What is the deal with overconfidence

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Reference no: EM132169784

Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis, 

Why would we do Expert Elicitation (EE) at all? In what scenarios is it useful?

What are some of the challenges to EE? Why do we go through such a complex exercise - why not just directly ask our question?

What is the deal with overconfidence?

What do you think about the different types of "protocol" that are discussed?

Should we combine the estimates from different experts or let them have some form of interaction?

Reference no: EM132169784

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What is the deal with overconfidence : Why would we do Expert Elicitation (EE) at all? In what scenarios is it useful? What is the deal with overconfidence?
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