Probability analysis, Financial Accounting

Assignment Help:

Probability Analysis

This engrosses the assessment of the probabilities of future events linked to an investment project. If these events are universal circumstances the technique is called scenario analysis. For instance an assessment might be made of the outcome of an investment project under poor and moderate and good economic conditions and the probability of each economic state arising assessed.

Another approach is to assess the likelihood of particular values of project variables occurring therefore that a probability distribution for each variable can be determined. This cause the technique called simulation or the Monte Carlo method which results in a probability distribution for the project NPV.

With both approaches it is consequently possible to determine the expected net present value (ENPV) based on all possible outcomes, and the probability of a negative or zero NPV. The problem with possibility analysis is that in practice it is difficult to determine the probabilities to be attached to future events. An inescapable element of subjectivity is probable to exist in probability estimates.


Related Discussions:- Probability analysis

Major qualitative characteristics of accounting information, Four major qua...

Four major qualitative characteristics of accounting information There are four major qualitative characteristics which influence usefulness of accounting information. Additio

Calculation of the change in finance costs, Q. Calculation of the change in...

Q. Calculation of the change in finance costs? Past ACCA examiners have occupied inconsistent approaches regarding the calculation of the change in finance costs due to settlem

Half secret trusts-secret trusts-trusts laws and accounts, Half secret trus...

Half secret trusts In this type of trust the will states that the gift is on trust, but the name of the beneficiary is not specified. Since the existence of a trust is disclose

Objectives of inventory management, The twin objectives of inventory manage...

The twin objectives of inventory management are financial and operational. The operational objective implies that the materials and spares would be obtainable in sufficient quantit

Determine the cost of capital and risk free rate, Instructions: The ...

Instructions: The case should be done in your assigned groups. Hand in a brief write-up not exceeding two pages explaining what was done.   In April 198

Finacial management, There are two projects A and B. The initial capital ou...

There are two projects A and B. The initial capital outlay of A and B are Rs.1,35,000 and Rs.2,40,000 respectively. There will be no scrap value at the end of the life of both the

determine the hibor , The following are the three-month HIBOR and three-ye...

The following are the three-month HIBOR and three-year EFN futures prices for September 2010 contracts.   a Determine the HIBOR in three-months for settling the futures

Prepare journal entries to record the borrowing, On December 1, 2013, Colon...

On December 1, 2013, Colonel Wilder borrowed $400,000 at 12% interest and pledged $500,000 in accounts receivable as collateral. Additionally, Colonel Wilder was charged a finance

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd