Already have an account? Get multiple benefits of using own account!
Login in your account..!
Remember me
Don't have an account? Create your account in less than a minutes,
Forgot password? how can I recover my password now!
Enter right registered email to receive password!
The expected monetary value method
The expected pay off as profit associated with a described combination of act and event is acquired by multiplying the pay off for that act and event combination by the probability of occurrence of the described event. The expected monetary value or EMV of an act is the sum of all expected conditional profits associated along with that act
Illustration
A manager has a choice among
i. A risky contract promising of shs 7 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 4 million along with probability 0.4 and
ii. A diversified portfolio consisting of two contracts along with independent outcomes each promising Shs 3.5 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 2 million along with probability 0.4
Could you arrive at the decision by using EMV method?
Solution
The conditional payoff table for the problem may be constructed as given below:
(Shillings in millions)
Event Ei
Probability (Ei)
Conditional pay offs decision
Expected pay off decision
(i)
Contract (ii)
Portfolio(iii)
Contract (i) x (ii)
Portfolio (i) x (iii)
Ei
0.6
7
3.5
4.2
2.1
E2
0.4
4
2
1.6
0.8
EMV
5.8
2.9
By using the EMV method the manager must go in for the risky contract that will yield him a higher expected monetary value of shs 5.8 million
You would like to have $4000 in four years for a special vacation following graduation by making deposits at the end of every 6 months in an annuity that pays 7% compounded semiann
A plane is illustrated by any three points that are in the plane. If a plane consists of the points P = (1, 0,0) , Q = (1,1,1) and R = (2, -1, 3) find out a vector that is orthogo
In the prior section we looked at Bernoulli Equations and noticed that in order to solve them we required to use the substitution v = y 1-n . By using this substitution we were cap
i have a question about discret math
round to the nearest hundreths 1677.76
The population of a city is observed as growing exponentially according to the function P(t) = P0 e kt , where the population doubled in the first 50 years. (a) Find k to three
Does this Point Lie on The Line? How do you know if a point lies on a given line? For example, does the point (1, 2) lie on the line 3x + y = 7? If you graph the line and the
Maximize P=3x+2y Subject to x+y =6 x =3 x =0,y =0
how to use matlab to reverse digits of integer using mod
Find the area of shaded region of circle of radius =7cm, if ∠AOB=70 o , ∠COD=50 o and ∠EOF=60 o . (Ans:77cm 2 ) Ans: Ar( Sector AOB + Sector COD + Sector OEF) = 7
Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!
whatsapp: +91-977-207-8620
Phone: +91-977-207-8620
Email: [email protected]
All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd