Describe double exponential smoothing, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

The Cardinal Electronics Company must project the sales of cellular phones for the next year (called year 2). The number of cell phones sold by Cardinal Electronics in each of the past 6 months (July of year 1 through December of year 1) is shown below. Month Number of Cellular Phones Sold July 183 August 215 September 294 October 333 November 410 December 438 a. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2 using a rolling (i.e. updated at end of each month when new demand data becomes available) 4-month linear regression model. For example, forecasts generated at the end of October are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months July through October and forecasts generated at the end of December are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months September through December. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for a rolling 4-month linear regression model. b. Using Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) with ? = 0.15 and ?= 0.10 (i.e. assume the data has a linear trend pattern), forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for your double exponential smoothing model. c. Based on the measures of forecast accuracy you calculated for the part a) linear regression model and the part b) DES (0.15, 0.10) model, which model is a better fit for this data?


Related Discussions:- Describe double exponential smoothing

Schmenner''s service-process matrix - operation strategy, Schmenner's Servi...

Schmenner's Service-Process Matrix The service-process matrix was introduced earlier. It is Schmenner's service industry equivalent of the product-process matrix. The service

Describe what is the theoretical workstations, The table details the task r...

The table details the task required for an industry to manufacture a fully portable vacuum cleaner. The times are in minutes. Demand forecasted a need to manufacture in a cycle of

Explain effect on a service delivery system, Why does volatility of demand ...

Why does volatility of demand have a higher effect on a service delivery system than on a manufacturing system?

Explain how many machines should be purchased, Up, up, and away is a produc...

Up, up, and away is a producer of kites and wind socks. Relevant data on a bottleneck operation in the shop for the upcoming fiscal year are given in the following table: Item Kite

Explain chemical pollutant, A veterinarian is estimating the degree of asso...

A veterinarian is estimating the degree of association between the exposure/non-exposure of cats to a chemical pollutant and the incidence of a particular respiratory illness among

Describe operation management strategy for company, Identify how changes in...

Identify how changes in the external environment may affect the operation management strategy for company. For example, what are the following factors likely to have on operation m

Explain how can advertisers use the vals information, How can marketers use...

How can marketers use the VALS information to serve consumers better? Name five types of products or services for which the VALS information would be particularly useful. Explain.

Explain the role viruses other malicious code, Explain how the Internet has...

Explain how the Internet has aided criminal activity. 2. Provide three (3) specific examples of how the Internet has aided criminal activity. 3. Identify the types of crime that tr

Explain approaches that project managers, Project managers frequently face ...

Project managers frequently face competing constraints. Identify these common constraints and describe approaches that project managers can use to make the trade-offs required to s

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd