Simulation using crystal ball

Assignment Help Basic Statistics
Reference no: EM1392483

This problem requires the use "Crystal Ball", the popular commercial spreadsheet add-in. For clarity, it is distributed by Decisioneering, Inc. This problem specifically requires that Excel and "Crystal Ball" (and OptQuest as applicable) be used - and not any other software choices. The link below directs you to a free 7-day trial: https://www.decisioneering.com/downloadform.html

Question:
Jim Jarrington owns a magazine stand at the Ovalstone business center in Roanoke, Virginia. He buys his magazines wholesale at $0.50 per magazine and sells them for $0.75. Jim has wondered about the optimal number of magazines to order each day. Based on history, he has found that demand (even though it is discrete) can be modeled by a normal distribution with a mean of 50 and standard deviation of 5. When he has more magazines than customers, he can recycle all the extra magazines the next day and receive $0.05 per magazine. On the other hand, if he has more customers than magazines, he loses some goodwill in addition to the lost profit on the potential sale of $0.25. Jim estimates the incremental lost goodwill costs five days' worth of business (that is, dissatisfied customers will go to a competitor the next week, but come back to the week after that).

Part A:

Develop a spreadsheet model to determine the optimal number of magazines to order each day. Use 500 replications and round the demand values generated by the normal random number generator (RNG) to the closest integer value.

Part B:

Construct a 95% confidence interval for the expected payoff from the optimal decision.

Note: Please provide an explanation, so the student is able to understand the logic and application of the logic within the context of this problem and the software used.

Reference no: EM1392483

Questions Cloud

Standard deviation of normal distribution : Suppose 94 percent of the items have lives exceeding 2000 h and 3.51 percent have lives exceeding 16,240 h. Find the mean and standard deviation of the service life.
Create schematic of three cell types : Transcription factor X binds to a response element in gene A and gene B. In muscle cells, transcription factor X activates transcription of gene A. In neuronal cells,
Find what is the spring constant : Coherent light with wavelength 609nm passes through two very narrow slits, and the interference pattern is observed on a screen a distance of 3- {rm m} from the slits. The first-order bright fringe is a distance of 4.84 {rm mm} from the center of ..
Null hypothesis to be tested-multinomial experiment : Consider a multinomial experiment involving n = 300 and k = 5 cells. The observed frequencies resulting from the experiment are shown in the accompanying table, and the null hypothesis to be tested is as follows:
Simulation using crystal ball : Develop a spreadsheet model to determine the optimal number of magazines to order each day. Use 500 replications and round the demand values generated by the normal random number generator (RNG) to the closest integer value.
Find the kinetic friction between the pig and the slide : An 8.5- {rm kg} point mass and a 15- {rm kg} point mass are held in place 50- {rm cm} apart. A particle of mass m is released from a point between the two masses 19- {rm cm} from the 8.5-{rm kg} mass along the line connecting two fixed masses.
Body cells surrounded by each of isotonic hypertonic : Estimate what would happen to body cells if surrounded by each of Isotonic, Hypertonic? Explain your reasoning?
Identify the issue and the values in tension : The Case of the Marginalized Workers-You have decided to sub-contract out your grounds maintenance work. You have solicited bids for landscaping, a revamped irrigation system, and maintenance.
What angular speed should such a cylinder have : It has been suggested that rotating cylinders about 12 mi long and 5.1 mi in diameter be placed in space and used as colonies. What angular speed should such a cylinder have so that the centripetal acceleration at its surface equals free-fall acce..

Reviews

Write a Review

Basic Statistics Questions & Answers

  Obtaining the probability of the mean wage

To obtain the probability that the mean wage of 75 randomly selected workers will exceed $43,000

  Computing the probability between sample mean

A normal population has a mean of 75 and a standard deviation of 5. You select a sample of 40. Compute the probability that  the sample mean is Between 74 and 76.

  Compute the test statistic value of tukey''s criterion

In a one-way ANOVA analysis of 3 treatments, with the total number of 9 observations, with an equal number of observations in each treatment, mean-square-error (MSE) was found to be 24.905.

  Calculating correlation coefficient for the given data

Calculate the correlation coefficient and prediction equation.

  Hypothesis testing for two population proportions

Test whether there is a statistical difference between the two proportions at the 5% significance level.

  Confidence interval for the true mean weight

Determine a 95% confidence interval for the true mean weight of such boxes?

  Comparison of cusum chart and control chart

Do you benefit by using a cum sum chart rather than a control chart?

  X2 test statistic for testing the hypothesis

The amount ($1.00, $5.00, $10.00, $25.00, or $50.00) promised to each person was determined by randomization. For each person who was sent one of the surveys, The value of the X2 test statistic for testing the hypothesis

  Normality and business research

R.C. Geary wrote some 70 years ago that "Normality is a myth. There never was, is, nor will there ever be a Normal distribution".

  Determining lowest weight a student

Determine the lowest weight a student can have and still be qualified to enter the school.

  Explaining strong negative linear relation

For each of following data sets, select the most suitable response from choices below the table. A strong negative linear relation exists.

  National sporting goods association activities

The national sporting goods association conducted a survey of persons 7 years of age or older about participation in sports activities the total population in this age group was reported at 248.5 million with 120.9 million male and 127.6 million f..

Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd