Lag length criteria, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Lag Length criteria

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria

 

 

 

 

Endogenous variables: OIL EXCH R RPI LUNEMP GDP 

 

 

 

Exogenous variables: C 

 

 

 

 

Date: 04/10/12   Time: 09:40

 

 

 

 

Sample: 1980Q1 2011Q4

 

 

 

 

Included observations: 90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Lag

LogL

LR

FPE

AIC

SC

HQ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

-1297.398

NA 

 152838.1

 28.96439

 29.13105

 29.03160

1

-629.2589

 1232.345

 0.121419

 14.91686

 16.08344

 15.38730

2

-546.9702

 140.8050

 0.043857

 13.88823

  16.05473*

  14.76189*

3

-502.2073

 70.62590

 0.037065

 13.69350

 16.85992

 14.97039

4

-469.5335

 47.19560

 0.042007

 13.76741

 17.93376

 15.44753

5

-424.0268

 59.66430

 0.037071

 13.55615

 18.72242

 15.63950

6

-377.6019

 54.67826

 0.033616

 13.32449

 19.49068

 15.81106

7

-312.0832

 68.43057

 0.021261

 12.66852

 19.83464

 15.55832

8

-247.3143

  59.01173*

  0.014906*

  12.02921*

 20.19525

 15.32223

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 * indicates lag order selected by the criterion

 

 

 

 LR: sequential modified LR test statistic (each test at 5% level)

 

 

 FPE: Final prediction error

 

 

 

 

 AIC: Akaike information criterion

 

 

 

 

 SC: Schwarz information criterion

 

 

 

 

 HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fig - Table of Lag Order Selection Criteria from Eviews

From Fig it can be seen that the AIC statistic minimises at a lag length of 8. Therefore, according to Akaike, this should be the lag length which is used in the VAR model. However it can also be seen that the SC and HQC both minimise at the lag length 2. As the lag length 2 satisfies more than one criterion, and therefore the majority of criteria assessed in this paper, this length will be chosen.This length should produce the best goodness of fit for the VAR model.


Related Discussions:- Lag length criteria

Regression analysis, Regression Analysis This is a statistical tool whi...

Regression Analysis This is a statistical tool which is used to discern the relationship among a dependent variable as like sales to one or more independent variables like adve

How central banks increase the monetary base, How central banks increase th...

How central banks increase the monetary base When the Central Bank cuts the target rate, they must simultaneously increase the monetary base by buying government securities. The

Equilibrium in money markit, equilibrium in money market and derivation of ...

equilibrium in money market and derivation of lm curve

Social entrepreneur is relying on contributions, If a social entrepreneur i...

If a social entrepreneur is relying on contributions, are there not risks in being accountable and using that money wisely?

Liberalisation and mode of entry, Liberalisation and Mode of Entry: Va...

Liberalisation and Mode of Entry: Various new forms of FDI flows have also emerged. Besides mergers and  joint ventures, transactional relationships are emerging such  as lice

Determining the lm curve, This problem revolves around determining the LM c...

This problem revolves around determining the LM curve, as we did earlier in the term such that money demand (M D ) equals money supply (M S ), however in this instance under differ

Difficulties in measuring the national income, DIFFICULTIES IN MEASURING TH...

DIFFICULTIES IN MEASURING THE NATIONAL INCOME  There are some conceptual and statistical problems in measuring national product. Some items are excluded from the national incom

Assignment, what are the effects of interest rate in the economy of south a...

what are the effects of interest rate in the economy of south africa in unemployment, economic groth, employment. and economic growth

MARKET, COMPARE AND CONTRAST CLASSICAL MODEL AND KEYNESIAN THEOTY

COMPARE AND CONTRAST CLASSICAL MODEL AND KEYNESIAN THEOTY

What is the malthusian theory on population, If population growth carry on ...

If population growth carry on then there will not be sufficient resources around for everyone this will lead to an event such as famine / war, which will decrease the population.

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd