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Business Cycles
Economic growth is not a continuous process. Superimposed on the long-term trends are short-term fluctuations in the levels of economic activity and\or in growth rates. These upswings and downswings are of varying duration and intensity and are referred to as 'cycles'. Governments attempt to smooth out these fluctuations with the use of contra-cyclical monetary and fiscal policies. The latest developments in macroeconomic thought regard business cycles as the central (if not the only) problem of macroeconomics.
From estimating the aforementioned unrestricted VAR, a table of coefficient and statistics will be produced. From this table, certain statistical information can be analysed, such
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