expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Glim, Glim is the software package specifically suited for fitting the gen...

Glim is the software package specifically suited for fitting the generalized linear models (the acronym stands for the Generalized Linear Interactive Modelling), including the log

Probability., 5. Packages from a machine a normally distributed with a mean...

5. Packages from a machine a normally distributed with a mean 200g and its standard deviation 2grams. Find the probability that a package from the machine weighs a) Less than

Curvature measures, The diagnostic tools or devices used to approach the cl...

The diagnostic tools or devices used to approach the closeness to the linearity of the non-linear model. They calculate the deviation of so-called expectation surface from the plan

Explain kleiner hartigan trees, Kleiner Hartigan trees is a technique for ...

Kleiner Hartigan trees is a technique for displaying the multivariate data graphically as the 'trees' in which the values of the variables are coded into length of the terminal br

Interior analysis, Interior analysis is the  term now and again applied to...

Interior analysis is the  term now and again applied to analysis carried out on the fitted model in regression problem. The basic target of such analyses is the identification of

Probability and random processes, how to find the PDF and CDF of a gamma ra...

how to find the PDF and CDF of a gamma random variable with given equation?

Week 5 Assignment 1, Activity Description Create an MS Word document by c...

Activity Description Create an MS Word document by cutting and pasting SPSS output into the document. Complete the following: Use an existing dataset to compute a factorial AN

Markov chains.., a shop is selling laptops at regular price and at half pri...

a shop is selling laptops at regular price and at half price.If the laptops are regular price a day they will be at regular price tha day after with proba 2/3, if the laptops are a

Define matching coefficient, Matching coefficient is a similarity coeffici...

Matching coefficient is a similarity coefficient for data consisting of the number of binary variables which is often used in cluster analysis. It can be given as follows    he

Genomics, Genomics  is the study of the structure, function and the evoluti...

Genomics  is the study of the structure, function and the evolution of deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) or ribonucleic acid (RNA) sequences which comprise the genome of living organisms

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd