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Inflation (RPI) - another imperative channel. Oil is a necessity for the UK, and is price inelastic therefore one can analyse the correlation between a price shock and inflation. It is to be expected that an increase in the price of oil would lead to increased inflation, which would then impose pressures onto GDP. Thus it is of vital importance to observe the relationship between oil and inflation. The data is given as the quarterly rate of change from the previous 12 months.
define production function output effect?
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From Tables 3A to 3F in the Appendix the results from VAR/Block Exogeneity Granger Causality Test are that the oil price variable does Granger cause both Inflation and interest rat
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