expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Distance sampling, The technique of sampling used in the ecology for determ...

The technique of sampling used in the ecology for determining how much plants or animals are in a given fixed region. A set of randomly placed lines or points is recognized and the

Gaussian process, The generalization of the normal distribution used for th...

The generalization of the normal distribution used for the characterization of functions. It is known as a Gaussian process because it has Gaussian distributed finite dimensional m

Mba, Mention the characteristics of Statistics. Explain any two application...

Mention the characteristics of Statistics. Explain any two applications of Statistics.

Estimating functions, The functions of the data and the parameters of inter...

The functions of the data and the parameters of interest which can be brought in use to conduct inference about the parameters when full distribution of the observations is unknown

Define high-dimensional data, High-dimensional data : This term used for da...

High-dimensional data : This term used for data sets which are characterized by the very large number of variables and a much more modest number of the observations. In the 21 st

Explain kolmogorov smirnov two-sample method, Kolmogorov Smirnov two-sample...

Kolmogorov Smirnov two-sample method is a distribution free technique which tests for any difference between the two populations probability distributions. The test is relied on t

Gambling, It is the art of attempting to exchange something quite small and...

It is the art of attempting to exchange something quite small and certain, for something which are large and uncertain. Gambling is big business; in the US, for instance, it is at

Expectaton, sales per day for a product are as follows: x= 10, 11, 12, 13 (...

sales per day for a product are as follows: x= 10, 11, 12, 13 (p)= 0.2, 0.4, 0.3, 0.1 obtain mean and variance of daily sale. if the profit is described by the following equation p

Percentage, Looking for the correct answer.Y=50+.079(149)-.261(214)=

Looking for the correct answer.Y=50+.079(149)-.261(214)=

The time series analysis on the number of babies, importance of time series...

importance of time series on the number of babies given birth

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd