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Consider a project that has been modeled as follows:
Activity Immediate Predecessors Optimistic Most Probable Pessimistic
A -- 2 5 8
B -- 2 3 7
C -- 5 7 9
D A 7 12 14
E A 3 4 5
F A, B 6 9 12
G C 4 6 8
H C 4 6 8
I E,F,G 5 7 12
J H 12 13 14
K D,I,J 2 3 4
1) What is the expected completion time?
2) What is the probability it takes longer then 30 ?
3) How many days should I give myself to ensure a 95% probability of completing?
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