Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

State the term shamrock organisation, State the term Shamrock Organisation?...

State the term Shamrock Organisation? Shamrock Organisation: According to Charles Handy the 'Shamrock Organisation' used to apply a model to the workforce flexibility. Th

Explain design capacity would be needed to achieve, In a job shop, effectiv...

In a job shop, effective capacity is only 49 percent of design capacity, and actual output is 60 percent of effective output. What design capacity would be needed to achieve an act

Operation Management, Six Operators are to be assigned to five jobs with th...

Six Operators are to be assigned to five jobs with the cost of assignment in Rs. given 10 marks in the matrix below. Determine the optimal assignment. Which operator will have no a

Explain management principles applicable to organizing, The American Red Cr...

The American Red Cross has been asked to oversee the clean-up efforts in Japan after the earthquake and tsunami that occurred in March 2011. Analyze the management principles appli

Explain target utilization rate, The process for renewing a driver's licens...

The process for renewing a driver's license at the Archer County Courthouse is as follows. First, the clerk fills out the application; then the clerk takes the driver's picture; an

Line balancing, what is line balancing and what happens if it doesn''t exis...

what is line balancing and what happens if it doesn''t exist?

Explain how many observations would be needed, To determine the standard wo...

To determine the standard working time for a special job, following observation data is collected: Observation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Time (in second) 17 18 15 14 13 15 16 13 a) If the pe

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd