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In order to observe the correlations between each variable, the most effective method to use is Vector Autoregression (VAR). VAR estimation uses a system of simultaneous equations to observe interdependencies throughout multiple time-series data.
The VAR is unrestricted; it will produce a theory-free estimation of economic relationships. It is imperative to understand that the estimation will not test any economic theories, nor will it analyse any government policies such as inflation targeting. The VAR will purely estimate the correlations between the specified macroeconomic variables over the time period. This paper's empirical set-up is largely borrowed from Jiménez-Rodríguez, R. and Sánchez, M. (2004) as their study was very similar to this paper, but focuses onseveral OECD countries, not just the UK. The borrowed methodology is using an unconstrained vector autoregression which is then transformed into its Moving Average Representation form in order to estimate the impulse response functions. The following vector autoregression of order p, where p is the number of lags is estimated;
Where, = GDP, = Oil Prices, = Inflation rate, = Interest Rate, = Unemployment rate and = Real exchange rate. Finally, is the error term for each equation.
In 2007, based upon the Survey of Household Spending of 2005, Statistics Canada announced the following weights for the major spending categories tracked by the CPI.
compare and contrast the monetarism economics and the keynesian economics
From Tables 3A to 3F in the Appendix the results from VAR/Block Exogeneity Granger Causality Test are that the oil price variable does Granger cause both Inflation and interest rat
it has been argued that economic development of developing countries has been held back by a persistent fall in the terms of trade of developing countries over the long run
Evaluate the impact of an aging population on state and local government expenditures. Suggest strategies that government should take in dealing with this situation. Justify your r
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A financial manager wants to design an investment portfolio for a client. The client has $50,000 available to invest, and the planner has identified four investment options for the
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The annual income from an apartment complex is $20,664. The annual expense is estimated to be $3,414. The apartment complex could be sold for $146,499 at the end of 10 years. If yo
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