How to compare forecasts with the original data, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Develop a forecast for years 2 through 12 using exponential smoothing with ƒÑƒn= .4 and a forecast for year 1 of 6. Plot your new forecast on a graph with the actual data and the naive forecast. Based on a visual inspection, which forecast is better

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Demand 7 9 5 9 13 8 12 13 9 11 7

a)Polt the above data on a graph. Do you observe any trend, cycles, or random variations?

b) Starting in year 4 and going to year 12, forecast demand using 3 year moving average. plot your forecast on the same graph as the original data.

c) Starting in year 4 and going to year 12, forecast demand using a 3-year moving average with weights of.1,.3,and .6, using .6 for the most recent year. Plot this forecast on the same graph.

d)As you compare forecasts with the original data, which seems to five the better results?


Related Discussions:- How to compare forecasts with the original data

Assignment, Analyze the strategic role of operations management in terms of...

Analyze the strategic role of operations management in terms of organizational and operational objectives.

Explain a linear trend equation, Value: 15.00 points Problem 3-2 National S...

Value: 15.00 points Problem 3-2 National Scan, Inc., sells radio frequency inventory tags. Monthly sales for a seven-month period were as follows: Month Sales (000) Units Feb. 17 M

Explain members have to perform for a team to be effective, Consider the va...

Consider the various roles members have to perform for a team to be effective. Which roles would play to your strengths and which to your weaknesses?

Line balancing, What do you understand by “line balancing”? What happens if...

What do you understand by “line balancing”? What happens if balance doesn’t exist?

Define the importance of management systems, 1. Propose a definition of inn...

1. Propose a definition of innovation in your own words (50-100 words). 2. Compare the concepts of innovation, invention, and creativity. 3. Describe the relationship between

Explain everything else remaining constant what will occurs, Everything els...

Everything else remaining constant, when the sample size increases, which of the following occurs? The sampling error decreases. The sampling error increases. The sampling

Explain legal constraints and ethical constrains, Legal constraints and eth...

Legal constraints and ethical constrains when dealing with drinking with business clients

Estimate the mean and standard deviation, 1. How do variables and attribute...

1. How do variables and attributes differ?  2. Estimate the mean and standard deviation of the following measurements.

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd