expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Conjugate prior, Conjugate prior : The distribution for samples from the pa...

Conjugate prior : The distribution for samples from the particular probability distribution such that the posterior distribution at each stage of the sampling is of the identical f

Chains of infection, Chains of infection : The description of the course of...

Chains of infection : The description of the course of infection among the group of individuals. The susceptibles infected by the direct contact with the introductory cases are sai

Describe longini koopman model, Longini Koopman model : In epidemiology the...

Longini Koopman model : In epidemiology the model for primary and secondary infection, based on the classification of the extra-binomial variation in an infection rate which might

Mortality odds ratio, Mortality odds ratio  is the ratio equivalent to the ...

Mortality odds ratio  is the ratio equivalent to the odds ratio used in case-control studies where the equivalent of the cases are deaths from the cause of interest and the equival

Epidemic curve, The plot of the number of cases of the disease against the ...

The plot of the number of cases of the disease against the time period. A large and sudden increase corresponds to an epidemic. The example of this is shown in the figure drawn bel

Curse of dimensionality, The phrase first spoken by one of the witches in M...

The phrase first spoken by one of the witches in Macbeth. Now this is used to describe the exponential rise in the number of possible locations in the multivariate space as dimensi

Statistics HW, we are testing : Ho: µ=40 versus Ha: µ>40 (a= 0.01) Suppose...

we are testing : Ho: µ=40 versus Ha: µ>40 (a= 0.01) Suppose that the test statistic is z0=2.75 based on a sample size of n=25. Assume that data are normal with mean mu and standa

Extrapolation, This process of estimating from a data set those values lyin...

This process of estimating from a data set those values lying beyond range of the data. In the regression analysis, for instance, a value of the response variable might be estimate

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd