Describe double exponential smoothing, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

The Cardinal Electronics Company must project the sales of cellular phones for the next year (called year 2). The number of cell phones sold by Cardinal Electronics in each of the past 6 months (July of year 1 through December of year 1) is shown below. Month Number of Cellular Phones Sold July 183 August 215 September 294 October 333 November 410 December 438 a. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2 using a rolling (i.e. updated at end of each month when new demand data becomes available) 4-month linear regression model. For example, forecasts generated at the end of October are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months July through October and forecasts generated at the end of December are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months September through December. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for a rolling 4-month linear regression model. b. Using Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) with ? = 0.15 and ?= 0.10 (i.e. assume the data has a linear trend pattern), forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for your double exponential smoothing model. c. Based on the measures of forecast accuracy you calculated for the part a) linear regression model and the part b) DES (0.15, 0.10) model, which model is a better fit for this data?


Related Discussions:- Describe double exponential smoothing

Divide items according to category, Drop items into the correct category un...

Drop items into the correct category under "goods company or service company" belonging to which of the 4P's: Goods Company Service Company Product: Price: Place: Pr

List the interesting gap between consumer & service provider, 1. Look at th...

1. Look at the above table and list the interesting gaps which you observe in the 'scripts' between consumer and service provider. Answer: 1. The starting point of the servic

Explain the probability that rich will go to each store, The hunt is on: Ri...

The hunt is on: Rich's 13 year old daughter Alexandra is going to give him an introductory trombone concert later in the day, and he wants to purchase earplugs before then. Three s

Explain generating positive organizational behaviour, One of the constants ...

One of the constants in organizations is the presence of change. In almost all change scenarios, human behaviour is impacted. However, organizational members often resist change. W

Explain how technology has created a more efficient process, Type your ques...

Type your question hereHRIS systems have allowed HR to automate a variety of functions, including performance management, training, employee development, staffing, compensation, an

Explain how many units are needed to break, A manufacturing process has a f...

A manufacturing process has a fixed cost of $150,000 per month. Each unit of product being produced contains $25 worth of material and takes $45 of labour. How many units are neede

Explain lucrative pharmaceutical market, Vision Tec, an advanced technology...

Vision Tec, an advanced technology company in the Midwest, is developing their new Vision System product for the lucrative Pharmaceutical Market. This system uses a high-resolution

Explain offensive strategies for blockbuster, Will new competition for Redo...

Will new competition for Redox and digital content providers force blockbuster to alter its strategy? If yes, what are the offensive strategies for blockbuster? If not, what are th

Explain low quality leader-member exchange, 1) Discuss two factors that cou...

1) Discuss two factors that could affect what leadership style is most appropriate in a given situation. 2) Give an example of a manager who successfully or unsuccessful balanced c

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd