Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

Explain what is authentic leadership, What is authentic leadership? Why do ...

What is authentic leadership? Why do ethics and trust matter to leadership?

Explain benefit-cost and cost-effectiveness, "A Closer Look" Please respond...

"A Closer Look" Please respond to the following: •Compare and contrast benefit-cost, cost-effectiveness, and cost-utility analysis and determine which is the most useful to assess

Explain the implications from an operations design, Question: Large ret...

Question: Large retailers, in general, tend to move from a business model characterised by a fragmented network of many small-to-medium scale retail operations located in city

Describe scenarios and contingency plans, Ok need a little help in arrangin...

Ok need a little help in arranging these in the right order 1-5 Select measures and targets Set strategic goals Hold operational reviews Implement single-use plan Define scenarios

Determine the optimal solution nonlinear programming model, The Hickory Cab...

The Hickory Cabinet and Furniture Company makes chairs and tables. The company has developed the following nonlinear programming model to determine the optimal number of chairs (x1

Measures to prevent accidents, Measures  to prevent Accidents 1. Prope...

Measures  to prevent Accidents 1. Proper Selection  of Workers: A scientific selection  of workers  is more  important from safety  point  of view.  The attitude  and  aptitu

Discuss implications for leadership, Implications for leadership and a lead...

Implications for leadership and a leader's relationship with follower

What is an operation setback chart, An operation setback chart _____. is...

An operation setback chart _____. is based on lead times that typically include move and queue times and indicates a schedule for when to make a part. is a schedule for when

Explain horizon to develop a forecast against, Why is forecasting important...

Why is forecasting important in organizations, especially as related to understanding the relevant time horizon to develop a forecast against? What are some examples from industry?

Explain which if any of the resources are over allocated, 1. Which if any o...

1. Which if any of the resources are over allocated? 2. Assume that the project is time constrained and try to resolve any over allocation problems by levelling slack. What happ

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd