expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Expected-utility maximizer, There are two periods. You observe that Jack co...

There are two periods. You observe that Jack consumes 100 apples in period t = 0, and 120 apples in period t = 1. That is, (c 0 ; c 1 ) = (100; 120) Suppose Jack has the util

Incidental parameter problem, Incidental parameter problem is a problem wh...

Incidental parameter problem is a problem which sometimes occurs when the number of parameters increases in the tandem with the number of observations. For instance, models for pa

Extrapolation, This process of estimating from a data set those values lyin...

This process of estimating from a data set those values lying beyond range of the data. In the regression analysis, for instance, a value of the response variable might be estimate

Epidemic, The rapid development or growth of the disease in a community or ...

The rapid development or growth of the disease in a community or region. Statistical thinking has made very much significant contributions to the understanding of such type of phen

Solve this, An analyst counted 17 A/B runs and 26 time series observations....

An analyst counted 17 A/B runs and 26 time series observations. Do these results suggest that the data are nonrandom? Explain

Reinterviewing, Reinterviewing  is the second interview for a sample of sur...

Reinterviewing  is the second interview for a sample of survey respondents in which questions of the original interview (or the subset of them) are repeated again. The same methods

Collective risk models, Collective risk models : The models applied to insu...

Collective risk models : The models applied to insurance portfolios which do not create direct reference to the risk characteristics of individual members of the portfolio when des

Define least significant difference test, Least significant difference test...

Least significant difference test is an approach to comparing a set of means which controls the family wise error rate at some specific level, let's assume it to be α. The hypothe

Expected monetary value, Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not ...

Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The com

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd