Lag length criteria, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Lag Length criteria

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria

 

 

 

 

Endogenous variables: OIL EXCH R RPI LUNEMP GDP 

 

 

 

Exogenous variables: C 

 

 

 

 

Date: 04/10/12   Time: 09:40

 

 

 

 

Sample: 1980Q1 2011Q4

 

 

 

 

Included observations: 90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Lag

LogL

LR

FPE

AIC

SC

HQ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

-1297.398

NA 

 152838.1

 28.96439

 29.13105

 29.03160

1

-629.2589

 1232.345

 0.121419

 14.91686

 16.08344

 15.38730

2

-546.9702

 140.8050

 0.043857

 13.88823

  16.05473*

  14.76189*

3

-502.2073

 70.62590

 0.037065

 13.69350

 16.85992

 14.97039

4

-469.5335

 47.19560

 0.042007

 13.76741

 17.93376

 15.44753

5

-424.0268

 59.66430

 0.037071

 13.55615

 18.72242

 15.63950

6

-377.6019

 54.67826

 0.033616

 13.32449

 19.49068

 15.81106

7

-312.0832

 68.43057

 0.021261

 12.66852

 19.83464

 15.55832

8

-247.3143

  59.01173*

  0.014906*

  12.02921*

 20.19525

 15.32223

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 * indicates lag order selected by the criterion

 

 

 

 LR: sequential modified LR test statistic (each test at 5% level)

 

 

 FPE: Final prediction error

 

 

 

 

 AIC: Akaike information criterion

 

 

 

 

 SC: Schwarz information criterion

 

 

 

 

 HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fig - Table of Lag Order Selection Criteria from Eviews

From Fig it can be seen that the AIC statistic minimises at a lag length of 8. Therefore, according to Akaike, this should be the lag length which is used in the VAR model. However it can also be seen that the SC and HQC both minimise at the lag length 2. As the lag length 2 satisfies more than one criterion, and therefore the majority of criteria assessed in this paper, this length will be chosen.This length should produce the best goodness of fit for the VAR model.


Related Discussions:- Lag length criteria

Explain the classical growth theory, Q. Explain the classical growth theory...

Q. Explain the classical growth theory? Production function won't provide us with a theory or explanation of growth. It's only a convenient tool that helps us breaking down gro

Help, i want an answer for my q Question 3 (5 marks) Most studies of firm...

i want an answer for my q Question 3 (5 marks) Most studies of firms’ long run costs have found that average costs decline as firms produce increasingly larger output levels (eco

Highest willingness to pay, Since anyone is able to obtain a license, not n...

Since anyone is able to obtain a license, not necessarily the low cost suppliers of archery lessons, and it is not necessarily the individuals with the highest willingness to pay w

National product and domestic product, National Product and Domestic Produc...

National Product and Domestic Product  A modern economy produces literally thousands of different goods and services. Some of these goods and services such as rice, wheat, shir

Explain about the nominal gross domestic product, Explain about the nominal...

Explain about the nominal Gross domestic product It isn't very common to use CPI in construction of real GDP. The reason is that CPI measures the price evolution of consumer go

What is money wage rate, What is money wage rate While the money wage ...

What is money wage rate While the money wage rate or nominal wage rate is the hourly wage rate calculated in money that a worker receives for supplying labour, the real wage r

Capital output ratio, Ask question #impotance of capital output ratio#

Ask question #impotance of capital output ratio#

Equilibrium in the labor market, Q. Equilibrium in the labor market? E...

Q. Equilibrium in the labor market? Equilibrium in the labor market  Real wage W/P will be equal to the equilibrium real wage in the classical model

Find the npv and the irr determine cash flows, The Research and Development...

The Research and Development Division of your company has just developed a new gaming system called the Zed Box.  The R&D Division spent $800,000 developing this product and the Ma

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd