Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

Market forecasting methods for predicting demand levels, What are the marke...

What are the market forecasting methods for predicting demand levels? Market forecasting methods for predicting demand levels: a. Survey or sample of buyer’s intentions pr

Explain what is a bfoq and will it allow acme university, ACME University i...

ACME University is hiring a new basketball coach for its men's basketball team. Carla Coach applies for the position. An official of the University contacts Carla and tells her tha

Explain what will be the percent increase or decrease, 1.15 Refer to Proble...

1.15 Refer to Problems 1.13 and 1.14. If Charles lackey's utility costs remain constant at $500 per month, labour at $8 per hour, and cost of ingredients at $0.35 per loaf, but Cha

Evolution of operation managment, explain the evolution of operation manage...

explain the evolution of operation management highlighting the key stage of development taken place in the operation management practices in modern day organization

Explain effort-driven, Answer the followingquestions (use MS Project help i...

Answer the followingquestions (use MS Project help if necessary)- Define effort-driven? Under what circumstances would you turn off effort driven scheduling? Use a real-wo

What order quantity will minimize the total inventory cost, Question: Y...

Question: You are the Operations Manager at Alien University and one of your responsibility is to manage the supplies of the University. One of your supplier has given you quan

Define skills needed in order to succeed as systems analyst, Discuss the ty...

Discuss the types of skills needed in order to succeed as a systems analyst

What is the difference among personal and business ethics, What is the diff...

What is the difference between personal and business ethics?

Explain what are the capacity requirements, Always Rain Irrigation, Inc., w...

Always Rain Irrigation, Inc., would like to determine capacity requirements for the next four years. Currently two production lines are I place for making bronze and plastic sprink

Process design, Process Design, Process Planning and Line Balancing of Prod...

Process Design, Process Planning and Line Balancing of Product Process design entails process planning, facility layout and job design. Process planning entails selec

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd