Marginal probability, Mathematics

Assignment Help:

Marginal Probability

Probability of event A happening, denoted by P(A), is called single probability, marginal or unconditional probability.

Marginal or Unconditional Probability is defined as the ratio of number of possible outcomes favorable to the event A to the total number of possible outcomes.

P(A) 

= 1428_marginal probability.png

The definition assumes that the elements of the sample space have an equally likely chance of occurring.

Example 

A gambler places a bet on numbers 14 through 25. There are 12 equally likely winning outcomes. The roulette wheel (a gambling instrument which can display any one of 38 equally likely numbers as the winning number) contains 38 equally likely outcomes.

The probability of the wheel stopping on a number from 14 through 25 (say event A) = 12/38 = 0.316.

The probability of losing, i.e. the wheel stopping on numbers other than 14 through 25 (say event B) is the probability of the complement of A occurring. The complement of an event A is defined as  A' , where  A' represents the non-occurrence of event A. So, the probability of  A'  (B) = 26/38 = 0.684.

P (A') = P(B) = 1 - P(A) because A and  A'  are the only possible events and they are mutually exclusive events of the sample of 38 equally likely outcomes. Thus, P(A) + P (A') = 1 and P(A and  A' ) is 0.


Related Discussions:- Marginal probability

#title.automotive cruise control system., What are some of the interestingm...

What are some of the interestingmodern developments in cruise control systems that contrast with comparatively basic old systems

Arc length for parametric equations, Arc Length for Parametric Equations ...

Arc Length for Parametric Equations L = ∫ β α √ ((dx/dt) 2 + (dy/dt) 2 ) dt Note: that we could have utilized the second formula for ds above is we had supposed inste

Simulation model, Thorwarth M., Arisha, A. and Harper P., (2009) Simulation...

Thorwarth M., Arisha, A. and Harper P., (2009) Simulation model to investigate flexible workload management for healthcare and servicescape environment, Proceedings of the 2009 Win

Convergence, Assume that (xn) is a sequence of real numbers and that a, b €...

Assume that (xn) is a sequence of real numbers and that a, b € R with a is not eaqual to 0. (a) If (x n ) converges to x, show that (|ax n + b|) converges to |ax + b|. (b) Give

Volume of grains in the silo , The volume of grains in a silo at a particul...

The volume of grains in a silo at a particular time (measured in hours) is given by V (t) = 4t(3-t) m 3 . Find the rate of change of the volume of grains in the silo from first pri

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd