expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Collapsing categories, Collapsing categories : A procedure generally applie...

Collapsing categories : A procedure generally applied to contingency tables in which the two or more row or column categories are combined, in number of cases so as to yield the re

Continuous variable, Continuous variable : The measurement which is not res...

Continuous variable : The measurement which is not restricted to the particular values except in so far as this is constrained by the accuracy of measuring instrument. General exam

Solve this, An analyst counted 17 A/B runs and 26 time series observations....

An analyst counted 17 A/B runs and 26 time series observations. Do these results suggest that the data are nonrandom? Explain

Current status data, The Current status data arise in the survival analysis...

The Current status data arise in the survival analysis if the observations are limited to the indicators of whether or not the event of interest has happened at the time the sample

Probability, show all the ways in which 3 games of football can be conclude...

show all the ways in which 3 games of football can be concluded(it can be a win W,a loss L,or a draw X)

Define interval-censored observations, Interval-censored observations ar...

Interval-censored observations are the  observations which often occur in the context of studies of time elapsed to the particular event when subjects are not monitored regularl

Forecast, The particular projection which an investigator believes is most ...

The particular projection which an investigator believes is most likely to give an accurate prediction of the future value of some process. Commonly used in the context of the anal

Canonical correlation analysis, Canonical correlation analysis : A process ...

Canonical correlation analysis : A process of analysis for investigating the relationship between the two groups of variables, by ?nding the linear functions of one of the sets of

Uncertainty analysis, Uncertainty analysis is the process for assessing th...

Uncertainty analysis is the process for assessing the variability in the outcome variable that is due to the uncertainty in estimating the values of input parameters. A sensitivit

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd