granger causality test, Microeconomics

Assignment Help:

(Granger, 1969, 1988), where it can be addressed in terms of a VAR (vector auto regression) system. If an export platform is important for the country, FDI inflows should result in an increase in export flows from the host country. Therefore, Granger causality could be used to examine whether FDI Granger inflows cause export flows.

The direction of the Granger causality is sensitive to the number of lags; therefore, it is important to use the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) (Akaike, 1974) to suggest the use of the lag with the lowest computed AIC value. The AIC is defined as: ln AIC = [ 2k/n] + ln [ RSS/n] where k is the number of regressors, n is the number of observations, and RSS is the residual sum of squares.

For FDI and exports and FDI and imports, the Granger causality test is applied based on a stationary dataset. Hence, it is necessary to establish the stationarity properties of the data, and unit root analysis is conducted for this purpose.  If an export platform is important for the country, the result will indicate an increase in export flows from the technology sector. Therefore, Granger causality could be used to examine whether FDI Granger inflows cause export flows or import substitution from the technology sector. The direction of the Granger causality is sensitive to the number of lags; therefore, it is important to use the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) (Akaike, 1974) to suggest the use of the lag with the lowest computed AIC value. Given a data set, several competing models may be ranked according to their AIC, with the one having the lowest AIC being the best.

 


Related Discussions:- granger causality test

Trend projection methods, An ole firm can use its own data of past years re...

An ole firm can use its own data of past years regarding its sales in past years. These data are known as time series of sales. A firm can predict sales of its product by fitting t

International financial institutions, Conditionality: International financi...

Conditionality: International financial institutions (such as World Bank andInternational Monetary Fund) usually attach strong conditions to emergency loans they make to developing

Methods of forecasting, Methods of Forecasting The various methods o...

Methods of Forecasting The various methods of forecasting demand may be grouped under the followings categories: Opinion Polling Method: In this method the opinion

Assignment, Ali Pizza’s production function is shown in the table above. Al...

Ali Pizza’s production function is shown in the table above. Ali currently operates Plant2. He hires workers at a wage rate of $50 a day and his total fixed cost is $150. a) Calcul

Perform a threshold analysis, You are a member of a problem solving group t...

You are a member of a problem solving group that is concerned with incidents involving losses with their information system (IS). Let us assume that IS loss events can be grouped i

Tax policy implementation, Tax Policy Implementation:   Take, e.g., the...

Tax Policy Implementation:   Take, e.g., the case of tax policy. It attempted to raise resources by a combination of direct and indirect taxes to finance a large part of increa

Malthus and the food crisis, Malthus and the Food Crisis - Malthus pred...

Malthus and the Food Crisis - Malthus predicted starvation as diminishing returns limited agricultural output and the population continued to grow. - Why did Malthus' predic

PPC and Opportunity Costs, Hi, I am taking an economics course. I have a p...

Hi, I am taking an economics course. I have a problem where I am given 2 types of units with the same production rate and the labor used to produce those units. I am supposed to c

#title., factor afecting the demand for durable product

factor afecting the demand for durable product

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd