Calculate the probability of monthly return income, Basic Statistics

Assignment Help:

1. It is often a good idea to start by visualizing the data. Time series data should have "time" on the horizontal axis. What are you going to have on the vertical axis? If you use a line plot for some of the stocks, it will not take long for you to realize what I mean. Remember that the figures should provide comparable information.

2. In addition to the time series, you may also want to use correlation plots, but in that case you will have to first calculate them, the correlations, that is (just wondering: do they change if you use different time frequencies, like monthly and yearly?)

3. Something that might be interesting to know is which stocks have performed best in the last twenty years ("performance" as in returns performance, and this is often calculated as annual percentages, right?) Has performance been consistent through those years? Is the past a good predictor of the future?

4. Let us imagine that someone is telling us that it pays off to invest in the stock market as it has historically provided positive real returns. Can you test whether he/she is right? Her friend is telling you that the average has historically been 10% in real terms. How about that? You would need some more data to do this properly. You do not have it, but you could at least think of a wish list.

5. Historically, what is the probability that Microsoft will yield a positive monthly return? If I wanted to maximize the positive return probability, where should I invest? And if I wanted to maximize the >3% monthly return probability?

6. Are all companies equally risky? Toys, coffee, computers, telecom... they operate in very different industries, or maybe not as different as one would think? By the way, how do you measure risk? I can think of a few ways that we have discussed in class.

7. At one point, someone said that what was good for GM was good for America and what was good for America was good for GM. Do you think that this claim applies to any of the companies in the dataset?

8. We have briefly discussed the CAPM in class. Now you have an opportunity to show off not only your statistical skills but your knowledge of Greek.

9. In 2001-2002, financial markets experienced the burst of the internet bubble. More recently, they have suffered the international banking debacle. Is there evidence of these events in the data? You might want to think of interesting ways of comparing their relative impact. Are there any links to specific company characteristics? I am thinking of things like capital intensity, firm size and others that you might find relevant.

10. At the end of the day, what matters is this: where would you invest your money? Where would you advice your grandmother to invest? She will also want to know whether / why your investment is different from hers.


Related Discussions:- Calculate the probability of monthly return income

What is her apc, The life-cycle hypothesis is based on the assumption that ...

The life-cycle hypothesis is based on the assumption that people try to smooth their consumption over their expected adult lifetimes.  Suppose Tammy expects to live for another T y

Income tax expense, I''m not sure how to calculate the income tax expense.

I''m not sure how to calculate the income tax expense.

Define the z score, A. Describe what a z score is. B. Explain why they c...

A. Describe what a z score is. B. Explain why they can be used to compare scores from different distributions.

Central tendency, List down various measures of central tendency and explai...

List down various measures of central tendency and explain the difference between them?

Use of Assets , Use of Assets A potential upcoming financial advantage acq...

Use of Assets A potential upcoming financial advantage acquired or managed by a particular business due to past purchases or activities. These financial options can be concrete or

Determine the average sales, A company prepares dinners for several airline...

A company prepares dinners for several airlines, and sales average 300,000 meals per month. The significant costs of each dinner prepared are for the meat, veg,plastic trays, and u

Functions , i need help it says for the tables of values determine appropri...

i need help it says for the tables of values determine appropriate veiwing window, create a scatter plot, write a function rule, and graph your funtion rule over your scatter plot

Generally accepted accounting principles-gaap, Generally Accepted Accountin...

Generally Accepted Accounting Principles-GAAP:  GAAP is an Americanized term for the accounting standards and procedures that need to be followed by companies while compiling their

Self adaptive ga, During the execution of the search process, the whole pop...

During the execution of the search process, the whole populations are classified into subgroups by sufficiently analyzed the individuals' state. Each individual in a different subs

Operation research, Meaning and solving example using north-west corner in ...

Meaning and solving example using north-west corner in Transportation problem

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd