Reference no: EM132261483
Your group is a decision-making team in your firm and is considering an estimated $10 million expansion project. Estimates of key input factors are as following (all uniformly distributed):
Market size: 100,000 to 350,000 tons
Selling price: $375 to $575
Market growth rate: 0 to 6% per year
Market share: 3% to 17%
Total investment required: $7 million to $10.5 million
Useful life of the new facility: 5 to 15 years
Residual value of the facility: $3.5 million to $5 million
Operating costs: $320 to $550 per ton
Fixed costs: $250,000 to $375,000 per year
Analyze the risks associated with this project. The results of the risk analysis include: estimated net profit/loss, possible minimum profit or maximum loss, possible maximum profit or minimum loss, and probability of making loss from this investment.
Use Excel to create a simulation model and solve this risk analysis problem.