expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Coefficient of concordance, Coefficient of concordance : The coef?cient is ...

Coefficient of concordance : The coef?cient is taken in use to assess the agreement among m raters ranking n individuals according to some of the speci?c characteristic. Which can

Explain non-response, Non-response is the term generally used for the fail...

Non-response is the term generally used for the failure to give the relevant information being collected in the survey. Poor response can be because of the variety of causes, for

Cointegration, Cointegration : The vector of not motionless time sequence i...

Cointegration : The vector of not motionless time sequence is said to be cointegrated if the linear combination of the individual series is stationary. Facilitates suitable testing

Cohort study, Cohort study : An investigation in which the group of individ...

Cohort study : An investigation in which the group of individuals (or the cohort) is identi?ed and followed prospectively, possibly for many years, and their subsequent medical his

Attack rate, Attack rate : This term frequently used for the incidence of t...

Attack rate : This term frequently used for the incidence of the disease or condition in the particular group, or during a limited interval of time, or under the special circumstan

Hypergeometric distribution, Hypergeometric distribution is t he probabili...

Hypergeometric distribution is t he probability distribution related with the sampling without replacement from the population of finite size. If the population comprises of r ele

Fisher''s scoring method, This is an alternative to the Newton-Raphson tech...

This is an alternative to the Newton-Raphson technique for optimization (finding out the minimum or the maximum) of some function, which includes replacing the matrix of second der

Logistic regression - computing log odds without probabiliti, Please help w...

Please help with following problem: : Let’s consider the logistic regression model, which we will refer to as Model 1, given by log(pi / [1-pi]) = 0.25 + 0.32*X1 + 0.70*X2 + 0.

Chain-binomial models, Chain-binomial models : Models arising in mathematic...

Chain-binomial models : Models arising in mathematical theory of the quite infectious diseases, which postulate that at any stage in the epidemic there are a certain number of the

Dummy variables, The variables resulting from the recoding categorical vari...

The variables resulting from the recoding categorical variables with more than two categories into the sequence of binary variables. Marital status, for instance, if originally lab

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd