Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

Explain annual demand for an airport metal detector, ABC distributors has a...

ABC distributors has an annual demand for an airport metal detector of 1,400 units. The cost of a typical detector to ABC is $400. Carrying cost is estimated to be 20% of the unit

Explain the leadership styels of freed hammond, Identify the leadership sty...

Identify the leadership styels of freed Hammond and May Allison. Apply several of the leadership models to the case, such as the contingency model and the Hersey Balanced situation

List countries that lead in export and import of merchandise, The WTO's Int...

The WTO's International Trade Statistics is an annual report that provides comprehensive, comparable, and updated statistics on trade in merchandise and commercial services. This r

Explain total compensation system, How might a company's business strategy ...

How might a company's business strategy affect the contribution (pay-for-performance) policies and techniques of its Total Compensation system?

Explain aggregate planning in manufacturing, What is the major difference b...

What is the major difference between aggregate planning in manufacturing and aggregate planning in services? Provide and explain to examples.

Explain organizational structure, Analyze the reason for the type of organi...

Analyze the reason for the type of organizational structure employed by the organization, and identify the key positions that support that organizational structure.

Why knowledge is vital supervisor''s tactical planning, Why should a first-...

Why should a first-line supervisor understand the organization's objectives? Why is this knowledge important to the supervisor's tactical planning?

Explain either party since the contract has been illegal, When a contract i...

When a contract is drawn up that becomes void due to illegality, do you believe that it involves the commission of a crime? Has a crime been committed by either party since the con

Line balancing, What do you understand by “line balancing”? What happens if...

What do you understand by “line balancing”? What happens if balance doesn’t exist?

Explain draw a graph illustrating the crossover point, Stan's company is co...

Stan's company is considering producing a gear assembly that it now purchases from Sal Company. Salt company charges 4 per unit with a minimum order of 3000 units. Stan estimates t

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd