What is the probability that the put option will be exercise

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You are the treasurer of Arizona Corporation and must decide how to hedge (if at all) future receivables of 350,000 Australian dollars (A$) 180 days from now. Put options are available for a premium of $.02 per unit and an exercise price of $.50 per Australian dollar. The forecasted spot rate of the Australian dollar in 180 days is:

Future Spot Rate

Probability

$.46

10%

$.48

35%

$.52

55%

What is the probability that the put option will be exercised (assuming Arizona purchased it)?


a.

10%.


b.

35%.


c.

55%.


d.

45%.

Reference no: EM131910191

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