Reference no: EM132720111 , Length: word count:1500
Forecasting the future is one of the most important things that economists are asked to do. Governments have a few macroeconomic tools that they can use to indicate how a country's economy is doing. An important part of all macroeconomic courses is to develop an understanding of what these economic indicators are, as well as how they are created so that we can extrapolate into the future. se your newly acquired macroeconomic knowledge to predict the future.
Forecast the following key macro-economic variables in your country of choice for five years starting with 2020 through 2024 using this simple chart:
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Variable/Year
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2020
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2021
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2022
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2023
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2024
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5-year average
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USD$ Real GDP/Capita
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Growth rate of Real GDP/Capita
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Inflation Rate
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Unemployment Rate
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Interest Rate
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1. Real GDP/Capita in USD$
2. The growth rate of Real GDP per Capita (% change per year)
3. The inflation rate (%)
4. The unemployment rate (%) and
5. Interest rates
Questions (total word count should be 1500 or more )
1) Introduction
Explaining what you are going to write about.
2) Background and History
What are the important key historic factors? For example, did the country recently receive independence or become a member of the World Trade Organization or something else? What is the current economy like? Is it going through some sort of economic crisis or recession?
3) Definitions
Define each variable (Five listed above) and explain how they are determined.
Explain why each variable is an important economic indicator and why these numbers are important to you or to people in that country. In other words, what will the real impact of these forecasts going to be on the people?
4) Five Year Average Predictions/Calculations
For the calculation and actual numbers of your predictions, the basic approach will be to calculate a five-year average for each of the five forecast variables.
5) Explanation of Predictions/Forecast
The most important part of the paper is your explanation.
Use your own words.
Carefully and completely explain why you believe that your forecast is true.
Convince the reader that your numbers are based on solid predictions and explain why. You may wish to sight historical information.
You are free to consult published forecasts and use them as a basis for your prediction.
6) Conclusion
The conclusion is a summary that not only reiterates the main points of the paper, but draws the paper together, like a thread sewing the pieces of a quilt together. A strong conclusion that has been backed up in the main body of the paper will result in a winning paper.
7) References
References must be current and from multiple sources and from mixed media.
Attachment:- Macro.rar