Probability theory, Applied Statistics

Assignment Help:

Origin and Development of probability Theory:

The credit for origin and development of probability goes to the European gamblers of 17th century. They  used to gamble  on games  of  chance  such as throwing  a dice, tossing  up a coin , horse  race, drawing  cards from a pack of cards etc.  For getting success in above games of chances. They started getting the help of mathematicians. By the deep study and calculations of these mathematicians the theory of probability originated. 

All Italian Mathematician Jerome cardoon(1501-1576)   was the first person to write a book on probability, Games  of chances which was published after his  death in 1663. In  this  book he mentioned all risks involved  and rules how to lessen  those risks  Galileo (1564-1642)  an Italian Mathematician, attempted  quantitative   measures  of probability for solving  the problems related  to the theory of dice in gambling. In  mid 17th century two French mathematicians  Blaise  Pascal (1623-1662)    mce_markernbsp; pierre   de fermat  gave  the systematic and scientific foundation of mathematical  theory  of probability. Swisss mathematician  James Bernoulli (1654-1705)  was another  brave and  strong man who made extensive study of the subject  for 2 decades  and introduced Bernoulli theorem and its theory in his book air conjectandi published in 1713  after his death in major contribution to the modern theory    of probability. In 1718 Abrahm de Moivre  (1667-1754)  published his book The  Doctrine of chances and contributed a lot to this subject.   

In 18th &19th century many mathematicians tried to develop scientific method for the development of different theorems of probability. Thomas Bayes (1702-1761) introduced the concept of inverse probability which is also known as bayes . Theorem Pierre Simon   de Laplace (1749-1827) after an extensive research published his book. Theory of Analytical  probability which constitutes the classical theory  of probability; Ronald fisher and von mises introduced empirical approach probability through an idea of sample  space, In 1926   mathematician frank Ramsey published his work the foundation of mathematics and other logical essays  in  which he introduced the theory  of subjective approach to probability. Which was developed  by Richard good Bernard, Coopman  and Lleonard  sweage. This concept is especially used in statistical decision theory.

The modern theory  of probability  was developed by a number of Russian   mathematicians like  Chebychev (1821-1894)  A  markov (1856-1922)  and A .N Kolmogarov. Kolmogarov axionised   the  theory  of probability  and  he published his work foundations of probability  in 1933  in which he introduced  probability as set function and regarded as a classic. 


Related Discussions:- Probability theory

Business statistics, Betting on sporting events is big business both in the...

Betting on sporting events is big business both in the US and abroad. Consider, for instance, next winter’s American football tournament known as the Superbowl. Billions of dollars

Bimodal distribution, There may be two values which occur with the same max...

There may be two values which occur with the same maximum frequency. The distribution is then called bimodal. In a bimodal distribution, the value of mode cannot be determined with

Simple linear regression, We are interested in assessing the effects of tem...

We are interested in assessing the effects of temperature (low, medium, and high) and technical configuration on the amount of waste output for a manufacturing plant. Suppose that

Probability, 1 A penny is tossed 5 times. a. Find the chance that the 5th t...

1 A penny is tossed 5 times. a. Find the chance that the 5th toss is a head b. Find the chance that the 5th toss is a head, given the first 4 are tails.

Kurtosis and skew, how to interpret results, a good explanation to help me ...

how to interpret results, a good explanation to help me understand.

Disadvantages of median, Disadvantages For calculating median it is ...

Disadvantages For calculating median it is necessary to arrange the data; other averages do not need any arrangement. Since it is a positional average, its value is not d

Binomial and continuous model, Exercise: (Binomial and Continuous Model.) C...

Exercise: (Binomial and Continuous Model.) Consider a binomial model of a risky asset with the parameters r = 0:06, u = 0:059, d =  0:0562, S0 = 100, T = 1, 4t = 1=12. Note that u

Large-sample and small-sample simulations, Show that when h = h* for the h...

Show that when h = h* for the histogram, the contribution to AMISE of the IV and ISB terms is asymptotically in the ratio 2:1. Compare the sensitivity of the AMISE(ch) in Equa

Circul;atory ststistics Lab, What statistics can be obtained from a circula...

What statistics can be obtained from a circulatory lab?

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd