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The most likely outcomes for a particular project are estimated as follows:
Unit price:$80
Variable cost:$60
Fixed cost:$380,000
Expected sales: 37,000 units per year
Point 1: However, you recognize that some of these estimates are subject to error. Suppose that each variable may turn out to be either 5% higher or 5% lower than the initial estimate. The project will last for 10 years and requires an initial investment of $1.7 million, which will be depreciated straight-line over the project life to a final value of zero. The firm's tax rate is 21% and the required rate of return is 10%.
Question a. What is project NPV in the best-case scenario, that is, assuming all variables take on the best possible value?
Question b. What is project NPV in the worst-case scenario?
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