expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Explain human height growth curves, Human height growth curves : The growth...

Human height growth curves : The growth of human height is, in common, remarkably regular, apart from the pubertal growth spurt. The satisfactory longitudinal development curve is

Z-tests, Hello! I am currently in graduate school earning a masters in ment...

Hello! I am currently in graduate school earning a masters in mental health counseling. I am in a stats course at current and we are reviewing z-scores. I am a little lost because

Mobile Marketing statistics., 1) Has smartphones affected the consumer beh...

1) Has smartphones affected the consumer behavior? If so How ? And how is it going to change in future? 2) Forecasting of Mobile market (Time series analysis) 3) Comparison of fou

Recursive models, Recursive models are the statistical models in which the...

Recursive models are the statistical models in which the causality flows in one direction, that is models which include only unidirectional effects. Such type of models do not inc

The time series analysis on the number of babies, importance of time series...

importance of time series on the number of babies given birth

Partial least squares, Partial least squares is an alternative to the mult...

Partial least squares is an alternative to the multiple regressions which, in spite of using the original q explanatory variables directly, constructs the new set of k regressor v

Describe prior distribution, Prior distributions : The probability distribu...

Prior distributions : The probability distributions which summarize the information about a random variable or parameter known or supposed at a given time instant, prior to attaini

Explain randomized response technique, Randomized response technique : The ...

Randomized response technique : The procedure for collecting the information on sensitive issues by means of the survey, in which an element of chance is introduced as to what quer

Describe longini koopman model, Longini Koopman model : In epidemiology the...

Longini Koopman model : In epidemiology the model for primary and secondary infection, based on the classification of the extra-binomial variation in an infection rate which might

Effect sparsity, The term which is used in the industrial experimentation, ...

The term which is used in the industrial experimentation, where there is commonly a large set of candidate factors believed to have the possible significant influence on the respon

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd