expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Asymmetric proximity matrices, Asymmetric proximity matrices : Proximity ma...

Asymmetric proximity matrices : Proximity matrices in which the non-diagonal elements, in the ith row and jth column and the jth row and ith column, are not essentially equal. Exam

Observation-driven model, Observation-driven model  is a term generally a...

Observation-driven model  is a term generally applied to models for the longitudinal data or time series which introduce within the unit correlation by specifying the conditional

Explain Genetic algorithms, Genetic algorithms: The optimization events mo...

Genetic algorithms: The optimization events motivated by the biological analogies. The prime idea is to try to mimic the 'survival of the fittest' rule of the genetic mutation in

Balanced incomplete repeated measures design (birmd), Balanced incomplete r...

Balanced incomplete repeated measures design (BIRMD): An arrangement of the N randomly selected experimental units and k treatments in which each and every unit receives k1 treatm

Incidental parameter problem, Incidental parameter problem is a problem wh...

Incidental parameter problem is a problem which sometimes occurs when the number of parameters increases in the tandem with the number of observations. For instance, models for pa

Centile reference charts, Centile reference charts : Charts which are used ...

Centile reference charts : Charts which are used inmedicine to observe the clinical measurements on individual patients in the context of the population values. If the population i

Pattern recognition, Pattern recognition is a term for a technology that r...

Pattern recognition is a term for a technology that recognizes and analyses patterns automatically by machine and which has been used successfully in many areas of application inc

Explain johnson-neyman technique, Johnson-Neyman technique:  The technique ...

Johnson-Neyman technique:  The technique which can be used in the situations where analysis of the covariance is not valid because of the heterogeneity of slopes. With this method

Describe meta-analysis, Meta-analysis is the collection of techniques wher...

Meta-analysis is the collection of techniques whereby the results of two or more independent studies are statistically combined to yield the overall answer to a question of intere

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd