expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Explain remedian, Remedian: The robust estimator of location which is comp...

Remedian: The robust estimator of location which is computed by an iterative process. By assuming that the sample size n can be written as bk where b and k are the integers, the s

Matching, Matching is the method of making a study group and a comparison ...

Matching is the method of making a study group and a comparison group comparable with respect to the extraneous factors. Generally used in the retrospective studies when selecting

Explain non-response, Non-response is the term generally used for the fail...

Non-response is the term generally used for the failure to give the relevant information being collected in the survey. Poor response can be because of the variety of causes, for

Over dispersion, Over dispersion is the phenomenon which occurs when empir...

Over dispersion is the phenomenon which occurs when empirical variance in the data exceeds the nominal variance under some supposed model. Most often encountered when the modeling

Mba, Mention the characteristics of Statistics. Explain any two application...

Mention the characteristics of Statistics. Explain any two applications of Statistics.

Bayes factor, Bayes factor : A summary of evidence for the modelM1 against ...

Bayes factor : A summary of evidence for the modelM1 against the another modelM0 provided by the set of data D, which can be used in the model selection. Given by the ratio of post

Extreme values, The biggest and smallest variate values among the sample of...

The biggest and smallest variate values among the sample of observations. Significant in various regions, for instance flood levels of the river, speed of wind and snowfall.

Bioassay, Bioassay : It is an abbreviation of biological assay, which in it...

Bioassay : It is an abbreviation of biological assay, which in its classical form includes an experiment conducted on biological material to determine relative potency of test and

Describe indirect least squares, Indirect least squares: An estimation tech...

Indirect least squares: An estimation technique used in the fitting of structural equation models. Commonly least squares are first used to estimate reduced form parameters. Usi

Null hypothesis model, The Null Hypothesis - H0: Model does not fit the dat...

The Null Hypothesis - H0: Model does not fit the data i.e. all slopes are equal to zero β 1 =β 2 =...=β k =  0 The Alternative Hypothesis - H1:  Model does fit the data i.e. at

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd