Describe double exponential smoothing, Operation Management

Assignment Help:

The Cardinal Electronics Company must project the sales of cellular phones for the next year (called year 2). The number of cell phones sold by Cardinal Electronics in each of the past 6 months (July of year 1 through December of year 1) is shown below. Month Number of Cellular Phones Sold July 183 August 215 September 294 October 333 November 410 December 438 a. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2 using a rolling (i.e. updated at end of each month when new demand data becomes available) 4-month linear regression model. For example, forecasts generated at the end of October are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months July through October and forecasts generated at the end of December are made by fitting a linear regression to the demands in months September through December. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for a rolling 4-month linear regression model. b. Using Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) with ? = 0.15 and ?= 0.10 (i.e. assume the data has a linear trend pattern), forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in January of year 2. Forecast the number of cellular phones demanded in July of year 2. Calculate the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for your double exponential smoothing model. c. Based on the measures of forecast accuracy you calculated for the part a) linear regression model and the part b) DES (0.15, 0.10) model, which model is a better fit for this data?


Related Discussions:- Describe double exponential smoothing

Explain what is the net income for this firm, Lifeline, Inc., has sales of ...

Lifeline, Inc., has sales of $585,000, costs of $273,000, depreciation expense of $71,000, interest expense of $38,000, and a tax rate of 35 percent. What is the net income for thi

Least cost methods, At any stage if there is a tie in the minimum cost so t...

At any stage if there is a tie in the minimum cost so that two or more routes have the same least cost of transportation then conceptually either of them may be selected. However a

Give the definition of a team, QUESTION (a) Give the definition of a te...

QUESTION (a) Give the definition of a team as well as elaborate on the purpose of having teams in the organisation. (b) Explain the different processes that take place in a

Explain state department of tourism and recreation collects, 1. A state dep...

1. A state department of tourism and recreation collects data on the number of cars with out-of-state license plates in a state park. (The group's position is that more out-of-stat

Discuss regarding the interval estimate, Increasing the size of the samples...

Increasing the size of the samples in a study to estimate the difference between two population means will increase the level of confidence that a decision maker can have regarding

Explain what is the annual rate of return, You discover an antique in your ...

You discover an antique in your attic that you purchased at an estate sale 10 years ago for $400. You auction it in eBay and receive $8000 for your item. What is the annual rate of

Explain minimize make span in a two machine flow shop, Please explain your ...

Please explain your answer- Johnson's rule gives the optimal answer for which of the following type of problems? A) Minimize make span in a two machine flow shop B) Minimi

Describe analyze the diversity practices of your organizatio, Analyze the d...

Analyze the diversity practices of your organization to determine if it is engaged in surface-level or deep-level diversity. Provide specific examples to support your response.

Explain the overall goal is to reduce arbitrary, Seniority can have various...

Seniority can have various provisions, such as bumping rights; but, the overall goal is to reduce arbitrary or discriminatory treatment of employees by using a quantifiable, object

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd