Already have an account? Get multiple benefits of using own account!
Login in your account..!
Remember me
Don't have an account? Create your account in less than a minutes,
Forgot password? how can I recover my password now!
Enter right registered email to receive password!
The expected monetary value method
The expected pay off as profit associated with a described combination of act and event is acquired by multiplying the pay off for that act and event combination by the probability of occurrence of the described event. The expected monetary value or EMV of an act is the sum of all expected conditional profits associated along with that act
Illustration
A manager has a choice among
i. A risky contract promising of shs 7 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 4 million along with probability 0.4 and
ii. A diversified portfolio consisting of two contracts along with independent outcomes each promising Shs 3.5 million along with probability 0.6 and shs 2 million along with probability 0.4
Could you arrive at the decision by using EMV method?
Solution
The conditional payoff table for the problem may be constructed as given below:
(Shillings in millions)
Event Ei
Probability (Ei)
Conditional pay offs decision
Expected pay off decision
(i)
Contract (ii)
Portfolio(iii)
Contract (i) x (ii)
Portfolio (i) x (iii)
Ei
0.6
7
3.5
4.2
2.1
E2
0.4
4
2
1.6
0.8
EMV
5.8
2.9
By using the EMV method the manager must go in for the risky contract that will yield him a higher expected monetary value of shs 5.8 million
Given the hypotenuse of a right triangle: Given that the hypotenuse of a right triangle is 18" and the length of one side is 11", what is the length of another side? a 2 +
if x+y+z=pi=180 prove that sin^2x+sin^2y+sin^z-2sinx*siny*sinz=2
An engineer has 200 resistors that he keeps in one box. Resistors are colored to help their identification, and in this box there are 30 white resistors, 50 black resistors, 80 red
Sketch the graph of h (t ) = 1 - 5e 1/(t/2) Solution : Let's primary get a table of values for this function. Following is the sketch. The major point behin
A 50-foot pole casts a shadow on the ground. a) Express the angle of elevation θ of the sun as a function of the length s of the shadow. (Hint you may wish to draw this firs
Standardizing a Random Variable If X is a random variable with E(X) = m and V(X) = s 2 , then Y = (X – m)/ s is a random variable with mean 0 and standard deviatio
sin30
how do you find the tan, sin, and cos.
A polynomial satisfies the following relation f(x).f(1/x)= f(x)+f(1/x). f(2) = 33. fIND f(3) Ans) The required polynomial is x^5 +1. This polynomial satisfies the condition state
what is share and dividend?
Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!
whatsapp: +91-977-207-8620
Phone: +91-977-207-8620
Email: [email protected]
All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd