Probability negative return exceeds previous negative return

Reference no: EM13152650

What is the probability that next years annual maximum negative return exceeds all previous negative returns? In other words, what is the probability that next years maximum negative return is a new record? What is the 40-year return level of the negative returns? That is, what is the negative return which, on average, should only be exceeded in one year every forty years?

Reference no: EM13152650

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Probability negative return exceeds previous negative return : What is the probability that next years annual maximum negative return exceeds all previous negative returns? In other words, what is the probability that next years maximum negative return is a new record?

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