Already have an account? Get multiple benefits of using own account!
Login in your account..!
Remember me
Don't have an account? Create your account in less than a minutes,
Forgot password? how can I recover my password now!
Enter right registered email to receive password!
The expected monetary value method
The expected pay off as profit associated with a described combination of act and event is acquired by multiplying the pay off for that act and event combination by the probability of occurrence of the described event. The expected monetary value or EMV of an act is the sum of all expected conditional profits associated along with that act
Illustration
A manager has a choice among
i. A risky contract promising of shs 7 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 4 million along with probability 0.4 and
ii. A diversified portfolio consisting of two contracts along with independent outcomes each promising Shs 3.5 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 2 million along with probability 0.4
Could you arrive at the decision by using EMV method?
Solution
The conditional payoff table for the problem may be constructed as given below:
(Shillings in millions)
Event Ei
Probability (Ei)
Conditional pay offs decision
Expected pay off decision
(i)
Contract (ii)
Portfolio(iii)
Contract (i) x (ii)
Portfolio (i) x (iii)
Ei
0.6
7
3.5
4.2
2.1
E2
0.4
4
2
1.6
0.8
EMV
5.8
2.9
By using the EMV method the manager must go in for the risky contract that will yield him a higher expected monetary value of shs 5.8 million
Prove the subsequent Boolean expression: (x∨y) ∧ (x∨~y) ∧ (~x∨z) = x∧z Ans: In the following expression, LHS is equal to: (x∨y)∧(x∨ ~y)∧(~x ∨ z) = [x∧(x∨ ~y)] ∨ [y∧(x∨
NULL/ VOID/ EMPTY SET A set which has no element is known as the null set or empty set and is indicated by f (phi). The number of elements of a set A is indicated as n (A) and
Bill traveled 117 miles in 2.25 hours. What was his average speed? Use the formula d = rt (distance = rate × time). Substitute 117 miles for d. Substitute 2.25 hours for t and
Paulina played 3 soccer games on Saturday she drank I juice box during each soccer game how many juice boxes did she drank
13+13
Question: Let f be a quartic polynomial (ie. a polynomial of degree 4). Suppose that f has zeros at -2; 1; 3; 4 and that f(0) = 4. Sketch a graph of f. If f(x) is
Evaluate the given limits, showing all working: Using first principles (i.e. the method used in Example 1, Washington 2009, Using definition to find derivative ) find the
need jobs
problem faced by students
Interesting relationship between the graph of a function and the graph of its inverse : There is one last topic that we have to address quickly before we leave this section. Ther
Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!
whatsapp: +91-977-207-8620
Phone: +91-977-207-8620
Email: [email protected]
All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd