Decision tree approach, Operation Research

Assignment Help:

Question:

Spencerville Products is expanding its operations west of the Mississippi.  Its first step is to build a manufacturing facility in Denver to satisfy demand on the West Coast.  Spencerville has an option to build either a large facility that has an annual output of 500,000 units per year or a smaller facility with an output of 250,000 units per year.  It must build one of these two facilities - it does not have any other options.

The expected demand for the company's products is shown as either high or moderate in the table below:

Demand Level                        Annual Demand (units/year)                       Probability

High                                        450,000                                                    0.4

Moderate                                 150,000                                                    0.6

The small facility has a profit of $5.00 per unit.  The large facility has a profit of $4.00/unit.

a) What size facility should Spencerville Products build based on expected values and using a decision tree approach?  You must also provide the decision tree using the appropriate decision tree symbols.

b)  Suppose that the company is not certain about the 450,000 projection for the High Demand scenario.  It could be higher than this projection.  How sensitive is the selection in a) to the High Demand projection.  In other words, at what annual demand for the High Demand scenario would the company be indifferent between the two size facilities?

 


Related Discussions:- Decision tree approach

Need of research proposal, Need Proposals are written for various reas...

Need Proposals are written for various reasons. They are prepared for different reasons which vary to the extent of details expected, but like research reports, the proposal a

Sequential sampling -sampling decisons, Sequential Samplin The previou...

Sequential Samplin The previous  has shown  that the sampling  units  were drawn  prior  to the drawing of the actual   sample  and has  a fixed  size. But the  sequential  sa

Linear programming problem, A paper mill products two grade of paper viz., ...

A paper mill products two grade of paper viz., X & Y. Because of raw material restriction, it cannot produce more than 400 tons of grade X paper & 300 tons of grade Y paper in a we

Assignment, Q2.Six Operators are to be assigned to five jobs with the cost ...

Q2.Six Operators are to be assigned to five jobs with the cost of assignment in Rs. given in the matrix below. Determine the optimal assignment. Which operator will have no assignm

Linear programmibg, A PAPER MILL PRODUCES TWO GRADES OF PAPER VIZ., X AND Y...

A PAPER MILL PRODUCES TWO GRADES OF PAPER VIZ., X AND Y. BECAUSE OF RAW MATERIAL RESTRICTIONS, IT CANNOT PRODUCE MORE THAN 400 TONS OF GRADE X PAPER AND 300 TONS OF GRADE Y PAPER I

Essentials of a good scientific methods, Requisites of a Good Scientific Me...

Requisites of a Good Scientific Methods The essentials of a good scientific methods as summed up by the advisory committee on economic and social research of the council of

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd