Which are expected long-run profit for the best alternative

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Q. The operations manager for a well-drilling company must recommend whether to build a new facility, expand this existing one, or do nothing. He estimates that long-run profit (in thousands of dollars) will vary with the amount of precipitation (rainfall) as follows.

Alternative

Precipitation

Low

Normal

High

Do nothing

-100

100

300

Expand

350

500

200

Build new

750

300

0

1.  If he uses the maximax criterion, which alternative is the best?

2. If he uses the Laplace criterion, which alternative is the best?

3. If he uses the minimax regret criterion, which alternative is the best?

4. If he feels the chances of low, normal, and high precipitation are, 0.3, 0.2, and 0.5, respectively, which are expected long-run profit for the best alternative?

Reference no: EM131930017

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