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In order to observe the correlations between each variable, the most effective method to use is Vector Autoregression (VAR). VAR estimation uses a system of simultaneous equations to observe interdependencies throughout multiple time-series data.
The VAR is unrestricted; it will produce a theory-free estimation of economic relationships. It is imperative to understand that the estimation will not test any economic theories, nor will it analyse any government policies such as inflation targeting. The VAR will purely estimate the correlations between the specified macroeconomic variables over the time period. This paper's empirical set-up is largely borrowed from Jiménez-Rodríguez, R. and Sánchez, M. (2004) as their study was very similar to this paper, but focuses onseveral OECD countries, not just the UK. The borrowed methodology is using an unconstrained vector autoregression which is then transformed into its Moving Average Representation form in order to estimate the impulse response functions. The following vector autoregression of order p, where p is the number of lags is estimated;
Where, = GDP, = Oil Prices, = Inflation rate, = Interest Rate, = Unemployment rate and = Real exchange rate. Finally, is the error term for each equation.
Assume the marginal propensity to consume = .8, and government purchases increase by $.2 Trillion. 1. Potentially, how much will real GDP increase in the short-run after the inc
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a small country produces 5000 units of output and has a money suplly of $2000. if citizens want to hold 10% of their income in money ie k=0.1 what are v, $gnp, p and real money sup
Suppose you have $10,000 and wish to purchase an annuity that pays you a fixed dollar amount every month. How much would you receive each month if the annuity rate is 1% and you in
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There is a joke among economists that children are an "inferior good." In many countries there appears to be a negative relationship between income and the number children in a hou
Determine the exchange rate When a currency is freely floating, the central bank doesn't have to set monetary policy to alter the external value of the currency unless instruct
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if a 10% decrease in the price of product A brings about a 3% increase in the sales of product B, then a. product A and B are complementary b. the cross elasticity of demand
It is reported that 16% of American households use a cell phone exclusively for their telephone service. In a sample of eight households, find the probability that: A) None use a c
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