Decision tree approach, Operation Research

Assignment Help:

Question:

Spencerville Products is expanding its operations west of the Mississippi.  Its first step is to build a manufacturing facility in Denver to satisfy demand on the West Coast.  Spencerville has an option to build either a large facility that has an annual output of 500,000 units per year or a smaller facility with an output of 250,000 units per year.  It must build one of these two facilities - it does not have any other options.

The expected demand for the company's products is shown as either high or moderate in the table below:

Demand Level                        Annual Demand (units/year)                       Probability

High                                        450,000                                                    0.4

Moderate                                 150,000                                                    0.6

The small facility has a profit of $5.00 per unit.  The large facility has a profit of $4.00/unit.

a) What size facility should Spencerville Products build based on expected values and using a decision tree approach?  You must also provide the decision tree using the appropriate decision tree symbols.

b)  Suppose that the company is not certain about the 450,000 projection for the High Demand scenario.  It could be higher than this projection.  How sensitive is the selection in a) to the High Demand projection.  In other words, at what annual demand for the High Demand scenario would the company be indifferent between the two size facilities?

 


Related Discussions:- Decision tree approach

Linear programming problem, A paper mill products two grade of paper viz., ...

A paper mill products two grade of paper viz., X & Y. Because of raw material restriction, it cannot produce more than 400 tons of grade X paper & 300 tons of grade Y paper in a we

Need of research proposal, Need Proposals are written for various reas...

Need Proposals are written for various reasons. They are prepared for different reasons which vary to the extent of details expected, but like research reports, the proposal a

Rephrasing the research problem, Rephrasing the Research Problem Final...

Rephrasing the Research Problem Finally as a researcher you should rephrase the research problem. Once you have followed all the four steps above, i.e., 1) You have clear

Unit 8, undertake the proposed research investigation in accordance with th...

undertake the proposed research investigation in accordance with the agreed specification and procedures

Transportation, we have three reservoirs with daily supplies of15, 20 and 2...

we have three reservoirs with daily supplies of15, 20 and 25 litres of fresh water respectively. on each day we must supply four cities A B C D whose demands are 8 10 12 and 15 res

Markov chain models - operation research model, These models are used for a...

These models are used for analyzing a system which changes over a period of time among various possible outcomes or states. The models while dealing with such systems describe tra

Drurys principles, Drury's Principles: The basic principle, which stil...

Drury's Principles: The basic principle, which still governs the selection of reading material for a library, was enunciated by Drury  in 1930. It states: "To provide the righ

Evaluate a product from the view point of quality, This assignment requires...

This assignment requires you to evaluate a product from the view point of quality, both quality of design (as perceived by the user) and quality of conformance. To ensure that we a

Word problems based on formulation of linear programming, Word problems bas...

Word problems based on formulation of linear programming problems. 2.   A manufacturer produces nuts and bolts for industrial machinery. It takes 1 hour of work on machine 1 an

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd