expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Reciprocal transformation, Reciprocal transformation is a transformation o...

Reciprocal transformation is a transformation of the form y =1/x, which is specifically useful for certain types of variables. Resistances, for instance, become conductances, and

Regression analysis, The regression analysis is used to fit a model descr...

The regression analysis is used to fit a model describing the relationship of a dependent variable with independent variable(s). Here we have fitted three regression models:

Pre analysis data screening, need answers to questions in book advanced and...

need answers to questions in book advanced and multivariate statistical methods

Find the expected value of perfect information, You may have the opportunit...

You may have the opportunity to buy some electronic components. These components may be reliable (1) or unreliable (2). The potential pro?ts are £10,000 if the components are rel

Fractional factorial design, Designs in which the information on main effec...

Designs in which the information on main effects and low-order inter- actions are attained by running only the fraction of the complete factorial experiment and supposing that part

Designmatrix, how to constuct design matrix

how to constuct design matrix

Cause specific death rate, Cause specific death rate : A death rate calcula...

Cause specific death rate : A death rate calculated for the people dying from the specific disease. For instance, the below given are the rates per 1000 people for three disease cl

Explain kleiner hartigan trees, Kleiner Hartigan trees is a technique for ...

Kleiner Hartigan trees is a technique for displaying the multivariate data graphically as the 'trees' in which the values of the variables are coded into length of the terminal br

Calculate the probability, (a) A plane timetable states that a particular p...

(a) A plane timetable states that a particular plane is due at 2pm but the actual arrival time isuniformly distributed between 1pm and 3pm. (i) Calculate the probability that th

Explanatory variables, The variables appearing on the right-hand side of eq...

The variables appearing on the right-hand side of equations defining, for instance, multiple regressions or the logistic regression, and which seek to predict or 'explain' response

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd