Significant positive impact on gnp

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Reference no: EM13799267

Question 1: You are given the following data based on 10 pairs of observations on Y and X.

Σyi = 1110 ΣXi = 1680 ΣXiYi = 204,200

ΣXi2 = 315,400 ΣYi2 = 133,300

Assuming all the assumptions of CLRM are fulfilled, obtain

a. b1 and b2.

b. standard errors of these estimators.

c. r2.

d. Establish 95% confidence intervals for B1 and B2.

e. On the basis of the confidence intervals established in (d), can you accept the hypothesis that B2 = 0?

Question 2: Based on data for the United States for the period 1965 to 2006, the following regression results were obtained:

GNPt = -995.5183 + 8.7503M1t   r2 = 0.9488

se = (        )           (0.3214)

t = (- 3.8258)         (         )

where GNP is the gross national product ($, in billions) and M1 is the money supply ($, in billions).

Note: M1 includes currency, demand deposits, traveler's checks, and other checkable deposits.

a. Fill in the blank parentheses.

b. The monetarists maintain that money supply has a significant positive impact on GNP. How would you test this hypothesis?

c. What is the meaning of the negative intercept?

d. Suppose M1 for 2007 is $750 billion. What is the mean forecast value of GNP for that year?

Question 3:  Table 3-6 gives data on X (net profits after tax in U.S. manufacturing industries [$, in millions]) and Y (cash dividend paid quarterly in manufacturing industries [$, in millions]) for years 1974 to 1986.

a. What relationship, if any, do you expect between cash dividend and after-tax profits?

b. Plot the scattergram between Y and X.

c. Does the scattergram support your expectations in part (a)?

cl. If so, do an OLS regression of Y on X and obtain the usual statistics.

e. Establish a 99% confidence interval for the true slope and test the hypothesis that the true slope coefficient is zero; that is, there is no relationship between dividend and the after-tax profit.

CASH DIVIDEND (Y) AND AFTER-TAX PROFITS (X) IN

U.S. MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES, 1974-1986

Year

X

Year

Y

X

 

($, in millions)

 

($, in millions)

1974

19,467

58,747

1981

40,317

101,302

1975

19,968

49,135

1982

41,259

71,028

1976

22,763

64,519

1983

41,624

85,834

1977

26,585

70,366

1984

45,102

107,648

1978

28,932

81,148

1985

45,517

87,648

1979

32,491

98,698

1986

46,044

83,121

1980

36,495

92,579

 

 

 

 

Reference no: EM13799267

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