How to compare forecasts with the original data, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Develop a forecast for years 2 through 12 using exponential smoothing with ƒÑƒn= .4 and a forecast for year 1 of 6. Plot your new forecast on a graph with the actual data and the naive forecast. Based on a visual inspection, which forecast is better

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Demand 7 9 5 9 13 8 12 13 9 11 7

a)Polt the above data on a graph. Do you observe any trend, cycles, or random variations?

b) Starting in year 4 and going to year 12, forecast demand using 3 year moving average. plot your forecast on the same graph as the original data.

c) Starting in year 4 and going to year 12, forecast demand using a 3-year moving average with weights of.1,.3,and .6, using .6 for the most recent year. Plot this forecast on the same graph.

d)As you compare forecasts with the original data, which seems to five the better results?


Related Discussions:- How to compare forecasts with the original data

Public Administration, Is the city management form of government better tha...

Is the city management form of government better than the mayor and council form of government?

Explain collective bargaining and grievance procedure, When a union negotia...

When a union negotiates, with management, on behalf of its members to define and interpret employment contracts, it is known as: Answer (1) mediation. (2) Collective bargaining. (3

Rock’n Bands: A Project Management Decision-making G, Ask queRock’n Bands: ...

Ask queRock’n Bands: A Project Management Decision-making Gamestion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Explain efficiency advantages of a new technology, Consider this scenario: ...

Consider this scenario: You are the senior executive responsible for technology innovation for Company A. The company learns of the cost and efficiency advantages of a new technolo

Explain the first step in segmenting and targeting markets, The first step ...

The first step in segmenting and targeting markets is to recognize a need. group potential buyers into segments. create product groupings. estimate size of the overall

Describe why you agree or disagree with the results, Write your formal anal...

Write your formal analysis of your Color Q self-assessment results. I will look for the following information What primary and secondary color type are you? (MY COLOR ARE GOL

Explain safety and health and security, Safety, Health, and Security" Pleas...

Safety, Health, and Security" Please respond to the following • Consider your current (or future) place or work and make at least two recommendations for improving the safety an

Explain what the best collaboration tools, For firms that have multiple loc...

For firms that have multiple locations that would like their professionals from different teams to be able to collaborate efficiently, how would you determine what the best collabo

Describe what are the advantages of financing, In the %u201CWhat would you ...

In the %u201CWhat would you do?%u201D section of your text in Chapter 9, Pam Marrone of AgraQuest, Inc. tapped into Internet sources when she needed additional financing. Be specif

Principleand practices of management, how will you influencepeople to striv...

how will you influencepeople to strive willingly for group objectives in your organisation(target based industry)apply your interpersonal influence through communication process to

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd