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Transition matrix for patients in the model

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Reference no: EM133274008

The probability of moving between states is provided in Table 1 (to start we will assume death rate is fixed over time)

Transition

Annual probability

FEV1 ≥70% to FEV1 ≥70%

84%

FEV1 ≥70% to FEV1 40-69%

11%

FEV1 ≥70% to FEV1 <40%

0%

FEV1 40-69% to FEV1 ≥70%

12%

FEV1 40-69% to FEV1 40-69%

74%

FEV1 40-69% to FEV1 <40%

9%

FEV1 <40% to FEV1 ≥70%

3%

FEV1 <40% to FEV1 40-69%

9.6%

FEV1 <40% to FEV1 <40%

82%

Probability transplant/year (FEV1

0.4%

Death

5%

Complete the transition matrix for patients in the model:

From/to

FEV1 ≥70%

FEV1 40-69%

FEV1 <40%

Post-transplant

Death

FEV1 ≥70%

 

 

 

 

 

FEV1 40-69%

 

 

 

 

 

FEV1 <40%

 

 

 

 

 

Post-transplant

-

-

-

 

 

Death

-

-

-

-

 

Reference no: EM133274008

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