Reference no: EM132036674

Assume that JASON Co. will need to purchase 100,000 Singapore dollars (S$) in 180 days. Today’s spot rate of the S$ is $.50, and the 180 day forward rate is $.53. A call option on S$ exists, with an exercise price of $.52, a premium of $.02, and a 180 day expiration date. A put option on S$ exists, with an exercise price of $.51, a premium of $.02, and a 180 day expiration date. JASON has developed the following probability distribution for the spot rate in 180 days: Possible Spot Rate in 180 Days Probability $.48 10% $.53 60% $.55 30% The probability that the forward hedge will result in a higher payment than the options hedge is _______ (include the amount paid for the premium when estimating the U.S. dollars required for the options hedge).