Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

Linear programming, classification of linear programming on the basis of st...

classification of linear programming on the basis of structure

What steps must to be taken to maximize the sales-price, Identify key gaps ...

Identify key gaps in planning for the exit. Provide recommendations on the exit strategy. Is the sale the right one? What steps ought to be taken to maximize the sales-price? What

What is collective bargaining process, What are three cost-containment meas...

What are three cost-containment measures that were implemented through the collective bargaining process in 1985? Why were these considered milestones in curtailing health benefit

Explain vision statement and a mission statement, Should organizations have...

Should organizations have both a vision statement and a mission statement? If you were to lead an organization and you could have only one, a mission or vision statement, which wou

Define factors that need to be considered in media selection, There are thr...

There are three factors that need to be considered in media selection and budgeting. These include A) Audience reach, availability of the product, no competition B) Audience

Discuss the existence of an agency at the time the contract, Paul Gett is a...

Paul Gett is a well-known wealthy financial expert living in the city of Torris. Adam Wade, Gett's friend, tells Timothy Brown that he is Gett's agent for the purchase of rare coin

Linear Programming Problem, A paper mill produces two grades of paper viz.,...

A paper mill produces two grades of paper viz., X and Y. Because of raw material restrictions, it cannot produce more than 400 tons of grade X paper and 300 tons of grade Y paper i

Explain descriptive statistics, Descriptive Statistics: Ages Variable Me...

Descriptive Statistics: Ages Variable Mean StDev Minimum Q1 Median Q3 Maximum Ages 23.56 8.97 17.00 18.25 21.00 23.75 49.00 1) Describe the shape of the data 2) What pe

Describe what are the different types of strategies, What are the different...

What are the different types of strategies? What are the differences among these strategies? How do you determine which type of strategy is most appropriate for your organization?

Explain about the economics of scope of lean production, Explain about the ...

Explain about the economics of scope of lean production. Economies of scope: It is possible while resources as like machinery or labour can be shared to manufacture vari

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd