Monte carlo simulation model, Financial Management

Assignment Help:

Monte Carlo Simulation Model

Monte Carlo simulation is used to analyse to what extent the valuation of the chosen company is dependent on the assumptions. Monte Carlo simulation is based on artificially creating a chance process, running it many times and observing the result (Barreto & Howland, 2005). A deterministic model is created on the excel sheet for the calculation of valuation of the share of the company. A set of inputs are identified that are assumed to arrive at the valuation of the company. These inputs are varied and result of the model is evaluated. This way the model is run many times. Results are analysed using statistical methods like histograms, probability distribution, and summary statistics. Monte Carlo simulation takes into account already defined variables with their all possible values and iterate these values thousands of time to analyse all the possible results expected with the change in inputs.

359_Monte Carlo Simulation.png

Figure: Monte Carlo Simulation model

So in Monte Carlo simulation instead of fixed inputs a probability distribution is applied to some or all of the inputs which generates a probability distribution of the Output.

Analysis of the result of the Monte Carlo simulation is done to analyse how the valuation of the companies changes with the change in inputs. But this simulation requires that inputs like beta, growth rates are defined by a distribution. Distribution could be normal, triangular, binomial, lognormal, studentt, exponential etc. Triangular distribution is typically used where data is predicted subjectively and it is not possible to collect sufficient data for the population sample. This is based on a minimum, maximum and a subjective guess what is the most likely value the data can take.


Related Discussions:- Monte carlo simulation model

Measure of central tendency, One of the most important objectiv...

One of the most important objectives of statistical analysis is to get one single value that describes the characteristic of the entire mass of unwieldy

Financial control and control of working capital, a) Sponsorship - refers t...

a) Sponsorship - refers to monetary gifts or donations in support of a business or an event venture in return for a dominant display of the sponsor's name. In this case, FC Barcelo

Finance, a) Describe five factors that should be taken into account by a bu...

a) Describe five factors that should be taken into account by a businessman in making the choice between financing by short-term and long-term sources.

Rate changes and duration estimate, To calculate duration, we need to...

To calculate duration, we need to first obtain the values for V - and V + where V - is the price when the yield decreases by certain number of basis points and V +

State the traditional approach of financial management, Traditional Approac...

Traditional Approach of financial management Traditional approach to the scope of financial management refers to its subject matter, in academic literature in initial stages o

Show company monetary statements, It is true that company monetary statemen...

It is true that company monetary statements will often consist of narrative information about staff as a key resource. However, under accounting regulation this resource is not sho

Options markets, Options Markets: Man has always been innovative and in...

Options Markets: Man has always been innovative and ingenuous. His determination to improvise and overcome the limitations of various processes has resulted in phenomenal and e

Report on the valuation of endess, Q. Report on the valuation of Endess? ...

Q. Report on the valuation of Endess? Ideally the valuation must be based upon the present value of incremental cash flows that result from the buy-in but in practice this data

Graphic presentation of net operating income approach, Q. Graphic Presentat...

Q. Graphic Presentation of Net Operating Income Approach ? Graphic Presentation of NOI (Net Operating Income) Approach: - NOI (Net Operating Income) approach is explained graph

Call schedule, It shows the date and corresponding prices at which th...

It shows the date and corresponding prices at which the issuer can call back bonds. The issuer pays higher premium over the par value of the bond if the bond is c

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd