Pros and cons of var, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Since their inception, VAR models have been at the centre of many controversies associated with econometric modelling. The recurring criticism throughout history is due to the model being a-theoretic. There is not an underlying theory which is attached to the model therefore it incorporates no prior information. Asteriou and Hall (2011) argue that since there are no initial restrictions on the models parameters, one could deduce that all variables have an effect on everything. However, statistical inference, namely, causality testing can be used to eliminate those variables which are deemed insignificant from the model. Another problem which can occur when using VAR is that the parameters will consume much of the degrees of freedom, insist Gujarati & Porter (2009). For example; if we had a 4 variable model and had chosen to use 8 lags, 32 lagged parameters will exist, which in addition to the constant would total 33. Should the sample size not be sufficiently large, the parameters will use too many degrees of freedom. This will lead to problems withthe estimation.

Finally, VAR cannot be used for policy analysis due to the lack of prior information and a-theoretic nature of the VAR model; therefore the results are incredibly problematic to interpret. However there are methods to overcome this problem. Supporters of the model suggest estimating the impulse response functions thus ascertaining the effects on the variables, should one of them be subject to a shock. There are some advantages to using VAR models. They are very simple to setup. Econometricians need not worry about which variables are endogenous and which are exogenous i.e. originating within or outside the model. Additionally the estimation is extremely simple; each equation can be estimated using the standard OLS method.


Related Discussions:- Pros and cons of var

Give detail introduction of central banks, Give detail introduction of Cen...

Give detail introduction of Central banks A central bank is a public authority that is responsible for monetary policy for a country or a group of countries. Two important cen

What is the meaning of capital - Gross domestic product, What is the meanin...

What is the meaning of Capital - Gross domestic product By capital we characteristically mean manufactured goods which are used to produce other goods and services though are

Serve on an environmental policy, Suppose you serve on an environmental pol...

Suppose you serve on an environmental policy planning board for the federal government. Your task is to propose a policy initiative aimed at reducing urban air pollution, using the

Result of an export subsidy, Which of the following is a result of an expor...

Which of the following is a result of an export subsidy? a. The imposing nation always benefits from an export subsidy. b. The imposing nation suffers a terms of trade loss from an

Economic system is the best solution, Which economic system is the best sol...

Which economic system is the best solution to handling a crisis of epic proportion?

Expenditure methods, Expenditure method is also called Flow-of-Expenditure ...

Expenditure method is also called Flow-of-Expenditure method, consumption and investment method, income Disposal method, etc. Expenditure method measures the final expenditure

Determine aggregate supply curve is vertical or not, Explain whether the fo...

Explain whether the following statements are true or false: a) The long run aggregate supply curve is vertical because economic forces do not affect long run aggregate supply.

Tariffs and non-tariff barriers, Tariffs and Non-tariff Barriers A sig...

Tariffs and Non-tariff Barriers A significant aspect of the trade reforms of the 1990s was the reduction in the then prevailing very high import duties (over 300 percent in so

?k=s*f(k)-(?+n)k, y=vk ?k=s*f(k)-(?+n)k saving rate 28% population growth o...

y=vk ?k=s*f(k)-(?+n)k saving rate 28% population growth of 1% Have y persistent size s, n, g and ?function

Happens with the budget constraint, Suppose that Ana is buying only 2 goods...

Suppose that Ana is buying only 2 goods: good 1 and 2. If the price of good 1 doubles and the price of good 2 drops by one third, then what happens with the budget constraint? (Ass

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd