Monte carlo simulation model, Financial Management

Assignment Help:

Monte Carlo Simulation Model

Monte Carlo simulation is used to analyse to what extent the valuation of the chosen company is dependent on the assumptions. Monte Carlo simulation is based on artificially creating a chance process, running it many times and observing the result (Barreto & Howland, 2005). A deterministic model is created on the excel sheet for the calculation of valuation of the share of the company. A set of inputs are identified that are assumed to arrive at the valuation of the company. These inputs are varied and result of the model is evaluated. This way the model is run many times. Results are analysed using statistical methods like histograms, probability distribution, and summary statistics. Monte Carlo simulation takes into account already defined variables with their all possible values and iterate these values thousands of time to analyse all the possible results expected with the change in inputs.

359_Monte Carlo Simulation.png

Figure: Monte Carlo Simulation model

So in Monte Carlo simulation instead of fixed inputs a probability distribution is applied to some or all of the inputs which generates a probability distribution of the Output.

Analysis of the result of the Monte Carlo simulation is done to analyse how the valuation of the companies changes with the change in inputs. But this simulation requires that inputs like beta, growth rates are defined by a distribution. Distribution could be normal, triangular, binomial, lognormal, studentt, exponential etc. Triangular distribution is typically used where data is predicted subjectively and it is not possible to collect sufficient data for the population sample. This is based on a minimum, maximum and a subjective guess what is the most likely value the data can take.


Related Discussions:- Monte carlo simulation model

Marginal weighting system, uses and limitations of the marginal weighting s...

uses and limitations of the marginal weighting system

Calculate the amount invested in treasury bonds, You have an investment cap...

You have an investment capital of $1,000,000.  You plan to invest a portion of this money in Treasury bonds and the remainder in a stock portfolio.  Treasury bonds are expected to

Cost of holding inventories, Q. Cost of Holding Inventories? The holdin...

Q. Cost of Holding Inventories? The holding of inventories engages blocking of a firm's funds. The various risks as well as costs in holding inventories are as below: (1) Ca

None, Reacher Technology has consulted with investment bankers and determin...

Reacher Technology has consulted with investment bankers and determined the intere Reacher Technology has consulted with investment bankers and determined the interest rate it woul

Types of floating-rate securities, Floating rate securities can be br...

Floating rate securities can be broadly divided into following two parts: Floating-rate securities that have constant quoted margin. Floating-rate sec

Time value of money, Can you help me out on the Time value of money????? ...

Can you help me out on the Time value of money????? I need urgent help on this topic...

What is profit maximisation criterion, Profit maximisation criterion P...

Profit maximisation criterion Profit maximisation criterion is unsuitable and inappropriate as an operational objective of financing, investment and dividend decisions of a fi

Compare and contrast mutual and stockholder, Compare and contrast mutual an...

Compare and contrast mutual and stockholder-owned savings and loan associations. A few savings and loan associations are owned by stockholders, just like commercial banks and ot

The japanese pension fund system, The Japanese Pension Fund System The J...

The Japanese Pension Fund System The Japanese pension system is a multi-pillar system. Public and private pension schemes are the two important pillars. The first tier is the Ba

What are the disclosure requirements, Disclosure requirements · Common...

Disclosure requirements · Common information about how operating segments were identified and types of products and services from which every operating segment derives its rev

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd