Describe double exponential smoothing, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

The Cardinal Electronics Company must project the sales of cellular phones for the next year (called year 2). The number of cell phones sold by Cardinal Electronics in each of the past 6 months (July of year 1 through December of year 1) is shown below. Month Number of Cellular Phones Sold July 183 August 215 September 294 October 333 November 410 December 438 a. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2 using a rolling (i.e. updated at end of each month when new demand data becomes available) 4-month linear regression model. For example, forecasts generated at the end of October are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months July through October and forecasts generated at the end of December are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months September through December. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for a rolling 4-month linear regression model. b. Using Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) with ? = 0.15 and ?= 0.10 (i.e. assume the data has a linear trend pattern), forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for your double exponential smoothing model. c. Based on the measures of forecast accuracy you calculated for the part a) linear regression model and the part b) DES (0.15, 0.10) model, which model is a better fit for this data?


Related Discussions:- Describe double exponential smoothing

Expalin possible core competencies of wild west, Wild west,Inc., is a regio...

Wild west,Inc., is a regional telephone company that inherited nearly 100,000 employees and 50,000 retirees from AT&T. Wild West Inc. has a new mission: to difersify.It calls fo

Explain corporate social responsibility, For this project component, you ge...

For this project component, you generally assess the impact of corporate social responsibility policy on the workplace and corporate America. To complete this assignment: • A

Explain opportunities that have inspired change in business, Generate and d...

Generate and discuss examples of problems and opportunities that have inspired change in business today

Capacity planning, outsourcing as external source of capacity

outsourcing as external source of capacity

Describe what role organizational structure plays, Discuss what role organi...

Discuss what role organizational structure plays in an organization's efficiency & effectiveness

Define the strategic positioning by reck and long, Q. Define the strategic ...

Q. Define the strategic positioning by Reck and Long? The strategic positioning tool through Reck and Long: Reck and long looked at the various positions or approaches to su

Explain research process to start searching for participants, When is the b...

When is the best time in the research process to start searching for participants?

Define all the consumer promotion tools, Define all the Consumer Promotion ...

Define all the Consumer Promotion Tools. Samples, contests, competition and money-refund offers, for consumers are Consumer Promotion Tools.

Explain the companys core competencies, As the end of the year comes to a c...

As the end of the year comes to a close, the CEO is evaluating Motorola's strategic approach and its ability to produce desired results for the company in the future. The CEO has a

Explain planning and organizing in organizations, Why is there so much poor...

Why is there so much poor planning and organizing in organizations? How could the planning process be improved where you work? Has anyone considered using flow process charts

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd