Monte carlo simulation model, Financial Management

Assignment Help:

Monte Carlo Simulation Model

Monte Carlo simulation is used to analyse to what extent the valuation of the chosen company is dependent on the assumptions. Monte Carlo simulation is based on artificially creating a chance process, running it many times and observing the result (Barreto & Howland, 2005). A deterministic model is created on the excel sheet for the calculation of valuation of the share of the company. A set of inputs are identified that are assumed to arrive at the valuation of the company. These inputs are varied and result of the model is evaluated. This way the model is run many times. Results are analysed using statistical methods like histograms, probability distribution, and summary statistics. Monte Carlo simulation takes into account already defined variables with their all possible values and iterate these values thousands of time to analyse all the possible results expected with the change in inputs.

359_Monte Carlo Simulation.png

Figure: Monte Carlo Simulation model

So in Monte Carlo simulation instead of fixed inputs a probability distribution is applied to some or all of the inputs which generates a probability distribution of the Output.

Analysis of the result of the Monte Carlo simulation is done to analyse how the valuation of the companies changes with the change in inputs. But this simulation requires that inputs like beta, growth rates are defined by a distribution. Distribution could be normal, triangular, binomial, lognormal, studentt, exponential etc. Triangular distribution is typically used where data is predicted subjectively and it is not possible to collect sufficient data for the population sample. This is based on a minimum, maximum and a subjective guess what is the most likely value the data can take.


Related Discussions:- Monte carlo simulation model

Laspeyres method, Laspeyres Method Laspeyres method uses the quantities...

Laspeyres Method Laspeyres method uses the quantities consumed during the base period in computing the index number. This method is also the most commonly used method which inc

Variance analysis, a)   Write short note - 1) P V Ratio 2) Margi...

a)   Write short note - 1) P V Ratio 2) Margin of Safety   3) Material Variances 4) Absorption Costing b)  Describe the meaning of the term 'variance an

What is the significance of working capital, Q. What is the significance of...

Q. What is the significance of Working Capital? Meaning of Working Capital: - Working capital management is an significant aspect of financial management. In business money is

Financial Analysis of a company, You are required to choose a company for a...

You are required to choose a company for analysis. This company should be quoted on one of the principal international exchanges. It may be your own company. You should then do the

Aggressive approach of financial management, Q. Aggressive Approach of fina...

Q. Aggressive Approach of financial management? A -firm may be aggressive in financing its assets. An aggressive policy is said to be followed by the firm when it uses short-te

Relationship between bond price and time, Relationship between Bond Price a...

Relationship between Bond Price and Time   (If Interest Rates are Constant) The bond price changes as the bond moves closer to its maturity. If the bond is quoted

Evaluate the use of market multiples, The annual report and accounts for As...

The annual report and accounts for Astra Zeneca plc and Epistem Holdings plc and other relevant financial information are available in the ‘TMA 02 Resources folder' in the Assessme

Just-in-time inventory management processes, Q. Just-in-time inventory mana...

Q. Just-in-time inventory management processes? Just-in-time (JIT) inventory management processes seek to eliminate any waste that arises in the manufacturing process as a resu

Net present Value, Given below are the cash flows of a project. Find out th...

Given below are the cash flows of a project. Find out the net present value of the project. Cost of capital is 18% and initial investment is Rs. 2,00,000. Year Cash Flows (lakhs)

Calculate the break-even point, A Video Rental store has two employees. The...

A Video Rental store has two employees. The Supervisor is paid $2,200 per month. The other employee, Mark is paid $1,200 per month. In addition, Mark is paid a commission of 20 cen

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd