expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Hot deck, Hot deck is a method broadly used in surveys for imputing the mi...

Hot deck is a method broadly used in surveys for imputing the missing values. In its easiest form the method includes sampling with replacement m values from the sample respondent

Evaluate the statistical arguments, Evaluate the following statistical argu...

Evaluate the following statistical arguments. Begin by identifying the sample, population, and the property which is being investigated. Do these arguments sound acceptable? Would

Rates of return, An investor with a stock portfolio sued his broker, claimi...

An investor with a stock portfolio sued his broker, claiming that a lack of diversification in his portfolio had led to poor performance. The data, shown below, are the rates of re

Length-biased data, Length-biased data is a data which arise when the prob...

Length-biased data is a data which arise when the probability that an item is sampled is proportional to its own length. A main example of this situation occurs in the renewal the

Differences total spot, The graphical process most frequently used in the a...

The graphical process most frequently used in the analysis of data from a two-by-two crossover design. For each of the subject the difference between the response variable values o

Explain negative hyper geometric distribution, Negative hyper geometric dis...

Negative hyper geometric distribution : In sampling without replacement from the population comprising of r elements of one kind and N - r of another, if two elements corresponding

Cascadedparameters, Cascadedparameters: A group of parameters which is int...

Cascadedparameters: A group of parameters which is interlinked and where selecting the value for the ?rst parameter affects the choice and option available in the subsequent param

Multivariate analysis of variance, Multivariate analysis of variance is th...

Multivariate analysis of variance is the procedure for testing equality of the mean vectors of more than two populations for the multivariate response variable. The method is dire

Ecme algorithm, The Expectation/Conditional Maximization Either algorithm w...

The Expectation/Conditional Maximization Either algorithm which is the generalization of ECM algorithm attained by replacing some of the CM-steps of ECM which maximize the constrai

Markov chains.., a shop is selling laptops at regular price and at half pri...

a shop is selling laptops at regular price and at half price.If the laptops are regular price a day they will be at regular price tha day after with proba 2/3, if the laptops are a

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd