Already have an account? Get multiple benefits of using own account!
Login in your account..!
Remember me
Don't have an account? Create your account in less than a minutes,
Forgot password? how can I recover my password now!
Enter right registered email to receive password!
The expected monetary value method
The expected pay off as profit associated with a described combination of act and event is acquired by multiplying the pay off for that act and event combination by the probability of occurrence of the described event. The expected monetary value or EMV of an act is the sum of all expected conditional profits associated along with that act
Illustration
A manager has a choice among
i. A risky contract promising of shs 7 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 4 million along with probability 0.4 and
ii. A diversified portfolio consisting of two contracts along with independent outcomes each promising Shs 3.5 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 2 million along with probability 0.4
Could you arrive at the decision by using EMV method?
Solution
The conditional payoff table for the problem may be constructed as given below:
(Shillings in millions)
Event Ei
Probability (Ei)
Conditional pay offs decision
Expected pay off decision
(i)
Contract (ii)
Portfolio(iii)
Contract (i) x (ii)
Portfolio (i) x (iii)
Ei
0.6
7
3.5
4.2
2.1
E2
0.4
4
2
1.6
0.8
EMV
5.8
2.9
By using the EMV method the manager must go in for the risky contract that will yield him a higher expected monetary value of shs 5.8 million
sequencing problem
Q. What are Mutually Exclusive events? Mutually Exclusive Events are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur at the same time. For example, if you roll one die, you canno
the sides of a right angle triangle are a,a+d,a+2d with a and d both positive.the ratio of a to d a)1:2 b)1:3 c)3:1 d)5:2 answer is (c) i.e. 3:1 Solution: Applying
Independent and Dependent Events Two events A and B are independent events if the occurrence of event A is in no way related to the occurrence or non-occurrence of event
127.78*45
1.If a+b=2b and ab+cd+ad=3bc,prove that a,b,c,d are in A.P 2.The nth term of an A.P is an+b.Find the sum of the series upto n terms.
Determine the ratio in which the line 2x + y -4 = 0 divide the line segment joining the points A (2,-2) and B (3, 7).Also find the coordinates of the point of division. [Ans:2 :
Homework is worth 10% of my grade, quizzes are worth 30%, and tests are worth 40%. I have 15 grades in the homework section, they''re all 100''s. I have 2 grades in the quiz sectio
use venn diagram to present
Average Function Value The first application of integrals which we'll see is the average value of a function. The given fact tells us how to calculate this. Average Functi
Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!
whatsapp: +91-977-207-8620
Phone: +91-977-207-8620
Email: [email protected]
All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd