Reference no: EM1379826
Q. One of Philip Mahn's investments is going to mature also he wants to determine how to invest proceeds of $30,000. Philip is considering two new investments: a stock mutual fund also a one-year certificate of deposit (CD). CD is guaranteed to pay an 8% return. Philip estimates return on stock mutual fund as 16%, 9% or -2%, depending on whether market conditions are good, average or poor, respectively. Philip estimates probability of a good, average also poor market to be 0.1, 0.85 also 0.05, respectively. Construct a payoff matrix.
What decision should be made according to maximum decision rule?
What decision should be made according to maximum decision rule?
What decision should be made according to minimum regret decision rule?
What decision should be made according to EMV decision rule?
What decision should be made according to EOL decision rule?
How much should Philip be willing to pay to obtain a market forecast that is 100% accurate?