Already have an account? Get multiple benefits of using own account!
Login in your account..!
Remember me
Don't have an account? Create your account in less than a minutes,
Forgot password? how can I recover my password now!
Enter right registered email to receive password!
The expected monetary value method
The expected pay off as profit associated with a described combination of act and event is acquired by multiplying the pay off for that act and event combination by the probability of occurrence of the described event. The expected monetary value or EMV of an act is the sum of all expected conditional profits associated along with that act
Illustration
A manager has a choice among
i. A risky contract promising of shs 7 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 4 million along with probability 0.4 and
ii. A diversified portfolio consisting of two contracts along with independent outcomes each promising Shs 3.5 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 2 million along with probability 0.4
Could you arrive at the decision by using EMV method?
Solution
The conditional payoff table for the problem may be constructed as given below:
(Shillings in millions)
Event Ei
Probability (Ei)
Conditional pay offs decision
Expected pay off decision
(i)
Contract (ii)
Portfolio(iii)
Contract (i) x (ii)
Portfolio (i) x (iii)
Ei
0.6
7
3.5
4.2
2.1
E2
0.4
4
2
1.6
0.8
EMV
5.8
2.9
By using the EMV method the manager must go in for the risky contract that will yield him a higher expected monetary value of shs 5.8 million
(1) If the coefficient of friction between a box and the bed of a truck is m , What is the maximum acceleration with which the truck can climb a hill, making an angle q with the ho
What were the two main political parties that formed in the majority of the new nations of Latin America post independence? In what ways were they different? Which party ascended t
An irregular perimeter to the circumference of a circle such as a protrusion
The square of a number added to 25 equals 10 times the number. What is the number? Let x = the number. The statement, "The square of a number added to 25 equals 10 times the n
Ask quHarvesting prevents the population size of a species from attaining its natural carrying capacity. We can add harvesting to the logistic model by assuming that the per capita
Regression - Measures of Relationships - It is a concept that refers to the changes which happen in the dependent variable as a result of changes happens on the independent va
Two circles touch externally. The sum of their areas is 58 π cm 2 and the distance between their centres is 10 cm. Find the radii of the two circles. (Ans:7cm, 3cm) Ans:
In a square of side 8 cm two quadrant with taking the side of square as radius are inscribed in the square..
how do you divide decimals
Suppose A and B be two non-empty sets then every subset of A Χ B describes a relation from A to B and each relation from A to B is subset of AΧB. Normal 0 fals
Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!
whatsapp: +91-977-207-8620
Phone: +91-977-207-8620
Email: [email protected]
All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd