granger causality test, Microeconomics

Assignment Help:

(Granger, 1969, 1988), where it can be addressed in terms of a VAR (vector auto regression) system. If an export platform is important for the country, FDI inflows should result in an increase in export flows from the host country. Therefore, Granger causality could be used to examine whether FDI Granger inflows cause export flows.

The direction of the Granger causality is sensitive to the number of lags; therefore, it is important to use the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) (Akaike, 1974) to suggest the use of the lag with the lowest computed AIC value. The AIC is defined as: ln AIC = [ 2k/n] + ln [ RSS/n] where k is the number of regressors, n is the number of observations, and RSS is the residual sum of squares.

For FDI and exports and FDI and imports, the Granger causality test is applied based on a stationary dataset. Hence, it is necessary to establish the stationarity properties of the data, and unit root analysis is conducted for this purpose.  If an export platform is important for the country, the result will indicate an increase in export flows from the technology sector. Therefore, Granger causality could be used to examine whether FDI Granger inflows cause export flows or import substitution from the technology sector. The direction of the Granger causality is sensitive to the number of lags; therefore, it is important to use the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) (Akaike, 1974) to suggest the use of the lag with the lowest computed AIC value. Given a data set, several competing models may be ranked according to their AIC, with the one having the lowest AIC being the best.

 


Related Discussions:- granger causality test

Japanese and American production, What is the graph of the production possi...

What is the graph of the production possibilities frontiers for the American and Japanese economies if American worker can produce 10 tons of grain a year and Japanese worker can p

Explain briefly the other defence strategies, Find a recent hostile takeove...

Find a recent hostile takeover in Europe and compare the European takeover tactics and defences to those tactics and defences in US. In your opinion do you think the targeted firm

Supply and demand with graphs, Supply function given by equation QS = 3P - ...

Supply function given by equation QS = 3P - 50. Write an equation proposals if: a) Government introduces subsidies of 5 $ per unit; b) the government introduced subsidies of 15%

Regulating skilled labour, 5 stratgies that can be used to regulate skilled...

5 stratgies that can be used to regulate skilled labour in developing countries

A period of transition and improvement, A Period of Transition and Improvem...

A Period of Transition and Improvement: These few years stand out as the golden years for India's BOP. India had a small current account surplus (0.6 per cent of the GDP on an

Natural resource economics, Normal 0 false false false ...

Normal 0 false false false EN-IN X-NONE X-NONE MicrosoftInternetExplorer4

Find contract curve, Consider two individuals  M and F who must split 20 un...

Consider two individuals  M and F who must split 20 units of good X and 10 units of good Y. Suppose we can represent M's preference with the utility function Um =X ^2 mYm and Fs

Continuity and regularity- export strategy , Continuity and Regularity: ...

Continuity and Regularity: We should make it a point that once we have entered the market for a particular commodity and have gained some foothold in it, we must strive to ma

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd