What is the probability that microaerophiles are present

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A new process of more accurately detecting anaerobic respiration in cells is being tested. The new process is important due to its high accuracy, its lack of extensive experimentation, and the fact that it could be used to identify five different categories of organisms: obligate anaerobes, facultative anaerobes, aerotolerant, microaerophiles, and nanaerobes instead of using a single test for each category. The process claims that it can identify obligate anaerobes with 97.8% accuracy, facultative anaerobes with 98.1% accuracyaerotolerants with 95.9% accuracy, microaerophiles with 96.5% accuracy, and nanaerobes with 99.2% accuracy. If any category is not present, the process does not signal. Samples are prepared for the calibration of the process and 31% of them contain obligate anaerobes, 27% contain facultative anaerobes, 21% contain microaerophiles, 13% contain nanaerobes, and 8% contain aerotolerants. A test sample is selected randomly.

a. What is the probability that the process will signal?

b. If the test signals, what is the probability that microaerophiles are present?

Reference no: EM132222533

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