Monte carlo simulation model, Financial Management

Assignment Help:

Monte Carlo Simulation Model

Monte Carlo simulation is used to analyse to what extent the valuation of the chosen company is dependent on the assumptions. Monte Carlo simulation is based on artificially creating a chance process, running it many times and observing the result (Barreto & Howland, 2005). A deterministic model is created on the excel sheet for the calculation of valuation of the share of the company. A set of inputs are identified that are assumed to arrive at the valuation of the company. These inputs are varied and result of the model is evaluated. This way the model is run many times. Results are analysed using statistical methods like histograms, probability distribution, and summary statistics. Monte Carlo simulation takes into account already defined variables with their all possible values and iterate these values thousands of time to analyse all the possible results expected with the change in inputs.

359_Monte Carlo Simulation.png

Figure: Monte Carlo Simulation model

So in Monte Carlo simulation instead of fixed inputs a probability distribution is applied to some or all of the inputs which generates a probability distribution of the Output.

Analysis of the result of the Monte Carlo simulation is done to analyse how the valuation of the companies changes with the change in inputs. But this simulation requires that inputs like beta, growth rates are defined by a distribution. Distribution could be normal, triangular, binomial, lognormal, studentt, exponential etc. Triangular distribution is typically used where data is predicted subjectively and it is not possible to collect sufficient data for the population sample. This is based on a minimum, maximum and a subjective guess what is the most likely value the data can take.


Related Discussions:- Monte carlo simulation model

Strategies to achieve financial targets, The XYZ company supplies products ...

The XYZ company supplies products to a number of original equipment manufacturers (OEM's). It employs 5,000 mostly unionized workers and generates about $2.2 billion in revenue ann

Types of capital budgeting, Types of Capital Budgeting Decisions: A bu...

Types of Capital Budgeting Decisions: A business organization has to quite normal face the problem of capital investment decisions. Capital investment defines as the investmen

Expalin the term company objectives, Expalin the term Company Objectives ...

Expalin the term Company Objectives Financial management is anxious with making decisions about the provision and use of a firm's finances. A rational method to decision-making

Agency theory, AGENCY THEORY An agency relationship may be defined as a...

AGENCY THEORY An agency relationship may be defined as a contract under which one or more people (the principals) hire another person (the agent) to perform some services on th

Market versus capital market, For what kinds of needs do you think a firm w...

For what kinds of needs do you think a firm would issue securities in the money market versus the capital market?

Pension fund management: a global perspective, Pension Fund Management: A G...

Pension Fund Management: A Global Perspective Pension funds are known worldwide more for their social security element. They have assumed more importance from the day the priva

Advanced Accounting, Balance Sheets Peony Ltd. Aster Ltd. ...

Balance Sheets Peony Ltd. Aster Ltd. Assets: Cash $ 62,500 $ 25,000 Accounts receivable 187,500 200,000 Inventori

Explain calculation firm risk of a capital budgeting project, Explain how t...

Explain how to measure the firm risk of a capital budgeting project. The firm risk of a capital budgeting project calculates the impact of adding a new project to the existing pr

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd