Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

Explain the fit for gbi of this particular for-profit avenue, Discuss the f...

Discuss the fit for gbi of this particular for-profit avenue eileen o'brien has chosen.

Explain what are four significant pieces of legislation, What are four sign...

What are four significant pieces of legislation that evolved from the civil rights act of 1964

Expensive car you can afford if you finance it for months, You have saved $...

You have saved $5000 for a down payment on a new car. The largest monthly payment you can afford is $350. The loan would have a 10% APR based on the end of month payments. What is

Explain main summary task and a summary task, What is the difference betwee...

What is the difference between a main summary task and a summary task?

Question eXAM, Defining Operation Management Operations performance...

Defining Operation Management Operations performance Function of operations Evolution of operations management E-business Integrated value c

Explain procurement management, Which of the nine knowledge areas defined i...

Which of the nine knowledge areas defined in the Project Management Body of Knowledge includes the activities of generating, collecting, distributing, storing, retrieving and dispo

Explain reducing the project duration increases the risk, Take a position o...

Take a position on the following statement from the textbook author: "Reducing the project duration increases the risk of being late." Support your position

Explain the best way to handle the situation in the future, How is Microsof...

How is Microsoft and other software manufacturers combating the threat of open source software and other free tools that compete with its commercial products? Do you think that thi

Describe sustainable competitive advantage, Explain the following terms in ...

Explain the following terms in your own words and give specific, real life examples to illustrate your understanding of the term: 1. Tangible versus intangible resources 2. Core co

Explain various health care plans, The first step in the Model of Scientifi...

The first step in the Model of Scientific Inquiry is to identify the question or problem needing further study. The following seven situations are typical everyday problems in busi

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd