Reference no: EM132250303

Bloom's Jeans is searching for new? suppliers, and Debbie? Bloom, the? owner, has narrowed her choices to two sets. Debbie is very concerned about supply? disruptions, so she has chosen to use three suppliers no matter what. For option? 1, the suppliers are? well-established and located in the same country. Debbie calculates the? "unique-event" risk for each of them to be 5?%. She estimates the probability of a nationwide event that would knock out all three suppliers to be 2.2?%. For option? 2, the suppliers are newer but located in three different countries. Debbie calculates the? "unique-event" risk for each of them to be 21?%. She estimates the? "super-event" probability that would knock out all three of these suppliers to be 0.3?%. Purchasing and transportation costs would be ?$1 comma 200 comma 000 per year using option 1 and ?$1 comma 210 comma 000 per year using option 2. A total disruption would create an annualized loss of ?$480 comma 000. ?a) The probability that all three suppliers will be disrupted using option 1 is ?(round your response to five decimal? places). ?b) The probability that all three suppliers will be disrupted using option 2 is (round your response to five decimal? places). ?c) The total annual purchasing and transportation cost plus expected annualized disruption cost for option 1 is ?$ ?(round your response to the nearest whole? number). ?d) The total annual purchasing and transportation cost plus expected annualized disruption cost for option 2 is ?$ ?(round your response to the nearest whole? number). ?e) Based on the total annual purchasing and transportation cost plus expected annualized disruption? cost, option 2 option 1 seems best.