What will be the global mean temperature in 2100

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  1. Get global carbon emissions of 2022 (40.6 CtCO2, NOAA). Then converit it to GtC = 11.1 CtC. Show your work!
  2. Carbon emission of 2010 = 9.84 CtC from the model. A 45% reduction = 9.84 - (9.84x0.45) = 5.4 GtC
  3. Let the model to continue at today's emission level (11.1 CtC) to 2025, then pause and reduce carbon emissions to 5.4 GtC. Then run the model to 2100.
    • What will be the global mean temperature in 2100?
    • Will it meet the Recommended Temperature Limit? Will it meet the 2°C target of the Paris Agreement?
    • Will it meet the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement?
  4. If we need to reduce the global carbon emission to 5.4 GtC/yr by 2030, what should be the respective shares by the US, EU, China, and India? Provide your reasoning!

Reference no: EM133376421

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