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With the aim of this project to observe the impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic indicators, testing for causality between these variables will establish whether or not, oil price changes explain changes in other variables. To carry this out, the VAR/Block Exogeneity Granger Causality Test will be performed. This test will estimate whether the oil price variables will Granger cause the remaining variables in the equation. This is achieved by analysing the p statistic at the relevant significance level. In addition to this, pairwise Granger Causality tests will be estimated. This is when each variable is tested purely against another to see whether one directly Granger causes the other.
Price/Feeder Quantity Demanded Quantity Supplied $300 500 1800 270 600 1700 240 700 1600 210 800 1500 180 1000 1400 150 1100 1300 120 1200 1200 90 1300 1100 60 1400 1000 30 1500 90
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