Probability theory, Applied Statistics

Assignment Help:

Origin and Development of probability Theory:

The credit for origin and development of probability goes to the European gamblers of 17th century. They  used to gamble  on games  of  chance  such as throwing  a dice, tossing  up a coin , horse  race, drawing  cards from a pack of cards etc.  For getting success in above games of chances. They started getting the help of mathematicians. By the deep study and calculations of these mathematicians the theory of probability originated. 

All Italian Mathematician Jerome cardoon(1501-1576)   was the first person to write a book on probability, Games  of chances which was published after his  death in 1663. In  this  book he mentioned all risks involved  and rules how to lessen  those risks  Galileo (1564-1642)  an Italian Mathematician, attempted  quantitative   measures  of probability for solving  the problems related  to the theory of dice in gambling. In  mid 17th century two French mathematicians  Blaise  Pascal (1623-1662)    mce_markernbsp; pierre   de fermat  gave  the systematic and scientific foundation of mathematical  theory  of probability. Swisss mathematician  James Bernoulli (1654-1705)  was another  brave and  strong man who made extensive study of the subject  for 2 decades  and introduced Bernoulli theorem and its theory in his book air conjectandi published in 1713  after his death in major contribution to the modern theory    of probability. In 1718 Abrahm de Moivre  (1667-1754)  published his book The  Doctrine of chances and contributed a lot to this subject.   

In 18th &19th century many mathematicians tried to develop scientific method for the development of different theorems of probability. Thomas Bayes (1702-1761) introduced the concept of inverse probability which is also known as bayes . Theorem Pierre Simon   de Laplace (1749-1827) after an extensive research published his book. Theory of Analytical  probability which constitutes the classical theory  of probability; Ronald fisher and von mises introduced empirical approach probability through an idea of sample  space, In 1926   mathematician frank Ramsey published his work the foundation of mathematics and other logical essays  in  which he introduced the theory  of subjective approach to probability. Which was developed  by Richard good Bernard, Coopman  and Lleonard  sweage. This concept is especially used in statistical decision theory.

The modern theory  of probability  was developed by a number of Russian   mathematicians like  Chebychev (1821-1894)  A  markov (1856-1922)  and A .N Kolmogarov. Kolmogarov axionised   the  theory  of probability  and  he published his work foundations of probability  in 1933  in which he introduced  probability as set function and regarded as a classic. 


Related Discussions:- Probability theory

Techniques, Q. 1 a) Describe the important quantitative techniques used in ...

Q. 1 a) Describe the important quantitative techniques used in public system management. (10) b) Do you think the day will come when all decisions are made with the assistance of

Methods of forecasting, Methods of Forecasting  Various techniques whic...

Methods of Forecasting  Various techniques which are generally used in business forecasting are as under: 1.      Forecasting  through the opinion of heads  of department

Decision making ., it is said that management is equivalent to decision mak...

it is said that management is equivalent to decision making? do you agree? explain

Explain survey development process, Problem: A survey usually originate...

Problem: A survey usually originates when an individual or an institution is confronted with an information need and the existing data are  insufficient. Planning the questionn

Spatial ability test, What would be the cutoff score to indicate a score th...

What would be the cutoff score to indicate a score that is in the top 15% of the scores on a test with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15? This question has multiple p

Calculate the maximum weight of the engine, Determine the maximum weight in...

Determine the maximum weight in kN to one decimal point (1 DP) of the engine that can be supported without exceeding the tension given in  Parameter 1 (P1) in chain AB or 1.1 x P1

Advantages of median, Advantages It is especially useful in c...

Advantages It is especially useful in case of open-end classes since only the position and not the values of items must be known. The median is also recommended if th

Canonical correlation analysis, Canonical correlation analysis (CC) allows ...

Canonical correlation analysis (CC) allows the investigation of the relationship between two ,sets of variables. For example, a sociologist may want to investigate the Relationship

Find the backward induction equilibrium, A rightist incumbent (player I) an...

A rightist incumbent (player I) and a leftist challenger (player C) run for senate. Each candidate chooses among two possible political platforms: Left or Right. The rules of the g

Econometrics, implications of multicollinearity

implications of multicollinearity

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd