granger causality test, Microeconomics

Assignment Help:

(Granger, 1969, 1988), where it can be addressed in terms of a VAR (vector auto regression) system. If an export platform is important for the country, FDI inflows should result in an increase in export flows from the host country. Therefore, Granger causality could be used to examine whether FDI Granger inflows cause export flows.

The direction of the Granger causality is sensitive to the number of lags; therefore, it is important to use the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) (Akaike, 1974) to suggest the use of the lag with the lowest computed AIC value. The AIC is defined as: ln AIC = [ 2k/n] + ln [ RSS/n] where k is the number of regressors, n is the number of observations, and RSS is the residual sum of squares.

For FDI and exports and FDI and imports, the Granger causality test is applied based on a stationary dataset. Hence, it is necessary to establish the stationarity properties of the data, and unit root analysis is conducted for this purpose.  If an export platform is important for the country, the result will indicate an increase in export flows from the technology sector. Therefore, Granger causality could be used to examine whether FDI Granger inflows cause export flows or import substitution from the technology sector. The direction of the Granger causality is sensitive to the number of lags; therefore, it is important to use the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) (Akaike, 1974) to suggest the use of the lag with the lowest computed AIC value. Given a data set, several competing models may be ranked according to their AIC, with the one having the lowest AIC being the best.

 


Related Discussions:- granger causality test

Choosing output in long run, Choosing Output in Long Run * In long run,...

Choosing Output in Long Run * In long run, a firm can change all its inputs, including size of the plant. * We are taking free entry and free exit. * Accounting

Market failures - rationale in era of globalisation, Market failures (eve...

Market failures (even when they do not have international external effects) i) Self-fulfilling bank runs, government debt runs, currency crises. ii) Liquidation costs of li

Rent, determination of rent

determination of rent

Production and cost and market structures, In the long-run equilibrium, eac...

In the long-run equilibrium, each firm in a perfectly competitive industry will choose the plant size associated with minimum long-run average cost. Is this TRUE or FALSE? And why?

Nominal exchange, if the Japanese yen appreciates against the U.S. dollar, ...

if the Japanese yen appreciates against the U.S. dollar, do the Japanese businesses gain by a decrease in the dollar price of exports to the United States

Production possibility curve, construct your own version of a production po...

construct your own version of a production possibility curve and use it to explain scarcity, opportunity cost and choice

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd