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You are doing an internship with Macy's and are tasked with forecasting sales so that you can make inventory orders. You have weekly sales data for men's dress shirts in your store from each of the past six weeks. You decide to try both a 3-period moving average and exponential smoothing with λ = 0.6 to see which model is more accurate and then use that one to make forecasts.
The sales data is shown below.
Week # of Shirts Sold
week 1 337 shirts sols
week 2 448 shirts sold
week 3 425 shirts sold
week 4 383 shirts sold
week 5 399 shirts sold
week 6 402 shirts sold
Problem 1: What is the calculated MSE using the 3-period moving average? Round intermediate calculations to 4 decimals and your final answer to the nearest whole number.
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