Why do you think literary digests prediction was so far off

Reference no: EM13903596

The approach used in Problem 1(e) led to a disastrous prediction in the 1936 presidential election, in which Franklin Roosevelt defeated Alfred Landon by a landslide. A Landon victory had been predicted by the Literary Digest. The maga- zine based its prediction on the preferences of a sample of voters chosen from lists of automobile and telephone owners.

(a) Why do you think the Literary Digest's prediction was so far off ?

(b) Has anything changed between 1936 and now that would make you believe that the approach used by the Literary Digest would work better today?

Reference no: EM13903596

Questions Cloud

Determine proportion of people in your town who are smokers : To determine the proportion of people in your town who are smokers, it has been decided to poll people at one of the following local spots

Should children be prevented from accessing some web sites : Should children be prevented from accessing some Web sites? Who should be responsi- ble for the actions of children sur?ng the Web?

Goals and objectives of the medical care line : Competency 1 - Knowledge of clinical and administrative protocols required to meet the established goals and objectives of the Medical Care Line and the Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center (MEDVAMC)

Do you think approach will lead to a representative sample : To obtain data, the obituary columns of the New York Times are read for 30 days, and the ages at death of people in the United States are noted. Do you think this approach will lead to a representative sample?

Why do you think literary digests prediction was so far off : Has anything changed between 1936 and now that would make you believe that the approach used by the Literary Digest would work better today?

Have you ever been the victim of a software error : Should the FBI be responsible for the accuracy of information about criminals and crime victims it enters into the National Crime Information Center database?

Method of selection is likely to yield representative sample : An election will be held next week and, by polling a sample of the voting population, we are trying to predict whether the Republican or Democratic candidate will prevail.

What drove starbucks to start expanding internationally : What drove Starbucks to start expanding internationally? How is the company creating value for its shareholders by pursuing an international expansion strategy?

What is the difference between veri?cation and validation : What are the advantages of allowing software users to identify and report bugs? What are the disadvantages?

User Account

All Pages