How to compare forecasts with the original data, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Develop a forecast for years 2 through 12 using exponential smoothing with ƒÑƒn= .4 and a forecast for year 1 of 6. Plot your new forecast on a graph with the actual data and the naive forecast. Based on a visual inspection, which forecast is better

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Demand 7 9 5 9 13 8 12 13 9 11 7

a)Polt the above data on a graph. Do you observe any trend, cycles, or random variations?

b) Starting in year 4 and going to year 12, forecast demand using 3 year moving average. plot your forecast on the same graph as the original data.

c) Starting in year 4 and going to year 12, forecast demand using a 3-year moving average with weights of.1,.3,and .6, using .6 for the most recent year. Plot this forecast on the same graph.

d)As you compare forecasts with the original data, which seems to five the better results?


Related Discussions:- How to compare forecasts with the original data

Explain state department of tourism and recreation collects, 1. A state dep...

1. A state department of tourism and recreation collects data on the number of cars with out-of-state license plates in a state park. (The group's position is that more out-of-stat

Automation trends in operations management, how automation helps in trends ...

how automation helps in trends of operations management

Explain how are scheduling and productivity related, Scheduling techniques ...

Scheduling techniques are designed to disaggregate the master production schedule into time-phased daily or hourly activities. A detailed production schedule must include when and

Explain los angeles court syestem, I need Los Angeles Court Syestem. I need...

I need Los Angeles Court Syestem. I need orginal thought no plagerism or won't award points. Assignment Complete the following, placing it in a single Word document. You h

Types of dispatching, Types of Dispatching Dispatching may be centralize...

Types of Dispatching Dispatching may be centralized or decentralized. Centralized dispatching refers to the instructions issued from the central dispatching section directly

Exam of Operation Management, I will have an exam which has 100 Questions. ...

I will have an exam which has 100 Questions. I will have just 24 hours to complete it. My question about that is if you can answer them within this time and handle the answers to m

Linear Programming Problem, Solve the following Linear Programming Problem ...

Solve the following Linear Programming Problem using Simple method. Maximize Z= 3x1 + 2X2 Subject to the constraints: X1+ X2 = 4 X1 - X2 = 2 X1, X2 = 0

Explain new technology-styled training, Taking the topic you discussed in t...

Taking the topic you discussed in the other thread to start, explain how you would morph the traditional training you described, taking into account a technology-based training. De

Explain life span of a randomly selected battery, The lifetime of a battery...

The lifetime of a battery is normally distributed with a mean life of 40 hours and a standard deviation of 1.2 hours. Find the probability to a z-value of 4.16 in 0.9998 a. A rando

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd