Economic outcomes, Public Economics

Assignment Help:

Suppose that economic outcomes can be classified as either good or bad. Governments differ in ability and this affects the likelihood of good outcomes. There are two types of governments: high ability or low ability. The prior probability that a government is high ability is 1/2. The probability that the economy is good given that the government is high ability is 3/4, while the probability that the economy is good given that the government is low ability is 1/4. In this case, the incumbent government can manipulate the economy and the electorate will learn (update) their beliefs about the ability of the incumbent government based on the observed state of the economy.

a) What is the probability that the government is high ability given that the economy is good? What is the probability that the government is high ability given that the economy is bad?

b) Suppose that the probability of the opposition being of a high type is 1/2. Voters vote for the government with the highest probability of being of a high type. What is the probability that the incumbent government will win an election against the opposition if the economy is good? What is the probability the incumbent government will win if the economy is bad?


Related Discussions:- Economic outcomes

Discuss why you believe our urban public schools , Recent standardized test...

Recent standardized test scores suggest that the Milwaukee Public School system is facing a profound moment of crisis, a reality shared by school districts in many other US cities.

Ecommerse, #questioi hour classn..

#questioi hour classn..

Economic literature policy instrumentation, In economic literature policy i...

In economic literature policy instrumentation has usually been discussed from normative point of view. In particular, the analytical apparatus of welfare theory is well equipped t

Side payments, 3 voters, A, B, and C, will decide by majority rule whether ...

3 voters, A, B, and C, will decide by majority rule whether to pass bills on issues X and Y. Every of the two issues will be voted on indiviually. The change in net profits (in dol

Decision process - welfare economics, One shortcoming of neoclassical welfa...

One shortcoming of neoclassical welfare economics is that it does not take into account the institutional structure of collective decision making. To draw normative conclusions abo

What do you understand by policy process, Q. What do you understand by Poli...

Q. What do you understand by Policy Process? Begin from theoretical frame work of policy making and proceed breaking various assumptions and introducing heterogeneity of agents

Overcome the barriers of having access to government data, QUESTION (i)...

QUESTION (i) "Public Sector data is seen as owned by everyone since it has been gathered about and from everyone, often compulsorily". Discuss the concepts of ‘Public data' whe

Identify appropriate economic policy, Examine issues and decisions using th...

Examine issues and decisions using the economic way of thinking; identify appropriate economic policy; communicate economics in written format Topic Upon finishing your d

Economic principles of mbis, Normal 0 false false false ...

Normal 0 false false false EN-IN X-NONE X-NONE MicrosoftInternetExplorer4

Role of government intervention in the economy, For a very large part of 20...

For a very large part of 20 th century, we may recall, there existed capitalist market-oriented economies and socialist planning-oriented economies. 21stcentury is however witness

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd