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Natasha Nguyen is a foreign exchange dealer for a US bank. She wishes to consider whether Purchasing Power Parity holds between the US$ and the Japanese yen. She also wonders whether she should invest in US$ or in Japanese yen to make a covered interest arbitrage (CIA) profit. She can borrow US$1,000,000 or dollar-equivalent to invest for the next 12 months. Consider US as home market and Japan as foreign market. She faces the following interest rates, exchange rates and inflation rates:
-Does interest parity hold? If not, where do you recommend that Natasha Nguyen borrow and invest and why?
-Assuming no transaction costs, what would Natasha's covered interest arbitrage profit (or loss) be on the borrowed amount of US$1 million or dollar-equivalent yen (use 2 decimal points)?
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