Already have an account? Get multiple benefits of using own account!
Login in your account..!
Remember me
Don't have an account? Create your account in less than a minutes,
Forgot password? how can I recover my password now!
Enter right registered email to receive password!
The expected monetary value method
The expected pay off as profit associated with a described combination of act and event is acquired by multiplying the pay off for that act and event combination by the probability of occurrence of the described event. The expected monetary value or EMV of an act is the sum of all expected conditional profits associated along with that act
Illustration
A manager has a choice among
i. A risky contract promising of shs 7 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 4 million along with probability 0.4 and
ii. A diversified portfolio consisting of two contracts along with independent outcomes each promising Shs 3.5 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 2 million along with probability 0.4
Could you arrive at the decision by using EMV method?
Solution
The conditional payoff table for the problem may be constructed as given below:
(Shillings in millions)
Event Ei
Probability (Ei)
Conditional pay offs decision
Expected pay off decision
(i)
Contract (ii)
Portfolio(iii)
Contract (i) x (ii)
Portfolio (i) x (iii)
Ei
0.6
7
3.5
4.2
2.1
E2
0.4
4
2
1.6
0.8
EMV
5.8
2.9
By using the EMV method the manager must go in for the risky contract that will yield him a higher expected monetary value of shs 5.8 million
Carl worked three more than twice as many hours as Cindy did. What is the maximum amount of hours Cindy worked if together they worked 48 hours at most? Let x = the amount of h
PROOF OF VARIOUS LIMIT PROPERTIES In this section we are going to prove several of the fundamental facts and properties about limits which we saw previously. Before proceeding
Determine and classify all the critical points of the given function. Described the intervals where function is increasing & decreasing. Solution: Firstly we'll require
Find the area of shaded region of circle of radius =7cm, if ∠AOB=70 o , ∠COD=50 o and ∠EOF=60 o . (Ans:77cm 2 ) Ans: Ar( Sector AOB + Sector COD + Sector OEF) = 7
In the innovations algorithm, show that for each n = 2, the innovation Xn - ˆXn is uncorrelated with X1, . . . , Xn-1. Conclude that Xn - ˆXn is uncorrelated with the innovations X
Another aid that can help children practise subtraction is the number strip. TGS can be used to improve their ability to count backwards. For example, subtracting 4 from 9 means
Pai is rational or irrational
do you guys have excel math
Example1 : Solve the subsequent system of equations. -2x 1 + x 2 - x 3 = 4 x 1 + 2x 2 + 3x 3 = 13 3x 1 + x 3 = -1 Solution The initial step is to write d
How to solve an assignment method
Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!
whatsapp: +91-977-207-8620
Phone: +91-977-207-8620
Email: [email protected]
All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd