expected monetary value, Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
Ask quesoil company is considering whether or not to bid for an offshore drilling contract. If they bid, the value would be $600m with a 65% chance of gaining the contract. The company may set up a new drilling operation or move its already existing operation, which has proved successful to the new site. The probability of success and expected returns (in $m) are as follows:
outcome New operation Existing operation
Probability Expected return Probability Expected return
Success 0.75 800 0.85 700
Failure 0.25 200 0.15 350

If the company does not bid or lose the contract, they can use the $600m to modernise their operations. This would result in a return of either 5% or 10% on the sum invested with probabilities 0.45 and 0.55 respectively.
With the aid of a decision tree, prepare a detailed quantitative report advising the company on the best course of action.

tion #Minimum 100 words accepted#

Related Discussions:- expected monetary value

Explain household interview surveys, Household interview surveys : The surv...

Household interview surveys : The surveys in which the primary sampling units are typically geographic regions such as nations or cities. For each such unit sampled, there are addi

Computer-assisted interviews, Computer-assisted interviews : A method or te...

Computer-assisted interviews : A method or technique of interviewing subjects in which the interviewer reads the question from the computer screen instead of the printed page, and

Paired availability design, Paired availability design  is a design which c...

Paired availability design  is a design which can lessen selection bias in the situations where it is not possible to use random allocation of the subjects to treatments. The desig

Inliers, Inliers is the term used for the observations most likely to be s...

Inliers is the term used for the observations most likely to be subject to error in situations where the dichotomy is developed by making a ‘cut’ on an ordered scale, and where th

Quittingill effect, Quittingill effect is a  problem which occurs most fre...

Quittingill effect is a  problem which occurs most frequently in studies of the smoker cessation where smokers frequently quit smoking following the onset of the disease symptoms

Conditional probability, Conditional probability : The probability that an ...

Conditional probability : The probability that an event occurs given the outcome of other event. Generally written, Pr(A|B). For instance, the probability of a person being color b

Non parametric maximum likelihood (npml), Non parametric maximum likelihood...

Non parametric maximum likelihood (NPML) is a likelihood approach which does not need the specification of the full parametric family for the data. Usually, the non parametric max

Obuchowski and rockette method, Obuchowski and Rockette method  is an alter...

Obuchowski and Rockette method  is an alternative to the Dorfman-Berbaum-Metz technique for analyzing multiple reader receiver operating curve data. Instead of the modelling the ja

Determine the probablity, Dr. Stallter has been teaching basic statistics f...

Dr. Stallter has been teaching basic statistics for many years. She knows that 80% of the students will complete the assigned problems. She has also determined that among those who

Dirichlet tessellation, A construction for events that happen in some plana...

A construction for events that happen in some planar area a, consisting of the series of 'territories' each of which comprises of that part of a closer to the particular event xi t

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd