Lag length criteria, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Lag Length criteria

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria

 

 

 

 

Endogenous variables: OIL EXCH R RPI LUNEMP GDP 

 

 

 

Exogenous variables: C 

 

 

 

 

Date: 04/10/12   Time: 09:40

 

 

 

 

Sample: 1980Q1 2011Q4

 

 

 

 

Included observations: 90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Lag

LogL

LR

FPE

AIC

SC

HQ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

-1297.398

NA 

 152838.1

 28.96439

 29.13105

 29.03160

1

-629.2589

 1232.345

 0.121419

 14.91686

 16.08344

 15.38730

2

-546.9702

 140.8050

 0.043857

 13.88823

  16.05473*

  14.76189*

3

-502.2073

 70.62590

 0.037065

 13.69350

 16.85992

 14.97039

4

-469.5335

 47.19560

 0.042007

 13.76741

 17.93376

 15.44753

5

-424.0268

 59.66430

 0.037071

 13.55615

 18.72242

 15.63950

6

-377.6019

 54.67826

 0.033616

 13.32449

 19.49068

 15.81106

7

-312.0832

 68.43057

 0.021261

 12.66852

 19.83464

 15.55832

8

-247.3143

  59.01173*

  0.014906*

  12.02921*

 20.19525

 15.32223

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 * indicates lag order selected by the criterion

 

 

 

 LR: sequential modified LR test statistic (each test at 5% level)

 

 

 FPE: Final prediction error

 

 

 

 

 AIC: Akaike information criterion

 

 

 

 

 SC: Schwarz information criterion

 

 

 

 

 HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fig - Table of Lag Order Selection Criteria from Eviews

From Fig it can be seen that the AIC statistic minimises at a lag length of 8. Therefore, according to Akaike, this should be the lag length which is used in the VAR model. However it can also be seen that the SC and HQC both minimise at the lag length 2. As the lag length 2 satisfies more than one criterion, and therefore the majority of criteria assessed in this paper, this length will be chosen.This length should produce the best goodness of fit for the VAR model.


Related Discussions:- Lag length criteria

European commission bail, Will the Euro survives? 1. Why are Greece, Ire...

Will the Euro survives? 1. Why are Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain sometimes referred to as the euros zones "peripheral countries"? 2. Why did the European commis

News involving a legal issue, Your Assignment is to find a news article inv...

Your Assignment is to find a news article involving a legal issue that interests you and report on it in the Discussion Board. Please provide a link to the article so that others c

Calculate the normalization constant, This is a maple assignment, but it is...

This is a maple assignment, but it is also a research assignment. You will have to consult earlier worksheets, textbooks, and perhaps the internet to answer some of these questio

State the both -cyclical and classical unemployment, State the both -Cyclic...

State the both -Cyclical and Classical unemployment Cyclical unemployment Unemployment because of a recession. Classical unemployment Unemployment because of

Demand analysis, how the demand of pizzas in pizza hut affecting the market...

how the demand of pizzas in pizza hut affecting the market of fast food

Economic concepts models- demand/supply concepts, Questions: ...

Questions: Search through newspapers for ONE article that is relevant to the economics concepts. You are also required to attach the article to your final report

Determine the problems there with consumer price index, Determine the Probl...

Determine the Problems evolved with Consumer Price Index To illustrate problems involved in calculating CPI we consider MP3 players. If you measure average price of MP3 players

Kernel density estimator to plot the two densities, The data is posted on B...

The data is posted on Blackboard. Download the data lfs4.dta on your personal computer. This data is from the Labour Force Survey 2003. In STATA, add enough memory to open the data

determine the total far-field, Four Hertzian dipoles (oriented in the z-di...

Four Hertzian dipoles (oriented in the z-dir.) are placed on an x-y plane with spacing (d=λ o /2) between them as shown in figure. a) Derive the array factor for this setup b

National income computation, What is the formula for computing for national...

What is the formula for computing for national income in a closed economy with government intervention

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd