Monte carlo simulation model, Financial Management

Assignment Help:

Monte Carlo Simulation Model

Monte Carlo simulation is used to analyse to what extent the valuation of the chosen company is dependent on the assumptions. Monte Carlo simulation is based on artificially creating a chance process, running it many times and observing the result (Barreto & Howland, 2005). A deterministic model is created on the excel sheet for the calculation of valuation of the share of the company. A set of inputs are identified that are assumed to arrive at the valuation of the company. These inputs are varied and result of the model is evaluated. This way the model is run many times. Results are analysed using statistical methods like histograms, probability distribution, and summary statistics. Monte Carlo simulation takes into account already defined variables with their all possible values and iterate these values thousands of time to analyse all the possible results expected with the change in inputs.

359_Monte Carlo Simulation.png

Figure: Monte Carlo Simulation model

So in Monte Carlo simulation instead of fixed inputs a probability distribution is applied to some or all of the inputs which generates a probability distribution of the Output.

Analysis of the result of the Monte Carlo simulation is done to analyse how the valuation of the companies changes with the change in inputs. But this simulation requires that inputs like beta, growth rates are defined by a distribution. Distribution could be normal, triangular, binomial, lognormal, studentt, exponential etc. Triangular distribution is typically used where data is predicted subjectively and it is not possible to collect sufficient data for the population sample. This is based on a minimum, maximum and a subjective guess what is the most likely value the data can take.


Related Discussions:- Monte carlo simulation model

Show the present value of a single flow, Q. Show the Present Value of a Sin...

Q. Show the Present Value of a Single Flow ? Discounting or else Present Value of a Single Flow (Lump Sum):- We are able to determine the PV of a future cash flow using the for

Parties to mutual fund trust, Parties to Mutual Fund Trust As is common...

Parties to Mutual Fund Trust As is common to any trust covered under the Indian Trust Act, the parties involved in a mutual fund trust are the sponsor or settler, the trustees,

20x6 the balances in the several accounts , At the end of March, 20X6 the ...

At the end of March, 20X6 the balances in the several accounts of Nitin & Company are as follows:

Calculate the annual interest , Reston, Inc., has asked your corporation, P...

Reston, Inc., has asked your corporation, Pruro, Inc., for financial assistance. As a long-time customer of Reston, your firm has decided to give that assistance. The question you

State about the quick ratio - position ratios, State about the Quick ratio ...

State about the Quick ratio or acid test Quick ratio = Current assets less inventories /Current liabilities(times) This  ratio  measures  immediate  solvency  of  a  busin

Essential features of a sound capital mix, ESSENTIAL FEATURES OF A SOUND CA...

ESSENTIAL FEATURES OF A SOUND CAPITAL MIX A sound or an appropriate Capital structure should have the following essential features : highest possible use of leverage

Illustrate in brokered markets in trade intermediation, Illustrate the in b...

Illustrate the in brokered markets according to trade intermediation. In brokered markets: In brokered markets, brokers execute an active search function to match buyers and

Preparing the divestiture, Preparing the Divestiture No two divestiture...

Preparing the Divestiture No two divestitures are exactly alike and one of the foremost tasks of the project team is to determine precisely what is to be sold. While some dives

Show the compound value of the single flow, Q. Show the Compound Value of t...

Q. Show the Compound Value of the Single Flow ? Compound Value of the Single Flow (Lump Sum):- The process of computing future value becomes very cumbersome if they have to be

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd