Reference no: EM133547431
Assignment: Business Analytics and Modeling
This is an open book exam but but you are not allowed to consult with anyone. Violation of academic integrity will lead to severe penalty.
You have 3 hrs. to complete and upload the excel file.
Consider the following data which indicates quarter-wise sales for Years 1, 2 & 3.
Quarter
|
Year 1
|
Year 2
|
Year 3
|
1
|
4
|
6
|
7
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
6
|
3
|
3
|
5
|
6
|
4
|
5
|
7
|
8
|
Use dummy variables as follows to account for the seasonal effects in the data as follows
Qtr 1=1 if Qtr 1, 0 otherwise
Qtr 2=1 if Qtr 2, 0 otherwise
Qtr 4=1 if Qtr 4, 0 otherwise
Qtr 3=1 if Qtr 3, 0 otherwise
Create a variable t such that t=1 for Qtr 1 in year 1 and t=2 for Qtr 2 in year 1,...t=12 for Qtr 4 in year 3.
Use a multiple regression model to develop an equation to account for trend and seasonal effects.
Question A. Write down the regression equation obtained.
Question B. Compute the quarterly forecasts for the next year based on the model you developed above.