expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Doob meyer decomposition, A theorem which shows that any counting process m...

A theorem which shows that any counting process may be uniquely decomposed as the sum of a martingale and a predictable, right-continous process called the compensator, assuming ce

Weighted least squares, Weighted least squares  is the method of estimation...

Weighted least squares  is the method of estimation in which the estimates arise from minimizing the weighted sum of squares of the differences between response variable and its pr

Mobile Marketing statistics., 1) Has smartphones affected the consumer beh...

1) Has smartphones affected the consumer behavior? If so How ? And how is it going to change in future? 2) Forecasting of Mobile market (Time series analysis) 3) Comparison of fou

Describe hurdle model, Hurdle Model:  The model for count data which postul...

Hurdle Model:  The model for count data which postulates two processes, one generating the zeros in the data and one generating positive values. The binomial model decides the bina

Explain literature controls, Literature controls : The patients with the di...

Literature controls : The patients with the disease of interest who have received, in the past, one of two treatments under the investigation, and for whom the results have been pu

The time series analysis on the number of babies, importance of time series...

importance of time series on the number of babies given birth

Describe respondent-driven sampling (rds), Respondent-driven sampling (RDS ...

Respondent-driven sampling (RDS ): The form of snowball sampling which starts with the recruitment of the small number of people in the target population to serve as the seeds. Aft

Normality - reasons for screening data, Normality - Reasons for Screening...

Normality - Reasons for Screening Data Prior to analyzing multivariate normality, one should consider univariate normality Histogram, Normal Q-Qplot (values on x axis

Explain non-response, Non-response is the term generally used for the fail...

Non-response is the term generally used for the failure to give the relevant information being collected in the survey. Poor response can be because of the variety of causes, for

Em algorithm, The method or technique for producing the sequence of paramet...

The method or technique for producing the sequence of parameter estimates that, under the mild regularity conditions, converges to maximum likelihood estimator. Of particular signi

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd