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Deterministic Model After the macroeconomic, industrial and business analysis of the company chosen is done First of all a point estimate for all the input variables in a valuation model is done. These input variables are used to arrive at the valuation of the company using an excel model. Based on the macroeconomic, industrial and company analysis, growth related forecasts are made for the company. These forecast are used to find the valuation of the company using an excel model. This is a parametric deterministic model.
Further it is shown that these input variables are difficult to predict correctly and at the best a range of values can be found. Monte Carlo simulation model is used is to predict how the valuation of the companies varies with the change in input variables.
Business forecasting menaing
Company Z has just been organized. It is expected to experience zero growth next year and grow at a 10% rate in year 2. Beginning in the third year the company should attain a 5%
FIXED ASSETS 200 000 LONG TERM LIABILITIES CURRENT ASSETS CASH 40 000 LOAN
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