom if for all
We interpret the above preference relation in words as follows:
When we mix each of two lotteries with a third one, then the preference ordering of the two resulting mixtures does not depend on, or independent of, the particular third lottery used. To see more specifically, suppose you choose L while comparing L and Lf . Next suppose that, whether you choose L or Lf with some probability (1 -a), you will be facing a different lottery L" . Independence axiom says, this additional uncertainty which is the same whatever your choice is, should not matter for your choice. Therefore, this axiom also says, the order (or frame) of lotteries is unimportant. That is,