User Account

All Pages

expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Efficiency, This term applied in the context of comparing the different met...

This term applied in the context of comparing the different methods and techniques of estimating the same parameter; the estimate with the lowest variance being regarded as the mos

Probability distribution of the net present value, Suppose that $4 million ...

Suppose that $4 million is available for investment in three projects.  The probability distribution of the net present value earned from each project depends on how much is invest

EDUC 606, The GRE has a combined verbal and quantitative mean of 1000 and a...

The GRE has a combined verbal and quantitative mean of 1000 and a standard deviation of 200.

Bayesian confidence interval, Bayesian confidence interval : An interval of...

Bayesian confidence interval : An interval of the posterior distribution which is so that the density of it at any point inside the interval is greater than that of the density at

Goalpost mentality .., what is goal post mentality?

what is goal post mentality?

Cube law, A law supposedly applicable to voting behaviour which has a histo...

A law supposedly applicable to voting behaviour which has a history of several decades. It may be stated thus: Consider a two-party system and suppose that the representatives of t

Game theory, This is the branch of mathematics which deals with the theory ...

This is the branch of mathematics which deals with the theory of contests between two or more players under the specified sets of rules. The subject supposes a statistical aspect w

Nearest-neighbour methods, Nearest-neighbour methods are the methods of di...

Nearest-neighbour methods are the methods of discriminant analysis are based on studying the training set subjects much similar to the subject to be classified. Classification mig

Pattern recognition, Pattern recognition is a term for a technology that r...

Pattern recognition is a term for a technology that recognizes and analyses patterns automatically by machine and which has been used successfully in many areas of application inc

Dummy variable, Discuss the use of dummy variables in both multiple linear ...

Discuss the use of dummy variables in both multiple linear regression and non-linear regression. Give examples if possible

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Order Assignment

Featured Services

Order Now

Popular Subjects

Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

Submit Assignment

Academics

Major Subjects

Majors

Get In Touch

whatsapp: +1-415-670-9521

Phone: +1-415-670-9521

Email: [email protected]

TERMS & POLICIES

HELP & SUPPORT

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd