Reference no: EM132847688

In 2003, the state of California conducted their first recall election. Over one hundred candidates vied to replace Gray Davis as Governor, with actor Arnold Schwarzenegger winning 49% of the votes cast. In the days before the election, newspapers had published accusations of inappropriate treatment of women by Schwarzenegger, so some suspected that his support from women would be weaker than his support from men. Before the polls close, pundits try to predict the election results by using "exit polls," asking people as they leave the voting booth who they voted for. In one such poll that year, CNN interviewed 2023 men and 2191 women. A total of 991 men and 942 women said they voted for Arnold. The research question being investigated in this study is whether there is convincing evidence that male voters in 2003 were more likely to say they voted for Arnold than female voters in 2003.

-State the null and alternative hypotheses in symbols. Use the order MALE - FEMALE.

-Are the validity conditions met to conduct a theory-based test to answer the research question? Do not just state the validity conditions! Use the data from the sample to explain how the validity conditions are or are not met.

-Given the results of your analysis, provide an overall conclusion in context. Be very clear what you can claim about the population proportions. IF you have evidence that one population proportion is greater/smaller/different than the other, then you need to state which one is greater/smaller/different.

-To which population can you generalize the results of your study? Be specific.

-Can you make a causal conclusion based on the results of your study? For instance, can you say that the gender of a voter was the cause for voting or not for AS, for Californians in 2003?