What is the expected value of the house

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Problem 1: Demand for Health Insurance

The objective of this problem is to understand the expected utility of purchasing health insurance.  In short, why do we purchase health insurance from a "neoclassical economics" perspective?

a) Explain in 2-3 sentences why it is in most people's best interests to purchase insurance from an economic utility perspective.

b) Take the case of fire insurance for a home.

  • Assume you own a home that is worth $1M (Congratulations!) and there is no depreciation
  • Assume the Probability of a fire = 0.1% (= 0.001)
  • Assume if there is a fire, the value of the house goes from $1M → $0

What is the Expected Value of the house?

c) Assume Utility = √(House Value)

(Note: Utility = Square Root of House Value)

Draw the utility curve with House Value on the X axis and Utility on the Y axis.  [Note, you can do this mathematically, or just by connecting the five points below]

Be sure to include in the graph the location of 5 points:

1. House Value = 0

2. House Value = $500K

3. House Value = $800K

4. House Value = $1M

5. House Value = $1.2M

d) What is the expected Utility?  Be precise and round the 2 decimal places.

Note: Utility is the Utility in scenario 1 where the house does not burn down, multiplied by probability of scenario 1, plus the utility in scenario 2 where the house does burn down multiplied by the probability of scenario 2. 

e) What is the utility of the person if they purchased insurance for a cost of $1000?

f) Describe in words why the purchase of insurance provides a higher utility than utility without the purchase of insurance.

g) What is the maximum amount a person would pay for insurance?  (Hint solve backwards)

Problem 2: Moral Hazard

a) Lisa is insured.  The plan has a 10% coinsurance rate and no deductible.  Lisa receives an appendectomy that costs $8,000.  What is the cost of care to Lisa?

b) Please draw a demand curve (line) for Hip Replacements.  Please based on the following points

Demand Curve

Point 1

Point 2

Price

$20,000

0

Quantity

0

1,000,000

c) What is the demanded quantity at a price of $8,000? [Note this can be solved graphically or mathematically]

d) What is the quantity at Lisa's payment that you solved for in part a?

(Note, this can be solved for algebraically or graphically)

e) Draw a supply curve (line) meeting the following parameters

Supply Curve

Point 1

Point 2

Price

$0

$20,000

Quantity

0

1,000,000

Label Q the point of equilibrium

f) Draw a red line (or dotted line) at the Price that Lisa pays.  Label the quantity that would be purchased Q'.

Reference no: EM131669115

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