Lag length criteria, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Lag Length criteria

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria

 

 

 

 

Endogenous variables: OIL EXCH R RPI LUNEMP GDP 

 

 

 

Exogenous variables: C 

 

 

 

 

Date: 04/10/12   Time: 09:40

 

 

 

 

Sample: 1980Q1 2011Q4

 

 

 

 

Included observations: 90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Lag

LogL

LR

FPE

AIC

SC

HQ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

-1297.398

NA 

 152838.1

 28.96439

 29.13105

 29.03160

1

-629.2589

 1232.345

 0.121419

 14.91686

 16.08344

 15.38730

2

-546.9702

 140.8050

 0.043857

 13.88823

  16.05473*

  14.76189*

3

-502.2073

 70.62590

 0.037065

 13.69350

 16.85992

 14.97039

4

-469.5335

 47.19560

 0.042007

 13.76741

 17.93376

 15.44753

5

-424.0268

 59.66430

 0.037071

 13.55615

 18.72242

 15.63950

6

-377.6019

 54.67826

 0.033616

 13.32449

 19.49068

 15.81106

7

-312.0832

 68.43057

 0.021261

 12.66852

 19.83464

 15.55832

8

-247.3143

  59.01173*

  0.014906*

  12.02921*

 20.19525

 15.32223

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 * indicates lag order selected by the criterion

 

 

 

 LR: sequential modified LR test statistic (each test at 5% level)

 

 

 FPE: Final prediction error

 

 

 

 

 AIC: Akaike information criterion

 

 

 

 

 SC: Schwarz information criterion

 

 

 

 

 HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fig - Table of Lag Order Selection Criteria from Eviews

From Fig it can be seen that the AIC statistic minimises at a lag length of 8. Therefore, according to Akaike, this should be the lag length which is used in the VAR model. However it can also be seen that the SC and HQC both minimise at the lag length 2. As the lag length 2 satisfies more than one criterion, and therefore the majority of criteria assessed in this paper, this length will be chosen.This length should produce the best goodness of fit for the VAR model.


Related Discussions:- Lag length criteria

Illustrate diffrent types of money, Q. Illustrate diffrent types of money? ...

Q. Illustrate diffrent types of money? In most countries, one may identify two 'types of money': Bank deposits Currency and coins   The total value of all th

TERMS OF TRADE, HOW INCOME TERMS OF TRADE DIFFER WITH COMMODITY TERMS OF TR...

HOW INCOME TERMS OF TRADE DIFFER WITH COMMODITY TERMS OF TRADE"

Show the investment function in the IS-LM model, Q. Show the investment fun...

Q. Show the investment function in the IS-LM model? The investment function in the IS-LM model Investment was an exogenous variable in cross model owing to the fact that

Online homework, I want you to do online homework as you did before on apl...

I want you to do online homework as you did before on aplia.com All questions are 10. They are in Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply The deadline within 24 hours. Please do

Give detail explanation about the inflation, Give detail explanation about ...

Give detail explanation about the Inflation Price index is computed at a particular point in time, inflation over a time period, mainly one year Inflation may just as

Country personal consumption expenditures, If in some country personal cons...

If in some country personal consumption expenditures in a specific year are $50 billion, purchases of stocks and bonds are $30 billion, net exports are $-10 billion, government pur

Effects in addition to the direct effect on dairy prices, Subsidy programs ...

Subsidy programs are likely to have a number of secondary effects in addition to the direct effect on dairy prices. What impact do you suppose farm subsidies are likely to have on

Passive deficit is the portion, A passive deficit is the portion of the def...

A passive deficit is the portion of the deficit that exists when: A. inflation is not fully anticipated. B. inflation is fully anticipated. C. the economy is at potential income. D

Financing of the external payments deficit, Financing of the external payme...

Financing of the external payments deficit: The trend  in India's widening CAD during the second half of  the eighties, both in absolute terms and also as a proportion of the

Dynamic muliplier, distinguish between state and dynamic multiplier and ill...

distinguish between state and dynamic multiplier and illusrate balanc budget theorm in hindi

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd