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Information covering the most recent thirty days are given in the following table for the value per gallon of regular gasoline at a local station.__________________________________________Day Price Day Price1 2.53 16 2.462 2.35 17 2.603 1.91 18 2.104 2.20 19 2.015 1.77 20 2.146 3.26 21 2.037 1.63 22 2.688 2.73 23 2.599 2.41 24 2.9910 2.72 25 2.9411 2.87 26 1.7712 1.49 27 2.6213 2.92 28 3.1914 3.53 29 3.0115 2.74 30 2.10________________________a. Compute a forecast for the next day's price by using a 3-day moving average. What is the forecast? What is the MSE for the last five observations?b. Can you reduce the MSE for the last five observations by changing the moving average window (try 4-to10-day windows)?c. Compute a forecast for the next day's price by using exponential smoothing with a=0.25 What is the forecast? What is the MSE for the last five observations?d. Can you improve the MSE for the last five observations by changing the smoothing constant a?
*Please show all work, use excel and identify the value and units measured.
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The consumption function is given by C = 200 + 0.75(Y - T ). The investment function is I = 200 - 25r, r is the real interest rate. Government buy and taxes are both 100.
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Sydney is wants to start a new business, but would have to give up a job with a total compensation of $100,000 every year. After researching the new business opportunity, Syndey created following estimates.
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