expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Hypothesis testing paper, Prepare a 1,400- to 1,750-word paper in which you...

Prepare a 1,400- to 1,750-word paper in which you formulate a hypothesis based on your selected research issue, problem, or opportunity. Address the following: •Describe your sele

Develop an algebraic linear programming model, Duck Lovers Unlimited (DLU) ...

Duck Lovers Unlimited (DLU) Inc. assembles specially configured light jet aircrafts for airborne duck hunting. The quarterly demand forecasts for the upcoming fiscal year are:

Daycare, facts and statistics about daycare

facts and statistics about daycare

Buffon''s needle problem, Buffon's needle problem : A problem proposed and ...

Buffon's needle problem : A problem proposed and solved by the scientist Comte de Buffon in 1777 which includes determining the probability, p, which a needle of length l will inte

Explain maternal mortality, Maternal mortality : The maternal death is the ...

Maternal mortality : The maternal death is the death of a woman while pregnant, delivering a baby or within 42 days of the termination of pregnancy, from any reason related to or a

Expectaton, sales per day for a product are as follows: x= 10, 11, 12, 13 (...

sales per day for a product are as follows: x= 10, 11, 12, 13 (p)= 0.2, 0.4, 0.3, 0.1 obtain mean and variance of daily sale. if the profit is described by the following equation p

Differences-in-differences estimator, The estimator of the group by the tim...

The estimator of the group by the time period interaction in a study in which the subjects in two different groups are observed in two different time periods. Normally one of th

Morbidity, Morbidity is the term used in the epidemiological studies to de...

Morbidity is the term used in the epidemiological studies to describe sickness in the human populations. The WHO Expert Committee on the Health Statistics noted in its sixth repor

Population averaged models, Population averaged models are the models for ...

Population averaged models are the models for kind of clustered data in which the marginal expectation of response variable is the main focus of interest. An alternative approach

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd