expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Decision Models., An oil company thinks that there is a 60% chance that the...

An oil company thinks that there is a 60% chance that there is oil in the land they own. Before drilling they run a soil test. When there is oil in the ground, the soil test comes

Queuing theory, 1) Let N1(t) and N2(t) be independent Poisson processes wit...

1) Let N1(t) and N2(t) be independent Poisson processes with rates, ?1 and ?2, respectively. Let N (t) = N1(t) + N2(t). a) What is the distribution of the time till the next epoch

Reciprocal transformation, Reciprocal transformation is a transformation o...

Reciprocal transformation is a transformation of the form y =1/x, which is specifically useful for certain types of variables. Resistances, for instance, become conductances, and

Homework and Assignment assistance for RES610 Course, Interested in 10 hour...

Interested in 10 hour program with twice a week tutoring for 1 hour each. Need tutor to assist with answering the assignment questions for the next 5 weeks.

Chain-binomial models, Chain-binomial models : Models arising in mathematic...

Chain-binomial models : Models arising in mathematical theory of the quite infectious diseases, which postulate that at any stage in the epidemic there are a certain number of the

L''abbe ´ plot, L'Abbe ´ plot is often used in the meta-analysis of the cl...

L'Abbe ´ plot is often used in the meta-analysis of the clinical trials where the result is the binary response of it. The event risk (number of events/number of the patients in a

Conditional logistic regression, Conditional logistic regression : The form...

Conditional logistic regression : The form of logistic regression designed to work with the clustered data, such as data including matched pairs of the subjects, in which subject-s

Parks test, The Null Hypothesis - H0: β 1 = 0 i.e. there is homoscedastici...

The Null Hypothesis - H0: β 1 = 0 i.e. there is homoscedasticity errors and no heteroscedasticity exists The Alternative Hypothesis - H1: β 1 ≠ 0 i.e. there is no homoscedasti

correlation, i will like to submit my project for you to do on chi-square,...

i will like to submit my project for you to do on chi-square, ANOVA, and correlation and simple regression. how can we do this?

Comprehensive report writing assignment help, Hamilton County judges try th...

Hamilton County judges try thousands of cases per year. In an overwhelming majority of the cases disposed, the verdict stands as rendered. However, some cases are appeale

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd