Explain decision making under uncertainty, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Helms has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susan's problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table:

STATE OF NATURE

Size of First Station GOOD MARKET FAIR MARKET POOR MARKET

Small 40,000 18,000 -8,000

Medium 90,000 27,000 -22,000

Large 105,000 27,500 -36,000

Very Large 320,000 26,000 -180,000

For example, if Susan constructs a small station and the market is good, she will realize a profit of 40,000.

1) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

2) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________

3) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely

The appropriate decision will be ___________ (Very large, large, medium or small)

The value of the return under this decision is $_____________


Related Discussions:- Explain decision making under uncertainty

Explain one other element you feel is important to take, We know that all p...

We know that all perceptions are subjective and there is not necessarily a best way to understand any given situation. So, if there are so many moving parts to perception, how do y

Demand curve to estimate the consumer surplus, Demand curve to estimate the...

Demand curve to estimate the consumer surplus: Adam's demand curve for commodity X is: XA = 10 - 2Px . Betty's demand curve for commodity X is: XB = 10 - 3Px . (a) What is

Long term capacity expansion, Long term Capacity Expansion For the purpo...

Long term Capacity Expansion For the purpose of expansion of the long term capacity of the term the firm may decide to adapt and one more of the followings. 1.The firm may give

Discuss the breakeven point, Discuss the breakeven point. What is the break...

Discuss the breakeven point. What is the breakeven point? Why does a small business need to do a breakeven analysis?

Define organizational behaviours in certain situations, A number of persona...

A number of personality dimensions are identified (Big Five, attitudes, locus of control, etc.). What are the strengths and weaknesses of some of the personality dimensions in vari

Iventory control and management, Nuvyug Industries Ltd. Has an annual requi...

Nuvyug Industries Ltd. Has an annual requirement of 5,000 pieces of brake cylinders for its popular brand of golf carts. Each brake cylinder has a carrying cost of ` 25 per unit pe

Explain process capability index, Determine the Process Capability Index of...

Determine the Process Capability Index of the three processes given below and determine whether the processes are capable or not. Process Mean Variance Lower Specification Limi

Explain what short-run and long-run, What short-run, long-run and policy op...

What short-run, long-run and policy options are available to employers in lieu of layoffs? Explain.

Explain the generic product development process, Describe the generic produ...

Describe the generic product development process described in this chapter. How does this process change for "technology push" products?

What are strategies for creating an open environment, 1 Develop an ld score...

1 Develop an ld score for the current layout. What problems can you identify with the current layout? 2. Use trial and error to come up with a better layout that lowers the ld s

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd