Lag length criteria, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

Lag Length criteria

VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria

 

 

 

 

Endogenous variables: OIL EXCH R RPI LUNEMP GDP 

 

 

 

Exogenous variables: C 

 

 

 

 

Date: 04/10/12   Time: 09:40

 

 

 

 

Sample: 1980Q1 2011Q4

 

 

 

 

Included observations: 90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Lag

LogL

LR

FPE

AIC

SC

HQ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

-1297.398

NA 

 152838.1

 28.96439

 29.13105

 29.03160

1

-629.2589

 1232.345

 0.121419

 14.91686

 16.08344

 15.38730

2

-546.9702

 140.8050

 0.043857

 13.88823

  16.05473*

  14.76189*

3

-502.2073

 70.62590

 0.037065

 13.69350

 16.85992

 14.97039

4

-469.5335

 47.19560

 0.042007

 13.76741

 17.93376

 15.44753

5

-424.0268

 59.66430

 0.037071

 13.55615

 18.72242

 15.63950

6

-377.6019

 54.67826

 0.033616

 13.32449

 19.49068

 15.81106

7

-312.0832

 68.43057

 0.021261

 12.66852

 19.83464

 15.55832

8

-247.3143

  59.01173*

  0.014906*

  12.02921*

 20.19525

 15.32223

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 * indicates lag order selected by the criterion

 

 

 

 LR: sequential modified LR test statistic (each test at 5% level)

 

 

 FPE: Final prediction error

 

 

 

 

 AIC: Akaike information criterion

 

 

 

 

 SC: Schwarz information criterion

 

 

 

 

 HQ: Hannan-Quinn information criterion

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fig - Table of Lag Order Selection Criteria from Eviews

From Fig it can be seen that the AIC statistic minimises at a lag length of 8. Therefore, according to Akaike, this should be the lag length which is used in the VAR model. However it can also be seen that the SC and HQC both minimise at the lag length 2. As the lag length 2 satisfies more than one criterion, and therefore the majority of criteria assessed in this paper, this length will be chosen.This length should produce the best goodness of fit for the VAR model.


Related Discussions:- Lag length criteria

Described as a market in equilibrium, Camping at Wilson's Promontory, a nat...

Camping at Wilson's Promontory, a national park in Victoria, isn't free, but for many years now not everyone who wants to camp at Wilson's Promontory during the Christmas holidays

Find the equilibrium quantity, Find the Equilibrium Quantity In a smal...

Find the Equilibrium Quantity In a small town only two candy shops operate and they compete with each other in quantity. Consumers do not differentiate between candies sold by

Explain about quantity theory of money, Q. Explain about Quantity theory of...

Q. Explain about Quantity theory of money? One of the main elements of the classical model is quantity theory of money. Quantity theory of money connects three important variab

Calculate the value of delta , Consider the following prisoners' dilemma ga...

Consider the following prisoners' dilemma game.    C D C 4,4 0,6 D 6,0 1,1

What is fixed cost and variable cost, What is fixed cost and variable cost?...

What is fixed cost and variable cost? By the Production Function to Cost Curves: A fixed cost is a cost which does not depend onto the quantity of output generated. This i

Public sector, Are there any current subsidy or welfare issues that are bei...

Are there any current subsidy or welfare issues that are being discussed or addressed in parliament or in municipalities

What is national income, Recognize which of the following purchases is coun...

Recognize which of the following purchases is counted as a part of NI: a) Tata motors purchases tire from Good year to equip latest Indica. b) Tata motors purchases tires fr

News involving a legal issue, Your Assignment is to find a news article inv...

Your Assignment is to find a news article involving a legal issue that interests you and report on it in the Discussion Board. Please provide a link to the article so that others c

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd