Monte carlo simulation model, Financial Management

Assignment Help:

Monte Carlo Simulation Model

Monte Carlo simulation is used to analyse to what extent the valuation of the chosen company is dependent on the assumptions. Monte Carlo simulation is based on artificially creating a chance process, running it many times and observing the result (Barreto & Howland, 2005). A deterministic model is created on the excel sheet for the calculation of valuation of the share of the company. A set of inputs are identified that are assumed to arrive at the valuation of the company. These inputs are varied and result of the model is evaluated. This way the model is run many times. Results are analysed using statistical methods like histograms, probability distribution, and summary statistics. Monte Carlo simulation takes into account already defined variables with their all possible values and iterate these values thousands of time to analyse all the possible results expected with the change in inputs.

359_Monte Carlo Simulation.png

Figure: Monte Carlo Simulation model

So in Monte Carlo simulation instead of fixed inputs a probability distribution is applied to some or all of the inputs which generates a probability distribution of the Output.

Analysis of the result of the Monte Carlo simulation is done to analyse how the valuation of the companies changes with the change in inputs. But this simulation requires that inputs like beta, growth rates are defined by a distribution. Distribution could be normal, triangular, binomial, lognormal, studentt, exponential etc. Triangular distribution is typically used where data is predicted subjectively and it is not possible to collect sufficient data for the population sample. This is based on a minimum, maximum and a subjective guess what is the most likely value the data can take.


Related Discussions:- Monte carlo simulation model

Explain dual currency bond, Explain Dual Currency Bond A dual currency ...

Explain Dual Currency Bond A dual currency bond is a straight fixed-rate bond that is issued in one currency and pays coupon interest in that similar currency.  At maturity, th

Types of investment decisions, Q. Types of investment decisions? (1) Sh...

Q. Types of investment decisions? (1) Short-term investment decisions: - This kind of investment decisions related to the short-term assets. These decisions are as well called

What is the market risk premium in spain at the present, What is the market...

What is the market risk premium in Spain at the present moment - the number which I have to use in the valuations? It is not possible to talk of "the" market premium for Spain.

Collar, Collar A collar can be established by holding a share, along w...

Collar A collar can be established by holding a share, along with purchasing a protective put and writing a covered call, where both options at out-of-money.. For Example

Explain why warrants are rarely exercised, Explain why warrants are rarely ...

Explain why warrants are rarely exercised unless the time to maturity is small? Warrants are seldom exercised till the time to expiration is small because the market price of the

Show the objectives of inventory management, Q. Show the Objectives of Inve...

Q. Show the Objectives of Inventory Management? Objectives of Inventory Management- The objectives of Inventory Management are: To maintain a adequate large size of inventor

Financial and strategic analysis, Evaluate the firm’s financial standing fo...

Evaluate the firm’s financial standing for the past 5 years: • Undertake a financial and strategic analysis of its performance: o Use the Assignment Questions for guidance ON

London stock exchange, London Stock Exchange (LSE) The origin of the Lo...

London Stock Exchange (LSE) The origin of the London Stock Exchange goes back to the coffee houses of 17th century. London, where people willing to invest or raise money, bough

Use of derivatives in equity portfolio management, Do you provide assignmen...

Do you provide assignment help on the topic Use of Derivatives in Equity Portfolio Management?

Determine about the entity level - inherent risk, At entity level - Inheren...

At entity level - Inherent risk Integrity of management. Management's experience and knowledge Over reliance on key customers. Unusual pressures on management

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd