To buy a new manufacturing operation

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If you are given a choice to decide whether to buy a new manufacturing operation of one of your competitors in order to expand business. The choices are to buy the complete operation, only the property, or not o buy anything. The results in Rands are summarised in the following table:

Demand

Decision

Complete Company

Property Only

Nothing

High

200000

100000

20000

Medium

120000

75000

60000

Low

50000

40000

140000

Assuming that the probabilities of high demand, medium and low are 0,4 ; 0,5; and 0,1 respectively.

Economic forecasters anticipate high demand. In the past, if high demand was forecasted, the demand was high 50 % of the time, medium 30 % of the time and low 20 % of the time.

Reference no: EM131073641

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