Effects of an oil price shock - empirically analyses, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

This paper empirically analyses the effect of oil price shocks on key macroeconomic indicators in the United Kingdom.The aim of the paper is to establish a relationship between oil prices and several indicators. An unrestricted VAR analysis is carried out. Granger Causality testing and impulse response functions are analysed. There is evidence that lagged values of the oil price variable Granger cause and helps to predict GDP, inflation and interest rates at the 95% significant level. The impulse response functions are then analysed for each variable. The results of the impulse responses show that there is a significant negative impact throughout the short, medium and long term in the UK economy. The principal finding of this paper is that there is sufficient evidence of a countercyclical relationship between oil prices and the UK economy, in one direction. That is when oil prices increase, the economic performance of the UK decreases.


Related Discussions:- Effects of an oil price shock - empirically analyses

Null and alternative hypothesis, To determine whether high blood pressure a...

To determine whether high blood pressure affected whether a person had a stroke, a sample of 300 people who had had strokes are examined. In the sample, 37% had high blood pressure

Neo-Keynesian Synthesis, how would you describe a neo-keynesian (or neoclas...

how would you describe a neo-keynesian (or neoclassical) synthesis? and why did Joan Robinson label it "bastard Keynesian"

Trade and economic growth, Trade and Economic Growth: For a long time,...

Trade and Economic Growth: For a long time, academic debate on trade liberalization and its positive effects on growth rate remained inconclusive and unsettled. But most recen

Household production, Assume two individuals, A and B, are considering marr...

Assume two individuals, A and B, are considering marriage, and each face the same amount of hours a week to be split between market-labor and home-labor.  Assume that A can make $2

Explain the basic characteristics of IS-curve, Q. Explain the basic charact...

Q. Explain the basic characteristics of IS-curve? IS-LM diagram IS-curve The IS curve shows all combinations of R and Y where the goods marketis in

Decrease the nominal deficit, Which of the following will decrease the nomi...

Which of the following will decrease the nominal deficit? A. An increase in taxes. B. An increase in the debt. C. An increase in government expenditures. D. An increase in interest

National income of india, project with introduction,aims and objectives,nee...

project with introduction,aims and objectives,need and importance,preparation of data and information,case study,problems,conclusion

How growth are improved living standards, How growth are improved living st...

How growth are improved living standards The two main benefits of growth are improved living standards and technological advancement. As an economy grows, the output of

The demand curve , A sporting goods store has estimated the demand curve fo...

A sporting goods store has estimated the demand curve for a popular brand of running shoes as a function of price. Use the diagram to answer the questions that follow. a.

Stan garner resides in illinois, Stan Garner resides in Illinois and promot...

Stan Garner resides in Illinois and promotes boxing matches for Super sports, INC. an Illinois corporation. Garner created the connect of "ages" promotion- a three fight series of

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd