Describe double exponential smoothing, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

The Cardinal Electronics Company must project the sales of cellular phones for the next year (called year 2). The number of cell phones sold by Cardinal Electronics in each of the past 6 months (July of year 1 through December of year 1) is shown below. Month Number of Cellular Phones Sold July 183 August 215 September 294 October 333 November 410 December 438 a. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2 using a rolling (i.e. updated at end of each month when new demand data becomes available) 4-month linear regression model. For example, forecasts generated at the end of October are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months July through October and forecasts generated at the end of December are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months September through December. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for a rolling 4-month linear regression model. b. Using Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) with ? = 0.15 and ?= 0.10 (i.e. assume the data has a linear trend pattern), forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for your double exponential smoothing model. c. Based on the measures of forecast accuracy you calculated for the part a) linear regression model and the part b) DES (0.15, 0.10) model, which model is a better fit for this data?


Related Discussions:- Describe double exponential smoothing

Find forecast energy use for spring, An Electric Company estimates its dema...

An Electric Company estimates its demand trend line (in millions of kilowatt hours) to be D = 79 + 0.52 Q, where Q refers to the sequential quarter number and Q=1 for winter 2000.

Explain the interest is compounded quarterly, Your company invests $50,000 ...

Your company invests $50,000 today at an annual interest rate of 4.00%. The interest is compounded quarterly. Calculate the first quarter interest, the total annual interest and th

Explain methods of ''on - the job training'' for managers, Explain methods ...

Explain methods of 'On - the Job Training' for Managers. Methods of 'On - the Job Training' for Managers : (i) Experience: In this method a person who is to do something a

Explain how the project scope will be defined, The project scope planning p...

The project scope planning processes include all of the following EXCEPT: A. How the project scope will be defined B. How the requirements will be collected C. How the work brea

Explain the ohio-based company is covered by the nlra, The Ohio-based compa...

The Ohio-based company is covered by the NLRA. The CEO has heard rumblings that the employees may not be satisfied and are looking for representation. The CEO asked you, "If a unio

Effect of statistical process control, Effect of Statistical Process Contro...

Effect of Statistical Process Control The essence of this approach is that, having set up a process and established that it is stable, sample measurements of the process outpu

Explain operational management strategy for a company, Identify how the cha...

Identify how the changes in the internal envirobnebt affect the Operational Management strategy for a company. For example, what impact are the following factors likely to have on

A main outcome of electronic data interchange, A main outcome of electronic...

A main outcome of electronic data interchange (EDI) is   To save paperwork by using structured electronically transmitted data.

Explain how selling products online internationally can harm, The question ...

The question from my book is "How might Evo's (a business selling products online in the USA) international success actually harm its business?" I understand the question but I don

Compute the total relevant cost associated with the eoq, The local technolo...

The local technology store WiredIn hired you to manage their inventory, which consists of 2 products configurations, type L and type J. Below are the data for the products. The hol

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd