Lag length criteria, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Lag Length criteria

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria

 

 

 

 

Endogenous variables: OIL EXCH R RPI LUNEMP GDP 

 

 

 

Exogenous variables: C 

 

 

 

 

Date: 04/10/12   Time: 09:40

 

 

 

 

Sample: 1980Q1 2011Q4

 

 

 

 

Included observations: 90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Lag

LogL

LR

FPE

AIC

SC

HQ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

-1297.398

NA 

 152838.1

 28.96439

 29.13105

 29.03160

1

-629.2589

 1232.345

 0.121419

 14.91686

 16.08344

 15.38730

2

-546.9702

 140.8050

 0.043857

 13.88823

  16.05473*

  14.76189*

3

-502.2073

 70.62590

 0.037065

 13.69350

 16.85992

 14.97039

4

-469.5335

 47.19560

 0.042007

 13.76741

 17.93376

 15.44753

5

-424.0268

 59.66430

 0.037071

 13.55615

 18.72242

 15.63950

6

-377.6019

 54.67826

 0.033616

 13.32449

 19.49068

 15.81106

7

-312.0832

 68.43057

 0.021261

 12.66852

 19.83464

 15.55832

8

-247.3143

  59.01173*

  0.014906*

  12.02921*

 20.19525

 15.32223

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 * indicates lag order selected by the criterion

 

 

 

 LR: sequential modified LR test statistic (each test at 5% level)

 

 

 FPE: Final prediction error

 

 

 

 

 AIC: Akaike information criterion

 

 

 

 

 SC: Schwarz information criterion

 

 

 

 

 HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fig - Table of Lag Order Selection Criteria from Eviews

From Fig it can be seen that the AIC statistic minimises at a lag length of 8. Therefore, according to Akaike, this should be the lag length which is used in the VAR model. However it can also be seen that the SC and HQC both minimise at the lag length 2. As the lag length 2 satisfies more than one criterion, and therefore the majority of criteria assessed in this paper, this length will be chosen.This length should produce the best goodness of fit for the VAR model.


Related Discussions:- Lag length criteria

Explain about nominal wage level, Q. Explain about Nominal wage level? ...

Q. Explain about Nominal wage level? In macroeconomics, we are usually not interested in the wage for a specific individual though in the average wage for all employed individu

What is money supply, What is Money supply The monetary base is only a ...

What is Money supply The monetary base is only a small part of the total money supply but, through the multiplier effect, the central bank's control over the money supply is ma

Aggregate demand policies, Aggregate Demand Policies Both fiscal and m...

Aggregate Demand Policies Both fiscal and monetary policy changes shift the AD curve. Let us see how, starting with a fiscal expansion. See figure 6.2. In the upper panel, the

Difference between a normal good and an inferior good, Price/Feeder Quantit...

Price/Feeder Quantity Demanded Quantity Supplied $300 500 1800 270 600 1700 240 700 1600 210 800 1500 180 1000 1400 150 1100 1300 120 1200 1200 90 1300 1100 60 1400 1000 30 1500 90

National income, # ???? .. difference between gdp at market price and nnp...

# ???? .. difference between gdp at market price and nnp at factor cost

Newspaper vending machines, Newspaper vending machines are designed so that...

Newspaper vending machines are designed so that once you have paid for one paper; you have access to all the papers in the machine and could take multiple papers at a time. However

Islm curve, why lm curve upward sloping and is curve downward sloping?

why lm curve upward sloping and is curve downward sloping?

Income elasticity, If 5000 units are sold and income increases by 20% with ...

If 5000 units are sold and income increases by 20% with an income elastiticy of +2, what will the number of sales units be after the increase

Real output and employment increases, Historically, shifts toward a more ex...

Historically, shifts toward a more expansionary monetary policy have often been associated with increases in real output. Is this surprising? Why or why not? Can an expansion in th

Determined at the intersection of the money demand, Consider the supply of ...

Consider the supply of money graph above. Which of the following can be determined at the intersection of the Money Demand and Money Supply curves? The rate of open market transact

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd