Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

International, what factors have contributed to the importance of internati...

what factors have contributed to the importance of international markets on operations management

Explain the four-step framework, Describe the four-step framework for one-t...

Describe the four-step framework for one-to-one marketing that can be adapted to CRM marketing?

Explain low level coding in mrp indicates, Q 1 Low level coding in MRP indi...

Q 1 Low level coding in MRP indicates the exact status of each item managed by the system in "real time." Q 2 Which of the following is considered a secondary report in an MRP s

Explain different models of organizational change, There are many different...

There are many different models of organizational change. Each has advantages and disadvantages. It is up to the organizational development specialist to match the specific model t

Illustrate the examples of the inventory control systems, Illustrate the ex...

Illustrate the examples of the inventory control systems? Examples of inventory control systems Reorder level systems: When the current stock level decreased below a

Project network , Heckman of Saul and Saul Consultants has get a request fr...

Heckman of Saul and Saul Consultants has get a request from Deborah, the head of Human Resources, to make an interactive icon-and-menu-driven software package to be used by the adv

Describe the terms entity and relationship, Explain the terms entity, relat...

Explain the terms entity, relationship, and attributes. Describe how they are used in a database.

Describe the key factors that impact location decisions, Discuss the key fa...

Discuss the key factors that impact location decisions. As an example, if locating a facility in India, what location decisions would a fast-food chain have to consider as compared

Compute productivity indices and compare rises productivity, 1. Productivit...

1. Productivity is considered by many to be the essence of operations management - suggest reasons to support this assertion.  2. Using the figures in the table, if we use 2000

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd