Describe double exponential smoothing, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

The Cardinal Electronics Company must project the sales of cellular phones for the next year (called year 2). The number of cell phones sold by Cardinal Electronics in each of the past 6 months (July of year 1 through December of year 1) is shown below. Month Number of Cellular Phones Sold July 183 August 215 September 294 October 333 November 410 December 438 a. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2 using a rolling (i.e. updated at end of each month when new demand data becomes available) 4-month linear regression model. For example, forecasts generated at the end of October are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months July through October and forecasts generated at the end of December are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months September through December. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for a rolling 4-month linear regression model. b. Using Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) with ? = 0.15 and ?= 0.10 (i.e. assume the data has a linear trend pattern), forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for your double exponential smoothing model. c. Based on the measures of forecast accuracy you calculated for the part a) linear regression model and the part b) DES (0.15, 0.10) model, which model is a better fit for this data?


Related Discussions:- Describe double exponential smoothing

Who are involve in top management, Who are involve in top management ? T...

Who are involve in top management ? Top management level involves Board of Directors, Chief Executive and General Manager and Managing Directors.

Explain styles of leadership are situational and charismatic, The five type...

The five types of leadership styles are most applicable in certain situations. Discuss the applicability of each of the five types in project leadership situations and its usefulne

What are the pros and cons of flexible schedules for staff, What are the pr...

What are the pros and cons of flexible schedules from an employee's perspective?

Explain the importance of indirect costs, One of the advantages of using a ...

One of the advantages of using a project cost-duration graph is that it keeps the importance of indirect costs in the forefront of decision making (true or false)

LPP, A PAPER MILL PRODUCES TWO GRADES OF PAPER VIZ., X AND Y. BECAUSE OF RA...

A PAPER MILL PRODUCES TWO GRADES OF PAPER VIZ., X AND Y. BECAUSE OF RAW MATERIAL RESTRICTIONS, IT CANNOT PRODUCE MORE THAN 400 TONS OF GRADE X PAPER AND 300 TONS OF GRADE Y PAPER I

Which kind of portable computer will meet everyones needs, Your organizatio...

Your organization plans to acquire 250 new portable computers. The finance vice president has asked you to lead a project team assigned to define users' computer hardware needs and

Explain draw the project network using aon, Task time estimates for a produ...

Task time estimates for a production line setup project at Robert Klassens Ontario factory are as follows: Activity Time (in hours) Immediate Predecessors A 6.0 B 7.2 C 5.0 A D 6.0

Case study, what are the most significant events in the story of how the pl...

what are the most significant events in the story of how the plant survived because of its adoptation of quality based principles?

Explain the system utilization rate and the probability, Sid Das Brick Dist...

Sid Das Brick Distributors currently employs 1 worker whose job is to load bricks on outgoing company trucks. An average of 24 trucks per day, or 3 per hour, arrive at the loading

Product focused production system, Product Focused Production System ...

Product Focused Production System In this type of production processing, the production departments are organized according to the type of product / service being produced, a

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd