Describe double exponential smoothing, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

The Cardinal Electronics Company must project the sales of cellular phones for the next year (called year 2). The number of cell phones sold by Cardinal Electronics in each of the past 6 months (July of year 1 through December of year 1) is shown below. Month Number of Cellular Phones Sold July 183 August 215 September 294 October 333 November 410 December 438 a. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2 using a rolling (i.e. updated at end of each month when new demand data becomes available) 4-month linear regression model. For example, forecasts generated at the end of October are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months July through October and forecasts generated at the end of December are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months September through December. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for a rolling 4-month linear regression model. b. Using Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) with ? = 0.15 and ?= 0.10 (i.e. assume the data has a linear trend pattern), forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for your double exponential smoothing model. c. Based on the measures of forecast accuracy you calculated for the part a) linear regression model and the part b) DES (0.15, 0.10) model, which model is a better fit for this data?


Related Discussions:- Describe double exponential smoothing

Location strategy, Location Strategy It is difficult  to set  down ru...

Location Strategy It is difficult  to set  down rules whereby the problem  of facilities  location  can be  programmed but  there  are a number of factors which  should be  c

What is acquisition management, In your own words, what do you think acquis...

In your own words, what do you think acquisition management is and what are your impressions on how it is done in the DoD?

Explain what happens to throughput and cycle time, Consider a production sy...

Consider a production system that consists of a single station with a production rate of 1 part per minute and a process variability given by Ce=1. a) Suppose the system is run

Gravity center of method, hello , we need to news of practical example of c...

hello , we need to news of practical example of company''s gravity of method

What are the benefits of an erp system, 1. Does the JIT philosophy incorpor...

1. Does the JIT philosophy incorporate the calculation of EOQ?  2. What is the difference between MRP and ERP?  3. Why would a company implement an MRP system?  4. What ar

Time study - process design, Time Study - Process Design Time study by...

Time Study - Process Design Time study by stopwatch or micro-motion analysis is the original method of work measurement devised by Taylor and his followers, and is still routi

Describe kristen''s cookie company case study, Does anyone have any informa...

Does anyone have any information on the questions for the Kristen's Cookie Company case study?

Explain competitive advantage of southwest airlines, What might the competi...

What might the competitive advantage be for each of the following companies? a. EBay b. Southwest Airlines c. Starbucks d. Apple f. Facebook

Explain levels of management, Explain levels of management. Levels o...

Explain levels of management. Levels of Management: Industrial management has got the given activity levels: 1)  Top Management : this includes Board of Directors, Ma

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd