Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

Explain the elements of an organizations environment, Describe the elements...

Describe the elements of an organization's external environment. Why is it important to understand the external environment?

When are the holding costs raised, When are the holding costs raised? H...

When are the holding costs raised? Holding cost rises while the size of order rises. It is since a higher level of average stock will be kept during the year. Thus holding cost

What is an e-r diagram, Conceptual Modeling looks at how the data is struct...

Conceptual Modeling looks at how the data is structured and what the characteristics of the data are. What characteristics of data are represented in an E-R diagram?

LEAN STNCHRONIZATION, what are the wastes and how to overcome them?

what are the wastes and how to overcome them?

Describe what role organizational structure plays, Discuss what role organi...

Discuss what role organizational structure plays in an organization's efficiency & effectiveness

Explain what you anticipate managing from a transition, What you anticipate...

What you anticipate 'managing" from a transition perspective to comply with this law

String diagram, String diagram is a simple tool for analyzing and desi...

String diagram is a simple tool for analyzing and designing work space such that movement can be minimized. The basic diagram is a scale plan or model on which a t

Explain what steps can ford motor take, The United Auto Workers union enter...

The United Auto Workers union enters into contract negotiations with the Ford Motor Company in Michigan. What are the three main subject areas the UAW can negotiate with Ford? Prov

Contrast the code of ethics of both starbucks and mcdonalds, Analyze, compa...

Analyze, compare and contrast the code of ethics of both Starbuck's and McDonald's.

Explain leadership training and development, Leadership training and develo...

Leadership training and development throughout all levels of the organization. From your experience discuss the importance this component and why? Include examples

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd