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Firstly, it is imperative that I investigate the stochastic properties of each series considered in the model prior to estimating the effects of oil price shocks on macroeconomic activity. This is done by analysing the order of integration from using a unit root test. Specifically, in this project the Augmented Dicky-Fuller (ADF) test will be used.Asteriou & Hall (2011) write the three different types of ADF equations as;
Where Yt = each variable (GDP, Inflation, Interest rates, Exchange rates, Unemployment and Oil prices.)
The difference between each equation is the appearance of and respectively. These are deterministic elements, noted as the constant and trend respectively.
For this test, the hypotheses are stated as;
The null hypothesis, infers that a unit root exists, whereas the alternative hypothesis, infers that there is no root. Once this test has been passed, an appropriate lag length will need to be determined for the VAR model. If any variable does not pass this test and contains a unit root, then it will be invalid and will not be analysed in the further stages.
You have a choice between a lottery lump sum payout of $10,000,000 today or a series of 25 annual annunity payments the first payment will be one year from today ad a discount rate
Suppose you have decided to do some savings. You will deposit $200 this year into an account that earns 2% per year and increase the amount deposited each year by 20% in every year
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In a city of 120,000 people there are 20,000 Norwegians. What is the probability that a randomly selected person from the city will be Norwegian?
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Production Alternatives Type of production A B C D E Automobiles 0 2 4 6 8 Forklifts 30 27 21 12 0 If the economy is at point C, what is the (opportunity) cost of 2 more automobile
Do neoclassical economists view prices and wages as stickly or flexible
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