How to compare forecasts with the original data, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Develop a forecast for years 2 through 12 using exponential smoothing with ƒÑƒn= .4 and a forecast for year 1 of 6. Plot your new forecast on a graph with the actual data and the naive forecast. Based on a visual inspection, which forecast is better

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Demand 7 9 5 9 13 8 12 13 9 11 7

a)Polt the above data on a graph. Do you observe any trend, cycles, or random variations?

b) Starting in year 4 and going to year 12, forecast demand using 3 year moving average. plot your forecast on the same graph as the original data.

c) Starting in year 4 and going to year 12, forecast demand using a 3-year moving average with weights of.1,.3,and .6, using .6 for the most recent year. Plot this forecast on the same graph.

d)As you compare forecasts with the original data, which seems to five the better results?


Related Discussions:- How to compare forecasts with the original data

Explain must prepare a budget for a change initiative, Change plans must co...

Change plans must consider the use of a companys resources to maximize potential and ensure success. Financial resources are a definite consideration for any plan or objective. I

Explain router could not be used as a fire wall, Which of the following cou...

Which of the following could not be used as a fire wall? a. hub b. router c. server d. PC

Define what is the probability that the laptop will perform, An undergradua...

An undergraduate business student has purchased a laptop computer for use during exams. This laptop is perfectly reliable except for two parts: its microchip, which has a failure r

Explain at what rate have sales been growing, Shalit Corporation's 2008 sal...

Shalit Corporation's 2008 sales were $7 million. Its 2003 sales were $3.5 million. At what rate have sales been growing? Round your answer to the nearest hundredth.

Explain role in establishing a canadidate''s brand, How does the use of mus...

How does the use of music in political play a role in establishing a canadidate's brand?

Identify business strategy and manufacturing strategy. , Your company has ...

Your company has been invited to look at possible improvements to the manufacturing system at Fly Fishing Reels.  Your colleague has already visited the company to collect the atta

Explain creation of a roadmap for a strategic plan, What things should be t...

What things should be taken into consideration in the creation of a roadmap for a strategic plan? What are examples of external and internal change agents? What role do change agen

Explain functions of marketing management, Explain functions of marketing m...

Explain functions of marketing management. Functions of Marketing Management: The broad functions of marketing management includes as in following : (i) Marketing Research

Finish a net material requirements schedule, Complete a net material requir...

Complete a net material requirements schedule for: a) All items (10 schedules in all), assuming the requirement for each BOM item is 1. b) All 10 items, assum

Explain advertising budget, The production manager at company XYZ needs to ...

The production manager at company XYZ needs to prepare forecasts of product demand in order to plan for appropriate production quantities. In the past, demand for the product has b

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd