Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

Desicion making chapter 1, analyze the decision tree in figure A.8 what is ...

analyze the decision tree in figure A.8 what is the expected payoff for the best alternative? first be sure to infer the missing probabilities

Alternative structures discuss likely benefits to dominos, Evaluate alterna...

Evaluate alternative structures to determine which one would be most appropriate for Domino's to consider and discuss likely benefits Dominos would realize from adopting that struc

Explain what are the minimum and maximum cycle times, An assembly line with...

An assembly line with 17 tasks is to be balanced. The longest task is 2.1 minutes, and the total time for all tasks is 23 minutes. The line will operate for 480 minutes per day. a.

General model of the operations function, General Model of the Operations F...

General Model of the Operations Function This figure illustrates the basic concept of the operations function. Firstly inputs are transformed (converted) to outputs with the m

Define the importance of management systems, 1. Propose a definition of inn...

1. Propose a definition of innovation in your own words (50-100 words). 2. Compare the concepts of innovation, invention, and creativity. 3. Describe the relationship between

Explain don''t all firms use similar approaches, Given the success enjoyed ...

Given the success enjoyed by Southwest, Whole Foods, and Google, why don't all firms use similar approaches to managing their employees?

Industrial policy, Industrial Policy The course of action set by the go...

Industrial Policy The course of action set by the government to influence the development of domestic industrial sectors in particular and the direction of the national organiz

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd