Lag length criteria, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Lag Length criteria

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria

 

 

 

 

Endogenous variables: OIL EXCH R RPI LUNEMP GDP 

 

 

 

Exogenous variables: C 

 

 

 

 

Date: 04/10/12   Time: 09:40

 

 

 

 

Sample: 1980Q1 2011Q4

 

 

 

 

Included observations: 90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Lag

LogL

LR

FPE

AIC

SC

HQ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

-1297.398

NA 

 152838.1

 28.96439

 29.13105

 29.03160

1

-629.2589

 1232.345

 0.121419

 14.91686

 16.08344

 15.38730

2

-546.9702

 140.8050

 0.043857

 13.88823

  16.05473*

  14.76189*

3

-502.2073

 70.62590

 0.037065

 13.69350

 16.85992

 14.97039

4

-469.5335

 47.19560

 0.042007

 13.76741

 17.93376

 15.44753

5

-424.0268

 59.66430

 0.037071

 13.55615

 18.72242

 15.63950

6

-377.6019

 54.67826

 0.033616

 13.32449

 19.49068

 15.81106

7

-312.0832

 68.43057

 0.021261

 12.66852

 19.83464

 15.55832

8

-247.3143

  59.01173*

  0.014906*

  12.02921*

 20.19525

 15.32223

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 * indicates lag order selected by the criterion

 

 

 

 LR: sequential modified LR test statistic (each test at 5% level)

 

 

 FPE: Final prediction error

 

 

 

 

 AIC: Akaike information criterion

 

 

 

 

 SC: Schwarz information criterion

 

 

 

 

 HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fig - Table of Lag Order Selection Criteria from Eviews

From Fig it can be seen that the AIC statistic minimises at a lag length of 8. Therefore, according to Akaike, this should be the lag length which is used in the VAR model. However it can also be seen that the SC and HQC both minimise at the lag length 2. As the lag length 2 satisfies more than one criterion, and therefore the majority of criteria assessed in this paper, this length will be chosen.This length should produce the best goodness of fit for the VAR model.


Related Discussions:- Lag length criteria

Write the mass balance equation, Environmental engineers and scientists are...

Environmental engineers and scientists are becoming concerned about pharmaceuticals in the environment. An antibiotic is discharged into a small lake at an influent concentration o

Government imposes a price floor, Consider the above table. Assuming the go...

Consider the above table. Assuming the government imposes a price floor on garbanzo beans of $8, what would be the likely result? a. no change, equilibrium would prevail b. T

Government can finance its budget deficit, A government can finance its bud...

A government can finance its budget deficit by doing all of the following except: A. borrowing from its central bank. B. printing money. C. selling bonds. D. buying bonds.

Define market for overnight loans, Q. Define market for overnight loans? ...

Q. Define market for overnight loans? The market for overnight loans Overnight interest rates are rates for loans over a single night - these are the shortest of all inte

Illustrate the says law, Q. Illustrate the Says Law? With Say's Law, ag...

Q. Illustrate the Says Law? With Say's Law, aggregate demand would always be equal to aggregate supply and cross model would be incorrect.  Keynes's argument as to why Say's

Price of beer to increase by 10 percent, A recent article estimated that th...

A recent article estimated that the elasticity of the rate of gonorrhea with respect to the price of beer is about 0.8. If this estimate is correct, are unprotected sex and beer su

How not to justify say''s law, At first, Say's Law may seem 'obvious'. Thou...

At first, Say's Law may seem 'obvious'. Though, it's not - actually, it's highly controversial. The reason it may seem obvious is that you have perhaps learned from microeconomics

Neoclassical view, Roles of government in controlling market forces under n...

Roles of government in controlling market forces under neoclassical view

Principal causes of high population growth, List and briefly describe the p...

List and briefly describe the principal causes of high population growth in developing countries and the major consequences.

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd